Herman Cain tops Mitt Romney in latest CBS/NYT poll

cbsnews.com ^ | 10/25/11 | Corbett B. Daly

[ScottinVA]

Cain’s continued success is his to lose at this point—IMHO.

As a Cain supporter, I agree. As such, he HAS to sharpen up the message management. He seems to have survived the boofs on abortion and GITMO, but that good fortune won't hold out forever. The cumulative effect of errors can cost him. Also, he's eventually going to have to get more specific on his foreign policy philosophies. The nightmare scenario is his badly blowing a debate question pertaining to a "what-if" scenario. He's going to have to get it right the first time. Through all that, it appears that his support is solidifying like Bachmann's and Perry's never did. The longer he stays on top, the more acceptable to the electorate is the idea he should go forward.

[Vasilli22]

A moronic talking head in Denver this morning interpreted the poll this way: “Here is what I would take away from this poll; Romney’s support is unwavering and he has a hard core group of supporters backing him. This will bode well for him in the primaries.” Huh? This political “expert” did not even talk about Cain.

[CSI007]

“IMHO...Cain is nothing but a spoiler”

Do you even know what a spoiler is?

Cain is a viable candidate right now and his support continues to grow. The only ones “spoiling” the conservative side of the equation are Bachman and Gingrich..Maybe Perry.

At this point in time the only thing stopping Cain for the nomination is himself and Gingrich.

[FreedomPoster]

>>I just noticed that also, among just the tea party respondents the numbers were even more devastating for Romney, it was Cain 32, Romney 18.

This means Cain is way ahead among the most motivated, involved, most-likely-to-vote group voting in the Republican primary.

[Lakeshark]

I think it's very important for him to at least do well in this coming debate with Newt. He doesn't have to win, he just has to show he has a decent understanding of why conservative policies are right in all the important areas. A strong growing and free economy, a strong morality (social issues), and a strong foreign policy with America as leader of the free world. That's the Reagan three legged stool.

If he does that, he will continue rising in the polls, otherwise it will be a dog fight until the end, with the awful consequence of a possible Romney nomination.

[moovova]

Honest? Really? heh

And next week, the MSM will be touting the same refrain...as Herman climbs even higher in the polls.

[dirtboy]

IMHO...Cain is nothing but a spoiler

What part of Rick Perry in FIFTH place - behind Ron Paul - do you not understand?

Perry is toast as the anti-Romney. It's going to be either Cain or Newt at this point, IMO.

[LibLieSlayer]

A high percentage of republican voters do not especially like the other two poll leaders and Cain is the best of a horrible slate of candidates... a slate of candidates that our progressive leadership have shaped and coerced for us to choose from. Hard to decide when the choices are unpalatable... except for Cain... who is by no means a super candidate.

LLS

[Happy Rain]

It’s like they have a daily calender with “Cain Peaks Today” on every sheet.

[Huck]

Because they can’t believe their good fortune.

[LibLieSlayer]

BADA BING-O!

LLS

[freeangel]

“Rove and Hume just yesterday assured us that Cain is crashing. Rove even specifically said that Cain had peaked between 10/6 and 10/10 and is now tanking in the polls.”

Rove has finally gone over the edge in his lala mind and Hume really thinks his name is Huma because he acts like a weiner.

[LibLieSlayer]

I despise hume and rove... both are cut from the same whole cloth... rove is just a political wh0re selling himself to the highest bidder... hume... well I never though that he could be bought... but it certainly pains me that it appears that way.

LLS

[onyx]

You’re precisely right on all counts. Coach him.
:)

[justsaynomore]

How can they ignore all of these?

Cain’s polling in October (newest at the bottom)

Perry Plummets, Cain Surges in Positive Intensity
http://www.gallup.com/poll/149924/Perry-Plummets-Cain-Surges-Positive-Intensity.aspx

CBS poll - Romney and Cain tied at 17%, Perry 12%
http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/TheRepublicanRace.pdf

Quinnipiac University - Romney gets 22%, Cain 17% and Perry 14%
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1295.xml?ReleaseID=1655

ABC poll - Romney 25%, Cain and Perry tied for 16%
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/rick-perry-slips-herman-cain-rises-in-bid-for-gop-nomination-poll-finds/2011/10/03/gIQASiJiJL_story.html

National Federation of Republican Women
Herman Cain – 48.9%, Rick Perry – 14.1% Mitt Romney – 13.3%
http://www.nfrw.org/news/20111002.htm

TeaCon straw poll - Cain 77%
http://www.wbez.org/story/herman-cain-wins-tea-party-straw-poll-illinois-92729

PPP
North Carolina: Cain 27, Romney/Gingrich 17
Nebraska: Cain 30, Gingrich 16, Romney 13
West Virginia: Cain 24, Gingrich 18, Romney 16
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/10/cainmentum.html

Tea Party Nation poll
Herman Cain 44%, Gingrich 22%, Sarah Palin 9%
http://barrington-il.patch.com/blog_posts/herman-cain-wins-another-straw-poll

Herman Cain’s New Hampshire surge found in second poll
WMUR/UNH poll - Romney at 37%, Cain at 12% and Paul at 9%.
Mitt Romney 38%, Cain 20%, Ron Paul 13%
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1011/65543.html

Midwestern Leadership Conference
Cain 52.6%, Bachmann 12.2%, Romney 11.1%
http://dailycaller.com/2011/10/09/cain-dominates-midwestern-leadership-conference-straw-poll/

Gallup
Romney 20%, Cain 18%, Perry 15%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/149990/Cain-Surges-Nearly-Ties-Romney-Lead-GOP-Preferences.aspx

Washington Post-ABC News Poll
Among GOP leaning adults - 22%, 20%, 12%
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_100211.html

The poll found Cain topping Obama by a narrow 43%-41%, Cain gets 24% of the African-American respondents.
http://pollposition.com/2011/10/10/cain-edging-obama/

Cain Leads South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary
Cain 26%, Romney 25%, Perry 15%
http://americanresearchgroup.com/

Cain leads Iowa caucus
Cain has 30% to Mitt Romney’s 22%, Ron Paul’s 10%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/iowa/

Cain leads National Poll
Cain 30%, Romney 22%, Gingrich 15%
www.businessinsider.com/shock-poll-herman-cain-leads-gop-nationally-2011-10

NBC/WSJ poll: Cain now leads GOP pack
Cain 27% Romney 23% Perry 16%
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/44881446/ns/politics-decision_2012/

Lightning strikes twice: Cain 27, Romney 23, Perry 16, Paul 11
http://hotair.com/archives/2011/10/12/lightning-strikes-twice-cain-27-romney-23-perry-16-paul-11/

Cain Leading GOP Field in Florida
http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/blog/herman-cain-leading-gop-2012-field-florida

Cain Leads GALLUP poll (Cain 23%; Romney/Perry at 18%)
http://www.gallup.com/poll/150134/Romney-Competitive-Top-GOP-Rivals-Among-Conservatives.aspx

Cain, not Romney, is now the favorite to win the GOP nomination
http://dailycaller.com/2011/10/11/cain-not-romney-is-now-the-favorite-to-win-the-gop-nomination/

Economist/YouGov poll (Herman Cain 33%, Mitt Romney 18%)
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/20111011econToplines.pdf

Cain leads SC Republican Primary (Cain 32%, Romney 16%, Perry 12%)
http://chronicle.augusta.com/news/government/elections/2011-10-17/cain-leads-south-carolina-republican-primary-race?v=1318813096

Florida Times Union/Morris Poll (Romney 32%, Cain 30%, Gingrich 11.7%, Perry 2.9%, Paul 2.7%)
http://www.scribd.com/doc/69112295/Florida-Presidential-Poll-from-Morris-News

IBOPE Zogby Poll (Cain 45%, Romney 21%, Rick Perry 7%, Bachmann, 1%)
http://www.zogby.com/news/2011/10/17/ibope-zogby-poll-cain-continues-pull-away-perry-bachmann-fading/

PPP
Iowa: 26% Cain, 18% Romney, 12% Gingrich, 11% Bachmann, 10% Paul, 6% Perry, 1% Huntsman, 0% Santorum
New Hampshire: 39% Romney, 24% Cain, 11% Paul, 5% Bachmann, 5% Gingrich, 5% Huntsman, 2% Perry, 0% Santorum

Ohio poll: Cain takes lead in GOP presidential race (Cain 34 Romney 19)
http://www.daytondailynews.com/blogs/content/shared-gen/blogs/dayton/ohiopolitics/entries/2011/10/18/ohio_poll_cain_takes_lead_in_g.html

NBC News/Marist Poll 2012 South Carolina (Cain 30%, Romney 26%, Perry 9%, Gingrich 6%)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2795021/posts

Azimuth Poll - Texas Primary (Cain 33%, Perry 18%, Romney 7%)
http://www.fontcraft.com/azimuth/?p=113

Cain leads Nevada GOP poll (Cain 31%, Romney 29%, Gingrich 20%, Paul 10%, Perry 4%)
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/oct/21/cain-tops-field-again-nevada-gop-straw-poll/

Illinois GOP Poll (Cain 23.4%, Romney 20.6%, Gingrich 7.6%, Perry 7.2%, Paul 6.6%)
http://illinoisreview.typepad.com/illinoisreview/2011/10/illinois-gop-voters-prefer-cain-in-siu-poll.html

IOWA - University of Iowa poll: Cain 37% Romney 27% Ron Paul 12% Perry 6%
http://news-releases.uiowa.edu/2011/october/102111Hawk%20Poll%20Topline.pdf

Civitas Poll: Cain Leads Obama in N.C. (46% to 41%)
http://www.nccivitas.org/2011/civitas-poll-cain-leads-obama-in-n-c/

Is Herman Cain’s 9-9-9 Proposal on the Right Track? (Only 10% of people have a negative view) 52K votes
http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2011/10/19/is-herman-cains-proposal-on-right-track/

O’Reilly Poll (Cain 60%, Romney 40%) 22K votes
http://www.foxnews.com/on-air/oreilly/2011/10/14/bill-oreilly-herman-cain-factor

[RoosterRedux]

The debate with Gingrich is going to be a Lincoln-Stephens format debate...in other words, friendly and expansive.

Cain, being a successful conservative radio talk show host, should perform well. And of course, Gingrich can talk for hours.

[imchris]

Good news, glad Mr. is taking a lead over Mitt in this latest AP polls.

By the way, does anybody know what’s behind the Newt & Cain willing to participate in the upcoming Lincoln-Douglas debate? I hope they won’t attack one another just so that other GOP candidates can benefit from this.

[justsaynomore]

“1. His 9-9-9 plan. Michelle’s right. Let the Government get another foot in the TAX door, and we’re just going to have another tax that will never go away... while all of the taxes that have supposedly been “cut” WON’T be, or will creep back up. End result... even less of our money in our own pockets. NO THANKS.”

One thing to keep in mind is that while he imposes one tax, he gets rid of 5 other taxes. The payroll tax alone is a huge revenue stream that he is getting rid of - 15.3% of every individual. The best part is = he gets rid of five hidden taxes in favor of one visible tax.

And Bachmann was not being very honest in the debate - because she has long been a Fair Tax proponent which is 23% consumption tax. Cain’s 9% consumption tax is the bridge to the Fair Tax, the other two taxes go away in phase II of his plan (Fair Tax)

[Jeff Head]

But Karl and Britt both said that Cain was done. That his gaffes were fatal and he would start faltering significantly in the polls. [/sarcasm]

Hehehe...guess that didn't ask the right people. So does that make their statements, "gaffes"?

Cain has made gaffes and mis-quotes and mis-statements. But most people trust him. They know he is not a "professional" polished politician. They also know that he has the country's best interests at heart and trust his record as a decision maker and problem solver in business to allow him to get in a position to put a team together to tackle the problems we face...and to do it from American interests, with a solidly all-American and traditional American fundamental principle base.

That's what they are all missing...and it is exactly what Obama and his ilk will overlook as well because in Obama's case he simply cannot concieve it or give it credence in any case because such a notion is alien to him.

HERMAN CAIN IN 2012 FOR A STRONGER, RESTORED AMERICA

[mandaladon]

Someone call Rove and ask him if this means Cain is declining in the polls.