Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Gold Bears Predicting The Price Of Gold
The Market Oracle ^ | Dec 29, 2010 | Darryl_R_Schoon

Posted on 01/01/2011 2:41:10 PM PST by An Old Man

Bears are by nature cautious and while caution can be an ally, it can also be fatal where bold action is required.

It is understandable that investors who believe in paper money and paper-denominated assets do not understand gold. Gold, after all, is the natural refuge of disbelievers in the current financial paradigm; and, as today’s credit and debt-based paper markets come under increasing pressure and gold moves increasingly higher, most “paper bulls” remain increasingly perplexed.

In October 2009, when gold had again breached the $1,000 level, investment advisor Chad Brand warned investors not to jump onto “the gold bandwagon”. Unfortunately, for Mr. Brand’s clients, it was the time to jump—and still is today.

From Chad Brand, Seeking Alpha, October 7, 2009: http://seekingalpha.com/article/165317-gold-prices-a-familiar-trend

Here is a 35-year chart of gold prices. Based on what you see, would you want to jump onto the gold bandwagon?...I am bearish on gold over $1,000 per ounce and this chart is a good reason to at least be careful with the current precious metal of choice. The latest trend looks very familiar…

Chad Brand is the President of Peridot Capital Management LLC, a paper money advisory firm; and fifteen months after Mr. Brand cautioned investors to avoid the gold “bandwagon” gold is now $1,400, a 40 % gain. My advice: Avoid gold bears. They’re dangerous, especially now.

This is an Except, Read more here


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: gold; goldbugs
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-45 next last
To: Presbyterian Reporter

Any predictions for oil?


21 posted on 01/01/2011 3:35:51 PM PST by Rusty0604
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: fhayek

22 posted on 01/01/2011 3:36:07 PM PST by DeaconBenjamin (A trillion here, a trillion there, soon you're NOT talking real money)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: eyedigress

Perhaps he isn’t - but there are many who could. There are plenty of pundits out there including on Fox Biz who are saying gold will be down 15% by the end of 2011.


23 posted on 01/01/2011 3:36:07 PM PST by flyingtabby
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: Rusty0604

Relative to the metals oil is cheap. So if metals go up 20%, then oil should go up 30%


24 posted on 01/01/2011 3:39:49 PM PST by Presbyterian Reporter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: An Old Man
Gold, schmold...Municipal Bonds! Yeah, that's the ticket!
25 posted on 01/01/2011 3:40:25 PM PST by GBA (Not on our watch!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cowtowney; Frantzie

And silver was up over 80%


26 posted on 01/01/2011 3:42:38 PM PST by DeaconBenjamin (A trillion here, a trillion there, soon you're NOT talking real money)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: Presbyterian Reporter
"So if metals go up 20%, then oil should go up 30%"

Did you borrow that from obamas play book? He was talking about $5 gasoline just the other day.

27 posted on 01/01/2011 3:42:38 PM PST by An Old Man
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: An Old Man

People who know me would not stop laughing if I were caught reading Obama’s playbook.

Obama is reading Jimmy Carter’s playbook on how Jimmy dealt with raging inflation.

And we all know how that worked out for Jimmy. Don’t we?


28 posted on 01/01/2011 3:52:13 PM PST by Presbyterian Reporter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: FromLori

QE is what is filling the “bubble” so fast.


29 posted on 01/01/2011 3:57:22 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Obamacare is America's kristallnacht !!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: eyedigress
Totally.

Heck, I'm up 200% on silver alone in less than a year!

Let's just hope Cramer doesn't recommend metals, or we're toast.


Frowning takes 68 muscles.
Smiling takes 6.
Pulling this trigger takes 2.
I'm lazy.

30 posted on 01/01/2011 4:32:07 PM PST by The Comedian (Government: Saving people from freedom since time immemorial.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: The Comedian

You had better enroll in a class in basic mathematics.


31 posted on 01/01/2011 4:35:09 PM PST by Presbyterian Reporter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Presbyterian Reporter; All
You had better enroll in a class in basic mathematics.

You had better wipe that lipstick off before your puckered lips approach my behind.

What was SLV the first week of Feb 8 2010? If you said $14.75, you are correct.

What was SLV close on Friday? If you said $30 and some change, you are correct.

Who needs the math lesson, Presbian Disorder?


Frowning takes 68 muscles.
Smiling takes 6.
Pulling this trigger takes 2.
I'm lazy.

32 posted on 01/01/2011 4:46:28 PM PST by The Comedian (Government: Saving people from freedom since time immemorial.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: The Comedian

“Heck, I’m up 200% on silver alone in less than a year!”
_____

Rather than be insulting you may want to recheck your mathematics.

“”What was SLV the first week of Feb 8 2010? If you said $14.75, you are correct. What was SLV close on Friday? If you said $30 and some change, you are correct.””

I believe the example you have offered is a 100% increase and not the 200% increase you claim it to be.


33 posted on 01/01/2011 5:45:34 PM PST by Presbyterian Reporter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: Presbyterian Reporter

perhaps he’s using borrowed money for leverage? or faulty math?


34 posted on 01/01/2011 5:47:01 PM PST by nascarnation
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: The Comedian; Presbyterian Reporter; All

FYI in the interest of clarity, with no insult or slight intended.

In worldwide standard use for over a century.

Gold is AU.

Silver is AR.

Bronze is AE.


35 posted on 01/01/2011 6:05:42 PM PST by warm n fuzzy (Really)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: All

When governments of the world are buying gold, lookout above.

High price of oil will confirm the worthlessness of the US$ and the price of gold will confirms both of them (oil and the dollar).

ETF for commodities have been discussed already, not a long term hold. Buy the source(s).


36 posted on 01/01/2011 6:08:47 PM PST by Razzz42
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: An Old Man

Always have some of the REAL thing (precious metals) on hand. If everything collapses, you’ll need something of value to bargain with. Heck, you’d better have plenty of food, water, and even seeds [!] — and LEAD — as they will be of more immediate and practical value at that point...

But in the meantime, a portfolio that looks at commodities like precious or industrial metals and mining, agri-business and foods, and energy resources, utilities and delivery — and even exploration, discovery and land trusts for those purposes — are possible profitable investments.

Once hyperinflation ever does hit, it will be a matter of timing — and prayer — to figure out when to “cash out” the paper investments and use whatever resources one has to make the best of where one is in life. And if anyone has any suggestions or tips on “timing” when that right moment will be, PLEASE post them! I can’t be the only one who’d like to get some better ideas!


37 posted on 01/01/2011 6:43:54 PM PST by patriot preacher
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: albie
On the other side of the coin, what do you do with gold if paper money becomes worthless?

Ummm, use it as what it really is: Money.

38 posted on 01/01/2011 6:45:04 PM PST by Erasmus (Personal goal: Have a bigger carbon footprint than Tony Robbins.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: An Old Man

Keep in mind FDR’s seizure laws are still on the books.


39 posted on 01/01/2011 6:53:30 PM PST by flyingtabby
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Presbyterian Reporter
“Heck, I’m up 200% on silver alone in less than a year!” _____

Rather than be insulting you may want to recheck your mathematics.

“”What was SLV the first week of Feb 8 2010? If you said $14.75, you are correct. What was SLV close on Friday? If you said $30 and some change, you are correct.””

I believe the example you have offered is a 100% increase and not the 200% increase you claim it to be.

You're the one who started the insult fight, Presbian.

I've made a 100% profit in less than 12 months.

My SLV trading account's value is 200% of what it was in Jan. 2010.

And I venture my math skills are significantly more advanced than yours.

Don't start an insult fight with someone who revels in the exchange, and whose skills surpass yours.


Frowning takes 68 muscles.
Smiling takes 6.
Pulling this trigger takes 2.
I'm lazy.

40 posted on 01/01/2011 9:58:10 PM PST by The Comedian (Government: Saving people from freedom since time immemorial.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-45 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson