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How To Tell If The Senate's In Play Tonight
American Spectator ^ | 11/2/2010 | John Tabin

Posted on 11/02/2010 7:55:24 AM PDT by kingattax

We probably will not know the final composition of the Senate tomorow. Washington State only counts half of its ballots on election night (the rest are mail-in), so that race probably won't be called until later in the week -- and even then it might be close enough to trigger an automatic recount.

There may be recounts in other states, too. But we will get an early indicator of whether Republicans have a shot of taking the Senate.

(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
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To: kingattax
Anybody listening to Juan Williams?..
The boy is not in Kansas anymore..
Hes walking the yellow brick road..

On his way to see the Wizard of Oz...
He is smoking some bad sh!t.. on the way..

Liberalism is indeed a mental disorder..
Somebody ought to give the dude some red shoes..
Hes drunk on the Kool Aid.. He needs to be SLAPPED awake..

21 posted on 11/02/2010 8:26:00 AM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole....)
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To: kingattax

IF Washington is close then count on us being stuck in recount Hell for a month.


22 posted on 11/02/2010 8:26:05 AM PDT by Soul Seeker ( I was there when we had the numbers, but didnÂ’t have the principles.---Jim that leans conservDeMin)
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To: library user

The idiot in tennis shoes doesn’t have a lot of real supporters, but the dead and homeless who list the King County Courthouse as their residence will turn out in the thousands for her. Unless Rossi’s margin of victory is greater than 5%, the King County Democrats will steal the election for Murray. Just like they stole it for Gregoire in 2004.


23 posted on 11/02/2010 8:27:53 AM PDT by Astronaut
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To: Bob Buchholz

Had the RNC any real leadership, it would have been working to throttle the left in King County for the past year. But, Snoop Dog Steele was too busy building his self-indulgent (and disastrous) RNC website.

By the way, to show you how obdurately crooked and racist the leadership of King County is, it was originally named after former VP William King (VP under Pierce). The politicos in King County jettisoned the poor guy several years back to rename it in honor of Martin Luther King. And that, of course, is totally inappropriate.

The name change was engineered by Ron Sims who allowed no public hearings or votes. Obama later rewarded Sims for his racism by naming him to a top position at HUD.


24 posted on 11/02/2010 8:31:28 AM PDT by hampdenkid
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To: BelegStrongbow
Is it my imagination or aren’t the polls generally more positive for Republicans this year than they were in 1994?

I remember 1994 very clearly and the polls leading up to Election Day was clearly not as promising for the GOP as what we've seen in recent weeks. In fact, on Election Day itself, nobody, not even Rush Limbaugh, was predicting that the GOP was going to win the majority. Remember, up to that point, the GOP hadn't controlled the House in some 40 years.

Granted, people weren't analyzing midterm elections like we do today. Back then, most people got their news from either the big three networks or CNN and the Internet was still in its infancy and not a major source of news at that time. In fact, I remember discussing the returns on the old Whitewater BB (on Prodigy) and there was only 40-50 regulars back then. For those of you who don't go back that far, the Whitewater BB on Prodigy planted the seed for what would later become Free Republic.

25 posted on 11/02/2010 8:32:17 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (I am 30 days away from outliving Curly Howard)
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To: Bob Buchholz
What is really sad, is that I now believe that King County voting is corrupt. I also believe that Sam Reid (R) in Olympia, who is in theory in charge of state voting rules is also a corrupt career politician.

Let me rephrase that a little. I believe that career politicians are so afraid that the “people” will find out that voting in the USA is only good when races exceed say 3 to 4 % one way or another that they will do anything to cover up the level of inaccuracy and sloppiness of methods within the voting process.

Career politicians, especially, Democrats understand that election results are only good to within plus or minus 3 to 4% and if there is a close race have perfected methods of assuring that the outcome in their favor. They play to win and the career Republicans don't want the people to rebel in the streets.

During the Rossi/Gregoire for Governor recount, it became clear to everyone that King County elections were being manipulated by career Democrats to bring about a desired result. It was also clear (at least to me) that Sam Reed and the judicial system wasn't interesting in truth or justice, they just wanted the problem to go away so government could govern the masses and their career jobs would be secure.

I fully expect that within the next three weeks we will hear about hundreds of illegal alien voters, hundreds of the dead who somehow voted, and dozens of felons who illegally voted. Sam Reed has already announced that through an error in his office many ballots were sent to 17-yearolds too young to vote by mistake.

A close race, if manipulated (and it will be too important not to for the career Democratic politicians) will destroy what little faith in democracy many on the right have.

If that happens, I foresee an Orange Revolution in this state. The protests will likely not be as peaceful as the ones that occurred last time in Olympia, if people see problems. The hard part is that this state is controlled by Democrats and they don't want to make things so rigid that an election result can't be fixed. The Career Republicans just want to get along so they can draw their salary and not rock the boat.

Sign me disgusted.

26 posted on 11/02/2010 8:34:07 AM PDT by Robert357 (D.Rather "Hoist with his own petard!" www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1223916/posts)
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To: Hatteras; kingattax
"How To Tell If The Senate's In Play Tonight"

Katie will be wearing all black?

And the serpent-head is wearing another ashcan for a hat...

27 posted on 11/02/2010 8:35:12 AM PDT by rockrr (Everything is different now...)
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To: kingattax

After reviewing: http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/politics/Washington-Examiner-election-guide-106399808.html I’d look at how early returns compare with these comments. If real Americans do better than expected, the Senate is in play (until the fraud starts). If the Dems keep power in unexpected locations, then we’re in for a good night but far less good. This election is national and early results should be interpreted as such.

6 p.m. ET

Indiana (Eastern)

* IN-9: Think of Rep. Baron Hill, D, as the canary in the coal mine. If he survives this challenge from Todd Young, then something is not happening that the GOP expected. Republicans might be facing an evening of disappointment.

Kentucky (Eastern)

* KY-6: Aside from the Senate race, this is the only game in Kentucky. Rep. Ben Chandler, D, has been dinged for voting for cap-and-trade, but he voted against Obamacare. His challenger, Andy Barr, has taken heat for being part of former Gov. Ernie Fletcher’s unpopular administration. A Republican takeover here – a slightly less-than-even proposition – is a good omen for the GOP.

7 p.m. ET

Florida (Eastern)

* FL-8: Rep. Alan Grayson, D, known for his abrasive personality, will find out just how effective it is to call his opponent, Dan Webster, a member of the Taliban.
* FL-24: Rep. Suzanne Kosmas, D, is a goner.
* FL-22: Rep. Ron Klein, D, trails in the latest polls. Should he win, Allen West would be one of at least two (and possibly three) black Republicans in the U.S. House.
* FL-25: Here’s a seat that Republicans are at risk of losing. Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart, R, probably could have won re-election, but he chose instead to move to the safer district of his brother, retiring Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart. This left a weaker GOP candidate, David Rivera, to face Democrat Joe Garcia, D. Rivera is only narrowly favored.

Georgia

* GA-GOV: The question is not whether former Rep. Nathan Deal, R, finishes first, but whether he can get more than 50 percent and avoid a runoff against former Gov. Roy Barnes, D. This race has big implications for redistricting.

* GA-8: After several unsuccessful tries, Republicans should finally defeat Rep. Jim Marshall, D, and soundly. Austin Scott is his young opponent.
* GA-2: It could take a while to decide the fate of Rep. Sanford Bishop, D, the most moderate member of the Congressional Black Caucus. He was caught up in the Black Caucus Scholarship nepotism scandal. The district is 46 percent black by population, but much more conservative than you might expect.

Indiana (Central Time)

* IN-SEN: Having spent most of the election denouncing the lobbying career of Republican Dan Coats, Rep. Brad Ellsworth, D, might as well start looking for a job on K Street himself. Easy GOP pickup.
* IN-2: A small chunk of this district is in the Central Time Zone, so don’t expect an early call. Rep. Joe Donnelly, D, should win. If he loses this seat to Republican Jackie Walorski, Democrats should brace themselves for a nationwide bloodbath.
* IN-8: Democrats abandoned this seat long ago. Republican heart surgeon Larry Bucshon should win the vacant “Bloody Eighth” going away, gain of one for the GOP.

Kentucky (Central)

* KY-SEN: Kentucky will likely elect America’s first Aqua-Buddhist senator, Rand Paul. The race was basically sealed up after Democratic Attorney General Jack Conway’s negative ads backfired.

South Carolina

* SC-GOV: Republican State Rep. Nikki Haley is the clear favorite.
* SC-SEN: Despite South Carolinians’ sense of humor, Sen. Jim DeMint, R, will easily defeat Democrat Alvin Greene.
* SC-5: House Budget Chairman John Spratt, D, will soon be spending a lot more time with his family.

Virginia

* VA-2: Rep. Glenn Nye, D, will likely fall to auto dealer Scott Rigell, R.
* VA-5: Rep. Tom Perriello, D, hopes that a late visit by President Obama will help. But Obma is very unpopular here, Perriello is a bad fit for the district, and Republican Robert Hurt leads.
* VA-9: Rep. Rick Boucher, D, voted for cap-and-trade, the last thing his coal-producing district wanted. His challenger, state House GOP leader Morgan Griffith, R, appears to be surging just in time to make this one very close.
* VA-11: Surprisingly, there have been no independent, public polls of this wealthy, moderate swing district in Northern Virginia, but the political pros apparently know something the rest of us don’t: The DCCC dumped $1 million into the district last week. Gov. Bob McDonnell, R, carried it handily one year ago, and Rep. Gerry Connolly, D, is now running such a strongly negative campaign as to suggest that he thinks he is losing. If Connolly falls to the conservative Keith Fimian, it’s a sign that this is going to be a very long night for Democrats, who are vulnerable in many upper-middle class suburban districts like this one. If it’s close, Connolly may be a victim of Jon Stewart, whose rally on the weekend before the election probably deprived him of volunteers at a critical time.

Vermont

* VT-GOV: Democrat Peter Shumlin has a slightly better-than even shot of picking up this open governorship governorship by defeating Lt. Gov. Brian Dubie, R.


28 posted on 11/02/2010 8:36:21 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Natural born citizen of the USA, with the birth certificate to prove it)
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To: kingattax

Jon Manchin? He wasn’t on my ballot but there was a Joe. ;)


29 posted on 11/02/2010 8:38:03 AM PDT by christianhomeschoolmommaof3
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To: Old Retired Army Guy
We don’t do very well in recounts.

Soros realized what happened in Florida 2000 with W and what a big role the Secretary of State can play.

That's why the Dems are pushing the SOS project so hard - their Minnesota guy got Franken in. Hopefully the Republican wave can offset this somewhat.

30 posted on 11/02/2010 8:40:35 AM PDT by nascarnation
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To: Robert357

I voted against sam last time out. I’d rather suffer with a dhimmicrats whose intentions are clearly against mine than to hold any affiliation to a feckless two-faced fraud-enabler who submits to dhimmi malevolence.

sam could have nipped the ‘04 debacle in the bud. There were plenty of opportunities when the so-called “voting irregularities” were being perpetuated by the dhimmis, but he refused.

Many of us shouted ourselves blue in the face trying to get him off the dime - all to no avail. Then he came back with this phony air of reasonability and chose to chastise US for a disquieting tone.

Screw him.


31 posted on 11/02/2010 8:41:44 AM PDT by rockrr (Everything is different now...)
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To: Clump
Boxer is whipping on Carly pretty hard for the layoffs at HP and sending those jobs to China...indications are Boxer will be back....inspite of her crooked business involving reviving a defunct Indian Tribe and helping with a casino for the Indian Tribe ...

Boxer is denying he will make 8 million out of the operation...

32 posted on 11/02/2010 8:44:35 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: McLynnan

True. I didn’t schedule any hearings or clients for tomorrow for that reason.


33 posted on 11/02/2010 8:45:59 AM PDT by Clump (the tree of liberty is withering like a stricken fig tree)
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To: rockrr

Predictions on 4 races.

1. Washington. Patty Murray wins by 23 votes after 4 recounts.
2. Delaware. Chris Coombs wins by 23 votes after 4 recounts.
3. Connecticut. Dicky Blumenthal wins by 23 votes after 4 recounts.
4. Nevada. Sharron Angle wins by 23 votes after 4 recounts. The SEIU buys the state of Nevada for a dozen crispy cremes and a tuna salad sandwich and gives the election to Reid.


34 posted on 11/02/2010 8:47:04 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Remember March 23, 1775. Remember March 23, 2010)
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Comment #35 Removed by Moderator

To: EQAndyBuzz

The hell of it is that the “dozen crispy cremes and a tuna salad sandwich” are leftovers they stole off a cart...


36 posted on 11/02/2010 8:49:35 AM PDT by rockrr (Everything is different now...)
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To: Old Retired Army Guy
We don’t do very well in recounts.
Perhaps that was true in the past.
But, THIS election will be the time for that to end.
In THIS election, we need to start the precedent that we will:
1 - Overwhelm them with massive voting for the "good guy" in as many races as possible -- so much so that they cannot cheat enough to win, and then,

2 - FReep the recounts, in those races where the vote is close enough that they could try to "pull a Franken" -- and cheat to win.

This time, we need to get GRASSROOTS pressure on the vote counters -- to force enough transparency to prevent vote fraud after the fact -- like we did in Florida in 2000.
37 posted on 11/02/2010 8:50:25 AM PDT by RonDog
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To: rockrr

I don’t know if I buy the conventional wisdom about the Senate. The recent polls show Fiorina and Rossi closing in CA and WA. We could lose WV and still take the Senate, but it would be very tough.


38 posted on 11/02/2010 8:59:33 AM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: rockrr

I don’t know if I buy the conventional wisdom about the Senate. The recent polls show Fiorina and Rossi closing in CA and WA. We could lose WV and still take the Senate, but it would be very tough.


39 posted on 11/02/2010 8:59:46 AM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: Hatteras

“How To Tell If The Senate’s In Play Tonight”

Katie will be wearing all black?

Carville wearing a garbage can?


40 posted on 11/02/2010 9:11:55 AM PDT by shelterguy
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