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Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 48%, Democrats 39%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/18/2010 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 10/18/2010 12:18:38 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush

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To: Steely Tom

Our work is cut our for us - no?


61 posted on 10/18/2010 4:33:30 PM PDT by SeattleBruce (T minus 15 days to SMACKDOWN - Tea Party like it's 1773! Pray 2 Chronicles 7:14!)
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To: Redleg Duke

“We will know two weeks from Wednesday.”

40% will be baked in before Tue. even comes around. This totally favors the GOP this year. In a closer election, it would favor whoever got more of the advanced vote, and actual votes in. This year, with these gaps the GOP is way up NOW, and that means the RATs are playing massive catchup RIGHT NOW. This should be majorly depressing to all their professional politicos and volunteers who understand this. They are the first line in the RATs GOTV. I’m starting to think though, that they’re at such a major disadvantage, it’s going to be like trying to bring enthusiasm to the One Nation rally - they will try to bus it in, and scream it in...but it’s just not going to happen.

I can see November, and victory from my backyard.

Our challenge - those of us that are majorly plugged in - is to GOTV in these last two weeks to maximize impacts up and down ticket in all close races!!


62 posted on 10/18/2010 4:45:52 PM PDT by SeattleBruce (T minus 15 days to SMACKDOWN - Tea Party like it's 1773! Pray 2 Chronicles 7:14!)
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To: justiceseeker93

“No, it’s a 19 point spread among those most closely following the elections. It’s a nine point spread among those most likely to vote.”

Ras polls LV - likely voters. My take is that those closely following the election are ‘most’ likely to vote. Turnout among that group will be very high and break greatly (+ 19) to the GOP. Then among the LV group it will not be as great a turnout (it’s a likely voter model) - but those who vote will still break quite significantly toward the GOP (+9).


63 posted on 10/18/2010 4:52:22 PM PDT by SeattleBruce (T minus 15 days to SMACKDOWN - Tea Party like it's 1773! Pray 2 Chronicles 7:14!)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Very good news. I don’t think anything can save the DemonRats.


64 posted on 10/18/2010 4:57:33 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Gabrial

“The way I figure it, if we don’t return to fiscal sanity, my savings will be worthless in a few years anyways.”

Good point. And look what obummer and the Fed are busy doing right now through POMO and whatever other elements of QE2 they throw up. They are banking (pun intended) on devaluing our dollars to supposedly lessen the debt burden and try to ‘stimulate’ the economy through ‘controlled’ inflation.


65 posted on 10/18/2010 5:08:40 PM PDT by SeattleBruce (T minus 15 days to SMACKDOWN - Tea Party like it's 1773! Pray 2 Chronicles 7:14!)
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To: GonzoGOP; SeattleBruce; All
Granted, the folks who are most closely following an election are statistically more likely than others to vote. But the "closely following" group is not identical to Rasmussen's "likely voter" group.

There are a lot of "likely voters" who habitually vote but do not closely follow the election. A lot of those, but not all, would be "independents" and women.

66 posted on 10/18/2010 5:27:51 PM PDT by justiceseeker93
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To: 1035rep
Very good news. I don’t think anything can save the DemonRats

Oh, but haven't you heard?? Obama is getting hoarse firing up his base here in Ohio. Never mind that he has a 33% approval rating, so his base is teeny weeny.

He's magic, don't you remember?? He can fix anything.................hehe...........

67 posted on 10/18/2010 5:58:40 PM PDT by ohioWfan (Proud Mom of a Bronze Star recipient!)
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To: ohioWfan
It will come as no surprise, but they ought to just rename "NPR" to "The Obama Radio Channel". For the last consecutive nights, their news has had a lead in about Obama, and almost entirely with him, soundbites, sometimes extending 14, 15 minutes into the broadcast, and many of it unabashedly trying to stir up his base. They are alloting sound bits or narrative about Republicans maybe for a total of one minute or 30 seconds.

These sound like PSA from the DNC. NPR is totally in the tank for Obama, they are worse than CNN and MSNBC combined. It almost makes you barf.

As far as I know, NPR is both tax exempt, AND federally funded.

They ought to be taken off the air under a Republican Administration, or at least be forced to give exact, equal time, if they are going to be using our tax dollars for this blatant partisan propaganda. They are SCARED.

68 posted on 10/18/2010 7:24:41 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (POST in your tagline if you've been able to get *5* or more friends/family to VOTE anti-Obama. I did)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
No surprise at all. And I totally agree that they should have their tax exempt status and federal funding removed.

I had a run in with the OSU/NPR head a few years back, and the nincompoop actually argued with me that NPR was NON-partisan, and that they presented both sides equally. After I stopped laughing, I pointed out the exact reasons why he was wrong.

I wish I had had the facts you just stated..........but I stopped listening the that crackpot 'news' years ago.

Now I just listen to the pretty music. :)

69 posted on 10/18/2010 7:32:05 PM PDT by ohioWfan (Proud Mom of a Bronze Star recipient!)
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To: DarthVader

No it is not. 1 point does not mean anything when there is a 2 point margin of error. Sorry my friend, but the good news is that we are still ahead and has shrunk.


70 posted on 10/19/2010 6:30:27 AM PDT by GoMonster (GO)
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To: GoMonster

BS! I use statistics often and a 1% shift within a 95% confidence level can and does detect movement depending upon the size of the sample. There has been no shrinkage but an increase from +3% to +9% in the last two weeks which is a movement of +6% which falls outside the error interval, therefore you can say with a confidence level of 95% that undecideds are shifting towards Republicans.


71 posted on 10/19/2010 6:52:43 AM PDT by DarthVader (That which supports Barack Hussein Obama must be sterilized and there are NO exceptions!)
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To: SeattleBruce
I truly hope you are right. My son turned 18 last month and he registered to vote yesterday. One more conservative voter here in Amherst, NH.

Listening to Obama pontificate on the stump, he doesn't even realize how much he is insulting the American people with his words. He and his ilk just don't get it! Their syncophants will chant "Yes, We Can!" all they want, but rest of America isn't buying it anymore.

72 posted on 10/19/2010 7:02:32 AM PDT by Redleg Duke (RAT Hunting Season started the evening of March 21st, 2010!)
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To: Redleg Duke

“My son turned 18 last month and he registered to vote yesterday. One more conservative voter here in Amherst, NH.”

Yes, in some places there is late registration I see - and in your case it breaks the right way! Here in WA, people have gotten their ballots - and you can’t ‘register’ or motor/voter reg at the polls as in some states.

We have all our troubles with counting. That’s been our issue.

All the best there!!

SB


73 posted on 10/19/2010 7:32:44 AM PDT by SeattleBruce (T minus 14 days to SMACKDOWN - Tea Party like it's 1773! Pray 2 Chronicles 7:14!)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

OHIO CAMPAIGN STOP "Barack, you think these cheering suckers will vote Democrat, again, after all your screwups."

" My screwups? You the one who went globe-trotting to Spain. That dumba** trip killed my agenda for good."

74 posted on 10/20/2010 3:44:04 AM PDT by Liz (Nov 2 will be one more stitch in Obama's political shroud.)
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