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Hurricane Irene [Now at Cat 3]
NHC/NOAA ^ | 20 August 2011 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 08/20/2011 4:22:03 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Tropical Storm Irene has developed from Invest 97 in the Western Atlantic Ocean, east of the Leeward Islands.

Satellite Images

Public Advisories

NHC Discussions

Sea Surface Temps

Buoy Data:


Caribbean Sea
Florida

Stormpulse


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneirene; irene; tropical
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To: WorkerbeeCitizen
It's always a tad more pleasant to perform hurricane prep chores when the weather is nice. Waiting until the wind and rain kicks up can be a major pain.

:o)

221 posted on 08/23/2011 6:42:41 AM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: tarheelswamprat

Yes, NC really got creamed by Floyd. What I remember from the east coast of Florida is that we did the evac since it was supposed to travel up the coast - but s/he missed us. Floyd stayed about 75 miles offshore, paralleling the coast, and being on the back-side our weather was pleasant. All the people who evacuated said “never again,” the absolute wrong lesson to learn from a near hit. Of course, the Charlie / Frances / Ivan / Jeanne season wised up many.


222 posted on 08/23/2011 6:54:36 AM PDT by NonValueAdded (Tagline on vacation, day 4)
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To: fwdude

You mean Houston doesn’t suck enough already?.................


223 posted on 08/23/2011 6:55:35 AM PDT by Red Badger ("Treason doth never prosper.... What's the reason? Why if it prosper, none dare call it treason.")
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To: NautiNurse; WorkerbeeCitizen

Yeah but you sure get a lot more done when the rain begins.

I’ve always helped neighbors finalize prep and occasionally my own, so I always end of getting wet and sometimes a bit ruffled. :)


224 posted on 08/23/2011 6:59:53 AM PDT by SouthTexas (You cannot bargain with the devil, shut the government down.)
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To: NonValueAdded; NautiNurse

From 1996 beginning with Bertha and Fran through 1999 we had several hurricanes come right through our NC-SC border coastal area. We were calling ourselves Hurricane Alley.

As NN mentioned, the successive rains from multiple storms close together really exacerbated the damage from Floyd. After a long drought we’ve just had heavy rains again recently and there’s a lot of surface water that hasn’t run off yet, so if Irene dumps a lot more it’ll be worse this time as well.


225 posted on 08/23/2011 7:14:09 AM PDT by tarheelswamprat
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To: tarheelswamprat

Part of the Floyd problem was that it essentially stalled out over the area, IIRC. If nothing else, I’m not hearing any noise about that happening with Irene, so hopefully that will keep the Tar in its banks.

Meanwhile, I’m still hopeful of a ‘miss’ all together: looks like the Hurricane Center itself is now the ‘outlier’, as its track is the MOST westward of all the models I’m looking at. Let’s hope that trend continues.


226 posted on 08/23/2011 7:26:48 AM PDT by alancarp (Liberals are all for shared pain... until they're included in the pain group.)
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To: NautiNurse

bump


227 posted on 08/23/2011 7:39:21 AM PDT by Liberty Valance (Keep a simple manner for a happy life :o)
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To: NautiNurse

11 AM advisory out, no change in current intensity, no apparent change in forecast track or intensity, still forecast to hit around Wilmington, NC.


228 posted on 08/23/2011 7:57:59 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: NautiNurse; rodguy911
OK it's not politically correct but this is a pretty comprehensive Caribbean weather site:

http://queerkey.com/

I found it yesterday on the Coconut Telegraph a local left wing nut website from Big Pine Key

.

229 posted on 08/23/2011 7:58:54 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: Elle Bee

It’s a different world down here no doubt, especially the further South you get.


230 posted on 08/23/2011 8:05:18 AM PDT by rodguy911 (FreeRepublic:Land of the Free because of the Brave--Sarah Palin 2012)
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To: Elle Bee

What hurricane is shown in the animated graphic on the Coconut Telegraph site (next to the queerkey link)? It surely doesn’t look like Irene, and its too far north of Hispaniola. It looks like some stock animated gif of the perfect storm. Very deceiving, but then what would we expect from a left wingnut site?


231 posted on 08/23/2011 8:51:41 AM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: NautiNurse

The forecast track now has Irene coming right thru the Philly area on Sunday. We’ve had our rainiest month ever already. If Irene hits here even as a middling tropic storm, the flooding could be epic.


232 posted on 08/23/2011 9:30:10 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

Still 5 full days out from a Philadelphia scenario. Remember, the NHC forecast error swath at 5 days is ~250 miles. Best recommendation is go ahead and fill up your gas tank(s) for car, grill and generator if you have them, get cash, and make a list of tasks for each day from now through Saturday if the risk of a direct hit continues to grow.


233 posted on 08/23/2011 10:18:55 AM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: NautiNurse; Trueblackman
Visitors ordered to evacuate N.C.'s Ocracoke Island

Kevin, in your thread from yesterday there was talk about how long it's been since a 'cane came up the Chesapeake Bay.......one of the forecasts is now calling for this one to come up on Sunday.

So much for my plans to spend the weekend in Delaware.

234 posted on 08/23/2011 10:26:40 AM PDT by Gabz (Democrats for Voldemort.)
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To: NonValueAdded

Great idea...if anyone deserves a cat 4, it’s martha’s....lol


235 posted on 08/23/2011 10:29:24 AM PDT by Fawn (No--bama 2012)
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To: NautiNurse

I’m pretty far inland. Main problem for me would be power outages and inability to get around from downed trees (like we saw with Isabel in 2003). So I’ll make sure I have canned food and water to last a couple of weeks.


236 posted on 08/23/2011 10:38:46 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: NautiNurse; All
IS the southeast coast of Florida totally, absolutely, positively, no chance of error in the clear?

Does this monster potential Cat4 have any chance of turning and hitting our coast directly?

Will we even feel winds, rain....etc.

Or are we totally in the clear?

Just want to know.

237 posted on 08/23/2011 10:49:45 AM PDT by Guenevere (....)
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To: dirtboy
Main problem for me would be power outages and inability to get around from downed trees

Do you have a chainsaw? We consider them another hurricane staple down here. They won't change the direction of the storm, they don't taste as good as chocolate, but they sing a beautiful melody after a nasty storm has passed.

238 posted on 08/23/2011 10:53:23 AM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: Guenevere

IS the southeast coast of Florida totally, absolutely, positively, no chance of error in the clear?...........................................We should lnow something for sure sometime thursday night!!:>}


239 posted on 08/23/2011 10:58:18 AM PDT by eastforker
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To: Guenevere
All of Florida is out of the Cone of Uncertainty this afternoon.

Two things to remember:

If the forecast models and storm shift westward, then Florida could potentially be back in play.

This is a large storm. Tropical storm force winds currently extend outward 205 miles from the center. If the storm is 150 miles offshore, then tropical storm force winds are possible.

OFF TOPIC--an earthquake has occurred in Washington D.C. Evacuations occurring from federal government buildings.

240 posted on 08/23/2011 10:58:48 AM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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