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Live Thread: Wisconsin Senate Recalls - Six Republican Seats at Risk

Posted on 08/09/2011 5:04:12 PM PDT by Jean S

Edited on 08/09/2011 6:37:54 PM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]

WISCONSIN SENATE RECALL ELECTIONS BY DISTRICT:

TUESDAY:

SENATE DISTRICT 2:

Republican incumbent: Senator Robert Cowles of Allouez. First elected to state Senate in April 1987 special election.

Democratic challenger: Nancy Nusbaum of De Pere, a former mayor of De Pere and Brown County executive.

SENATE DISTRICT 8:

Republican incumbent: Senator Alberta Darling of River Hills. First elected to the Senate in 1992.

Democratic challenger: Representative Sandy Pasch of Whitefish Bay. Elected to Assembly in 2008, reelected

2010.

SENATE DISTRICT 10:

Republican incumbent: Senator Sheila Harsdorf of River Falls. First elected to Senate in 2000.

Democratic challenger: Shelly Moore, a teacher from River Falls who has also served as teachers' union organizer.

SENATE DISTRICT 14:

Republican incumbent: Senator Luther Olsen of Ripon. First elected to Senate in 2004. Served in Assembly 1994 to 2004.

Democratic challenger: Representative Fred Clark of Baraboo. Elected to Assembly in 2008, reelected 2010.

SENATE DISTRICT 18:

Republican incumbent: Senator Randy Hopper of Fond du Lac. Elected to Senate in 2008 by 163 votes over Jessica King.

Democratic challenger: Jessica King, an attorney in private practice from Oshkosh, born and raised in Fond du Lac.

SENATE DISTRICT 32:

Republican incumbent: Senator Dan Kapanke of La Crosse, First elected to Senate in 2004.

Democratic challenger: Representative Jennifer Shilling of La Crosse. Elected to Assembly since 2000.

AP results link


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: commiesraus; unionbullies; unionthugs; wisconsin; wisconsinrecall; wisconsinshowdown
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To: Jean S
*
61 posted on 08/09/2011 6:02:49 PM PDT by tomkat (Sarah '12)
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To: Joe Boucher

I lost faith when Al Franken was close enough to even steal the election. That is totally ridiculous. That election should have been 70-30 Republican winning. That is what is the loss of faith in elections should be. I mean 30 percent will always vote Democratic no matter what. The fact that the election was even close is embarrassing.


62 posted on 08/09/2011 6:02:54 PM PDT by napscoordinator
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bttt


63 posted on 08/09/2011 6:03:03 PM PDT by Matchett-PI ( Sowell: "A lot of people mistake confusion in their own minds for complexity in the real world.")
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To: Flycatcher

Self ping for later reading.


64 posted on 08/09/2011 6:04:31 PM PDT by Flycatcher (God speaks to us, through the supernal lightness of birds, in a special type of poetry.)
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To: tcrlaf
So they're screaming "Get Out The Vote!", knocking on tens of thousands of doors and phoning everybody---

and now they're concerned about higher turnout?

Moonbats are just so silly.

65 posted on 08/09/2011 6:08:01 PM PDT by Mangia E Statti Zitto
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To: Jean S

Are there no Democratic incumbents who are facing a recall election? I would think that the Dems would be the ones being recalled after they decided to leave town and not do their jobs.


66 posted on 08/09/2011 6:11:55 PM PDT by Brett11
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To: Brett11

next week


67 posted on 08/09/2011 6:13:43 PM PDT by rlbedfor
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To: Brett11

There are two scheduled for next Tuesday. There was a third last month, but the Dem easily won that one because the lead challenger’s campaign messed up on signatures and the partisan Govt. Accountability Board dismissed just enough to get him off the ballot.


68 posted on 08/09/2011 6:14:29 PM PDT by creeping death
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To: WHBates

The R.N.C. ala Senor Steele sat back and did NOTHING to stop the theft.


69 posted on 08/09/2011 6:19:09 PM PDT by Joe Boucher ((FUBO) Don't trust the F.B.I. the C.I.A. and specially the B.A.T.F.)
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To: All
Looking at the election history it was always very plausible Dems can flip up two, maybe three, seats in the recall.

They need three to retake the majority in the WI Senate. With union thug momentum, I generally expect they'll sweep themselves in.

Looking at election history only:

High risk:

Randy Hopper (Fond du Lac) won by only 163 votes in 2008. I'd call that one at very serious risk.

Alberta Darling (River Hills) won by 1% in 2008, just over 1,000 votes. I'd call that one at serious risk.

Some risk:

Dan Kapake (La Crosse) won reelection by less than 3% in 2008, about 2500 votes, slightly smaller margin than when he took the seat. He ran for congress in 2010 and lost by almost 4%. I'd say there's some risk to this seat.

Little risk:

Sheila Harsdorf (River Falls) won by 12% in 2008, over 11,000 votes. Probably safe.

No risk:

Rob Cowles (Allouez) won with 99.35% of the vote. I think he's safe.

Luther Olseon (Ripon) won with 99.35% of the vote. I think he's safe too.

70 posted on 08/09/2011 6:19:19 PM PDT by newzjunkey (the circular firing squad has got to end now)
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To: Jean S

Here’s the link to the AP page for return totals and updates...

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/WI_Page_0809.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS


71 posted on 08/09/2011 6:19:25 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: Brett11

TUESDAY, AUGUST 16:

SENATE DISTRICT 12:

Democratic incumbent: Senator Jim Holperin of Conover. Elected to Senate in 2008. Elected to Assembly 1982-1992.

Republican challenger: Kim Simac of Eagle River.

SENATE DISTRICT 22:

Democratic incumbent: Senator Robert Wirch of Pleasant Prairie. First elected to Senate in 1996.

Republican challenger: Jonathan Steitz of Pleasant Prairie.

SENATE DISTRICT 30: Democratic Senator Dave Hansen of Green Bay won the recall election on July 19 to retain his seat.

(Reporting by David Bailey, Mary Wisniewski, Brendan O'Brien and James B. Kelleher; Editing by Jerry Norton)

--------------------

Simac has a chance. Odds are that Wirch won't be defeated.

72 posted on 08/09/2011 6:20:40 PM PDT by Jean S
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To: newzjunkey

And what’s the assessment for the two next week? Any idea?


73 posted on 08/09/2011 6:20:59 PM PDT by JustSurrounded (Repeal it all.)
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To: napscoordinator

If it’s close they will steal it.

YOu ever retire?
If so to where?


74 posted on 08/09/2011 6:21:49 PM PDT by Joe Boucher ((FUBO) Don't trust the F.B.I. the C.I.A. and specially the B.A.T.F.)
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To: cripplecreek

bttt


75 posted on 08/09/2011 6:23:49 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin)
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To: San Jacinto

Huge numbers, my take is WI will win. We’re fighting this battle for the country. Obama is pissed off his choo choo train failed, and he’s lashing out. Obama hates WI, it’s visceral.


76 posted on 08/09/2011 6:25:17 PM PDT by Indy Pendance
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To: newzjunkey

Your analysis of the projected outcome of these elections is so off that you made my head spin.

Please don’t post unless you know what the hell you’re talking about.


77 posted on 08/09/2011 6:25:33 PM PDT by Jean S
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To: JustSurrounded

I’m thinking that the only logical course of action for the conservatives to do, if the liberals win, is to riot and burn down our own homes and businesses.

Any odds on the social response if the ‘pubs keep their seats?


78 posted on 08/09/2011 6:27:18 PM PDT by Nonsense Unlimited
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To: Jean S
Your analysis of the projected outcome of these elections is so off that you made my head spin. Please don’t post unless you know what the hell you’re talking about.

Please explain how it is incorrect. Too optimistic for GOP? Too pessimistic?

79 posted on 08/09/2011 6:29:41 PM PDT by Blennos
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To: Jean S

Kapakne is the senator at most risk. LaCrosse is just bad news.


80 posted on 08/09/2011 6:30:06 PM PDT by mwl8787
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