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The KeyHouseRaces Election Night Open Thread
KeyHouseRaces.com ^
| 2 November 2010
| Interceptpoint
Posted on 11/02/2010 1:25:42 PM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: randita
121
posted on
11/02/2010 8:07:16 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
To: Political Junkie Too
Plenty of time for analysis later. You might just notice, however, how neatly the pinks and reds are lining up with GOP wins and same for the blues.
The experts are looking pretty good right now.
To: randita
Great news about Kinzinger in IL-11! Air Force captain, impressive young man. Debbie Halvorson may have to go back to selling for Mary Kay.....
123
posted on
11/02/2010 8:10:09 PM PDT
by
Fu-fu2
To: Impy; InterceptPoint
PA-08 Fitzpatrick-R wins by 8 pts.
One Murphy down, two more to go.
124
posted on
11/02/2010 8:11:38 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
125
posted on
11/02/2010 8:12:52 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
PA-12 Critz-D wins - the people there are still brain dead.
So far, all Toss Ups on Master List that have been called have gone GOP - 9 of them.
126
posted on
11/02/2010 8:16:52 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
To: Impy
IL-14 Hultgren-R wins 51-45% at this point.
127
posted on
11/02/2010 8:18:48 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
To: randita
KS-03 Yoder-R wins
ND-AL Berg Wins54-46%
NC-02 Ellmers up by 3,000 with just a few precincts to go.
KHR Toss Up status: GOP 10, DEM 0
128
posted on
11/02/2010 8:21:26 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
GA-02 Keown-R wins 53-47%
129
posted on
11/02/2010 8:23:17 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
To: randita
IL house races look good.
130
posted on
11/02/2010 8:25:57 PM PDT
by
Impy
(Don't call me red.)
OH-01 Chabot beats Driehaus-R 52%-45%
MN-06 Bachmann wins
131
posted on
11/02/2010 8:29:58 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
AR-02 Griffin-R wins by 21%
A big one for Freepers:
Allen West wins - FL 22
132
posted on
11/02/2010 8:31:43 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
To: randita
TX-27
Farenthold (R) 46,608
Ortiz (D) 46,531
88% reporting
Less than 100 vote difference . . . . . and the Libertarian has almost 5,000 votes! What a spoiler.
133
posted on
11/02/2010 8:32:23 PM PDT
by
TexasNative2000
(Uncertainty: it's the new normal)
BIG ONE:
NC-02 Ellmers-R wins! THug Etheridge is OUT!
134
posted on
11/02/2010 8:33:46 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
BIG ONE:
NC-02 Ellmers-R wins! THug Etheridge is OUT!
135
posted on
11/02/2010 8:33:50 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
To: Impy
NY-20 Gibson-R wins
TWO Murphys down - one to go!
136
posted on
11/02/2010 8:34:51 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
To: InterceptPoint
The experts are looking pretty good right now. Blech...
The experts held back for too long and rushed ahead of the parade in the last weeks.
This table is a breakout of each expert's trend of assessments.
| Week |
Sabato |
CQP |
EP.Com |
Cook |
Rothenberg |
RCP |
| 08-May-10 |
205.13 |
202.9 |
206.85 |
206.76 |
203.1 |
213.38 |
| 19-Jun-10 |
207.51 |
205.63 |
210.49 |
207.64 |
203.35 |
216.33 |
| 10-Jul-10 |
207.87 |
205.64 |
209.4 |
208.16 |
203.99 |
214.37 |
| 17-Jul-10 |
207.4 |
205.12 |
210.12 |
207.63 |
203.51 |
213.9 |
| 24-Jul-10 |
207.28 |
205.26 |
210.33 |
208.03 |
207.38 |
213.83 |
| 31-Jul-10 |
206.71 |
204.67 |
211.75 |
208.78 |
207.22 |
215.1 |
| 07-Aug-10 |
206.75 |
204.65 |
212 |
208.77 |
207.19 |
215.35 |
| 14-Aug-10 |
206.78 |
204.81 |
212.86 |
208.97 |
207.23 |
215.49 |
| 21-Aug-10 |
206.7 |
204.78 |
213.14 |
210.76 |
207.19 |
216.42 |
| 28-Aug-10 |
206.75 |
208.66 |
214.13 |
210.74 |
207.62 |
217.58 |
| 04-Sep-10 |
210.14 |
208.68 |
215.4 |
211.8 |
207.53 |
218.1 |
| 11-Sep-10 |
211.15 |
209.09 |
216.53 |
214.14 |
210.88 |
220.32 |
| 18-Sep-10 |
211.34 |
209.23 |
217.05 |
214.66 |
211.98 |
220.5 |
| 25-Sep-10 |
211.3 |
212.2 |
216.89 |
215.17 |
212.56 |
220.21 |
| 02-Oct-10 |
213.74 |
212.48 |
219.97 |
215.52 |
215.01 |
221.51 |
| 09-Oct-10 |
215.69 |
214.19 |
220.05 |
220.36 |
215.81 |
224.86 |
| 16-Oct-10 |
218.19 |
215.75 |
225.16 |
220.78 |
218.26 |
226.5 |
| 23-Oct-10 |
221 |
219.46 |
227.25 |
224.04 |
221.38 |
229.2 |
| 30-Oct-10 |
224.59 |
222.28 |
230.13 |
226.36 |
224.09 |
232.66 |
| 01-Nov-10 |
224.62 |
223.63 |
232.47 |
228.69 |
224.07 |
234.03 |
This map is of the House predictions, using polls where available.
This map is just the experts, without poll overrides.
-PJ
137
posted on
11/02/2010 8:35:59 PM PDT
by
Political Junkie Too
("Comprehensive" reform bills only end up as incomprehensible messes.)
To: metmom
she’s ahead by more than 1pt now
NY25
47.4% Maffei*
52.6% Buerkle
29% reporting
138
posted on
11/02/2010 8:36:55 PM PDT
by
Hush44
(http://www.chrisgibsonforcongress.com/)
To: InterceptPoint
Hold off on that NC-02 result. Not official yet, but being heavily tweeted that Ellmers will win.
139
posted on
11/02/2010 8:37:43 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
To: Hush44
That would be an upset. If that one goes GOP, that bodes well for the other competitive races in NY.
140
posted on
11/02/2010 8:39:38 PM PDT
by
randita
(Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
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