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Notwithstanding: GOP +12 in Senate, +90 in House
RCP ^ | 10-30-2010 | self

Posted on 10/30/2010 4:15:25 PM PDT by Notwithstanding

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To: Notwithstanding
+12 is absurd and totally beyond the realm of possibility.

+6 to +8 and 60-85.

61 posted on 10/30/2010 7:11:14 PM PDT by montag813 (http://www.facebook.com/StandWithArizona)
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To: Logic n' Reason

Whoops! Seems I’m not the only one who misread your post. Sorry for the confusion.


62 posted on 10/30/2010 7:11:52 PM PDT by Mygirlsmom (TEANAMI INCOMING! Jump in or get out of the way)
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To: Notwithstanding

12, Conn is over it stays Dem


63 posted on 10/30/2010 7:12:01 PM PDT by faucetman (Just the facts ma'am, just the facts)
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To: Notwithstanding

Is “bloodbath” a number ?...;0)


64 posted on 10/30/2010 7:15:36 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: Logic n' Reason

I agree with the exception of NV and possibly CA. I think we have two hopes of winning DE and CT. No hope and Bob Hope.


65 posted on 10/30/2010 7:17:38 PM PDT by MontaniSemperLiberi (Moutaineers are Always Free)
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To: TJC; Logic n' Reason
CA AND NV are definitely within reach. On the other hand the weather is going to be great in CA ~ sunshine, 60s everywhere, no wind, no fires, no floods ~ just perfect do something else weather.

Good chance the lotus eaters won't bother voting.

NV is not the Democrats to lose ~ they've lost it already. We are talking about the margins, but when the office holder is already below 50% he's toast!

66 posted on 10/30/2010 7:18:48 PM PDT by muawiyah ("GIT OUT THE WAY" The Republicans are coming)
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To: MontaniSemperLiberi
I don't think you know what's going on in Delaware. BTW, we would not have gotten a reliable Republican vote out of Castle, and even if Coons had a shot at winning, he wouldn't be a reliable Republican vote either.

Doing a little game theory jig jag here, Christine O'Donnell is actually the best bet politically. I suspect she has an edge in the "I hope this isn't a person who is going to raise my taxes" part of the issue ~ which really helps her in pulling in RETIRED RICH DEMOCRAT votes. These are the people who made it and moved to Delaware to "stay near the kids" and "get away from the Jersey Shore" (and we all now know what that's about eh). Yeah Snooki!!!

67 posted on 10/30/2010 7:23:06 PM PDT by muawiyah ("GIT OUT THE WAY" The Republicans are coming)
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To: skinkinthegrass
My number assumes everything Dick Morris assumes (or computes, and the data does compute well) PLUS a huge number of people afraid of more Islamofascist bombings and killings in this country.

It's Bush country time.

Note, the extra votes to pull this off have to come from Democrats, not the so-called Independents (who register that way to escape the 57 different pieces of campaign trash I get from each party).

Yes, guys, I already know the local Democrat is a cheat, a scoundrel, weighs too much, looks like a stuffed cannoli, and votes contrary to the interest of his constituents, but his buddy, Jim Moran is also in trouble, and if Moran is in trouble in this country let me tell you there are another 29 Democrats in trouble ~ and most of them are chairmen of committees or ranking majority members of committees.

Those are the incumbents who are getting the boot ~ in addition to most of the Blue Dogs.

Let me put it this way, all we got out of the Democrat Congress was $5 trillion more in debt, the destruction of the economy, the bankrupting of millions of American families, and now AlQaida is back ~ it's too much, and they haven't even gotten around to addressing JOBS, JOBS, JOBS.

68 posted on 10/30/2010 7:33:57 PM PDT by muawiyah ("GIT OUT THE WAY" The Republicans are coming)
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To: dartuser
IF it ends up 50/50, the Democrat Leadership will not do the stupid thing Lott did with his sharing power B.S.

Biden is the President of the Senate, and that is all you will hear from the Left. He is effectively the 51st Vote for the Democrats.

Lott sold us down the river trying the “bipartisan” RINO crap, and he was a Southerner for goodness sakes.

69 posted on 10/30/2010 7:34:26 PM PDT by Kickass Conservative (If Sarah Palin was President, you would have a job by now...)
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To: The Citizen Soldier

Reading is fundamental and I don’t do that sometimes.... Just like a Democrat.


70 posted on 10/30/2010 7:36:10 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
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To: ohiobuckeye1997

+7 and I’m upping my +55 to +60.


71 posted on 10/30/2010 7:48:37 PM PDT by Ted Grant
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To: muawiyah

First, for her to win she has to do way, way better than any other Republican winner in any other state. Her “base” Republican support is only around 40%. I suppose it’s imaginable but I think it’s too much to hope for. Second, I’d much rather Christine lose than Castle win . . . with the only regret being the finger I’ll give Tokyo Rove on Nov. 3 when he says “I told you so”.


72 posted on 10/30/2010 7:53:26 PM PDT by MontaniSemperLiberi (Moutaineers are Always Free)
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To: muawiyah
I already know the local Democrat is a cheat, a scoundrel, weighs too much, looks like a stuffed cannoli, and votes contrary to the interest of his constituents

Hmmm....Yours, too.
...of course; he (Ben Chandler) not even telling the KY. voters, he's a DemocRAT
& he has not mentioned Zer0 / Pelosi or Reid in any of his commercials.


73 posted on 10/30/2010 7:55:03 PM PDT by skinkinthegrass (Imam Zer0: DeathCARE, Is my plan...So just die (quicky), please & save $$$$ :^)
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To: excopconservative

You’re right to about D+5. Those are competitive and leaning R on average. Once you get to D+6 incumbents, the Democrat seems to have the advantage. Open seats seem competitive up to D+13 right now. It will be an interesting night on Tuesday for sure.


74 posted on 10/30/2010 7:56:11 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
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To: Notwithstanding
If that's the case, Obama should be impeached by next Thanksgiving, and out of office by Christmas.

And Eric Holder should be in prison by July.

75 posted on 10/30/2010 8:11:43 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("The only stable state is one in which all men are equal before the law." -- Aristotle)
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To: WOSG

I called 61 and 8 in May/

I’m hoping for a pleasant surprise.


76 posted on 10/30/2010 8:25:18 PM PDT by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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To: MontaniSemperLiberi
Second, Democrat support isn't much different than Republican support in Delaware AND, since it's not a Presidential election, NORMAL Democrat voting levels plus ABOVE NORMAL Republican voting levels will leave the selection in the hands of the so-called Independents.

Christine has been doing extensive traveling throughout Delaware and has probably visited every church more than twice. Coons, too, has been traveling but he has a really huge problem ~ HE'S A RELATIVE MIDGET. That means that every Democrat male politician he's appeared with towers over him. Christine, though, has NOT brought in Clinton, Obama and Biden to all three tower over her!

This is the battle of the "short people" and many of the commonly accepted assumptions about how this race might work out just don't (and can't) apply.

The expected weather on 'lection day in Delaware is: 54F and Sunny ~ cool enough your typical Democrat won't want to be standing in line.

77 posted on 10/31/2010 5:10:07 AM PDT by muawiyah ("GIT OUT THE WAY" The Republicans are coming)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide; conservativesister

Some Catholics are part of the religious right, but the majority Catholic vote is usually pro-democrat.

The religous right is our most conservative voting block in America, so you are clearly confused at who the “religious right” is.


78 posted on 10/31/2010 11:55:48 AM PDT by ansel12
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To: TJC
What is this nonsense babble based on? Boxer is under 50% and it is with in the MOE. We are up + 4 in NV and Reid is way under 50%

All the "major" polls (those with some sort of national/local track record for being more correct than incorrect) have this particular race at "dead even".

What poll are you citing...or are you just "feeling"??

79 posted on 11/01/2010 5:23:14 AM PDT by Logic n' Reason (You can roll a turd in powered sugar; that don't make it a jelly donut)
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To: MontaniSemperLiberi
I agree with the exception of NV and possibly CA

With about one day to go (or 23+ hours, if you prefer) CA is well out of reach, and NV is a "dead heat".

It will depend on turnout in NV....there is nothing to be done about CA.

80 posted on 11/01/2010 5:25:29 AM PDT by Logic n' Reason (You can roll a turd in powered sugar; that don't make it a jelly donut)
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