[Palmetto Patriot]

Here are some benchmarks to keep in mind as you watch the results:

“Update: Benchmarks via Sean Trende:

In ’08, Weiner carried Brooklyn portion of NY9 52/48. Queens = 65/35. Queens = 70% total vote. There’s your benchmarks.

Update: More benchmarks via Nate Silver:

NY09 over/under line: Weprin (D) would need about 54% of the votes in Queens precincts, 42% in Brooklyn precincts, to tie Turner (R)”

- courtesy Hot Air

All the precincts reporting thus far are in Queens, very early, but a good sign.

[ari-freedom]

if turner wins queens, it’s all over.

[southernnorthcarolina]

In ’08, Weiner carried Brooklyn portion of NY9 52/48. Queens = 65/35. Queens = 70% total vote. There’s your benchmarks.

Update: More benchmarks via Nate Silver:

NY09 over/under line: Weprin (D) would need about 54% of the votes in Queens precincts, 42% in Brooklyn precincts, to tie Turner (R)”

Thanks for that info, Palmetto. I'd have guessed the opposite (that Jewish voters in Brooklyn would be more prone to voting for the Dem), but the first returns from Brooklyn confirm your thoughts. I'm optimistic on this race now.

[God luvs America]

2/3’s of the votes counted in Queens and its 50/50....