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Rasmussen poll shows Gingrich with double-digit lead in Iowa
Hot Air ^ | 11/17/2011 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 11/17/2011 10:58:22 AM PST by TBBT

Rasmussen’s latest poll in Iowa gives Newt Gingrich a big claim to legitimacy in the Republican nomination fight, but it also is pretty good news for Mitt Romney as well. Among likely caucus-goers, Gingrich now leads Romney 32/19, with Herman Cain dropping more than half of his previous support:

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers shows Gingrich with 32% followed by former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney at 19%. Georgia businessman Herman Cain, who led in Iowa last month, drops to third with 13% of the vote. Texas Congressman Ron Paul draws 10% of the vote in Iowa, while Texas Governor Rick Perry and Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann each grab six percent (6%).

Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum draws support from five percent (5%) of caucus-goers while former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman picks up two percent (2%). Only one percent (1%) would prefer some other candidate and six percent (6%) more are undecided.

This is the first primary survey conducted entirely after last week’s GOP debate on foreign policy. Cain also recently fumbled a response to the administration’s actions in Libya.

This comes from a sample of 700 respondents, which is larger than the Bloomberg survey released this week showing a four-way tie in Iowa. This survey took place more recently than the Bloomberg poll as well, incorporating the Saturday debate on foreign policy, in which Cain struggled. As far as the Ron Paul surge Bloomberg noted, it seems to have bypassed Rasmussen’s sample. In fact, while Paul continues to hold onto about 10% of the caucus goers in Iowa, he’s not likely to get much more:

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: cain; ia; ia2012; iowa; newt; polls
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To: BoingBoing

Sometimes polls are just wrong. If we get a huge Gingrich surge in the next few days of polling, it was a poll ahead of the curve. If we don’t, it was just a bad poll.

No big deal, but why people shouldn’t freak out (good or bad) over a single poll.


21 posted on 11/17/2011 11:13:08 AM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: TBBT

http://www.news.iastate.edu/news/2011/nov/ISUpoll


22 posted on 11/17/2011 11:16:59 AM PST by org.whodat (Just another heartless American, hated by "AMNESTY" Perry and his fellow demorats.)
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To: MNJohnnie
Stick a fork in Newt he is done.

Want to give any odds on that?

23 posted on 11/17/2011 11:17:26 AM PST by itsahoot (There was a bloodless coup in 08, and no one seemed to notice. God help us.)
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To: TBBT

Gingrich would made a good Vice President. He has too much baggage to lead the country. America needs a fresh face like HERMAN CAIN.


24 posted on 11/17/2011 11:18:56 AM PST by stars & stripes forever ( Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord.)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP
And how did your relentless pimping McCain around here in 2008 work out for us PF?

How many times are you and the GOPbots going to make the same mistake before you finally wise up?

25 posted on 11/17/2011 11:21:11 AM PST by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: itsahoot
SHUSH! don't get him started.
26 posted on 11/17/2011 11:22:25 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: org.whodat

Interesting. Since that doesn’t support the game plan, I doubt that will get much publicity in the media.


27 posted on 11/17/2011 11:22:50 AM PST by meatloaf (It's time to push back against out of control government.)
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To: stars & stripes forever

America got a ‘fresh face’ in 2008. Fresh face doesn’t always mean good.


28 posted on 11/17/2011 11:22:50 AM PST by ph12321 (We must, indeed, all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately - Benjamin Franklin)
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To: TBBT

Polls Polls Polls, another one with different results? A few posts down I read this “according to a new poll released Thursday. The Iowa State University/Gazette/KCRG poll found that the former Godfather’s Pizza CEO leads the GOP field in Iowa with the support of 24.5 percent of Republican voters.”.

You can go nuts with these polls. They’re all worthless as far as I am concerned.


29 posted on 11/17/2011 11:22:56 AM PST by Bringbackthedraft (Its not who we elect, its those who they appoint that mater most!.)
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To: TBBT

The truth, newt has obummer smilling, http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/november_2011/election_2012_obama_50_gingrich_38


30 posted on 11/17/2011 11:23:35 AM PST by org.whodat (Just another heartless American, hated by "AMNESTY" Perry and his fellow demorats.)
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To: ph12321
Fresh face doesn’t always mean good.

It is good when the candidate is qualified.

10 REASONS WHY CAIN IS ABLE

1) Mathematician for the Navy, where he worked on missile ballistics (making him a rocket scientist 2) Computer systems analyst for Coca-Cola 3) VP of Corporate Data Systems and Services for Pillsbury 4) Business Manager for 400 Burger King restaurants He learned the business from the ground up to turn the poorest performers into three the best performers in three years) 5) CEO and owner of Godfather’s Pizza 6) Chairman of the National Restaurant Association 7) Adviser to the Federal Reserve System and Chairman of the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank 8)Writer, public speaker, and WSB-Atlanta Radio Host 9)Associate Minister 10) faithful husband, and father.

31 posted on 11/17/2011 11:30:31 AM PST by stars & stripes forever ( Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord.)
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**Would you miss it if it went away?**
**Click above, donate what you can to help take us to the top**
Thank you!

32 posted on 11/17/2011 11:34:46 AM PST by STARWISE (The overlords are in place .. we are a nation under siege .. pray, go Galt & hunker down)
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To: TBBT
I take two meanings from this poll: First, it is a Rasmussen poll which means that it's very likely to be accurate. I know he polled 700 likely caucus goers. Rasmussen's methodology is good and he is usually right on.

Second, this poll confirms the momentum which has been up for Gingrich and down for his two competitors, Romney and Cain. Although we are far away from the January caucus event, Romney and McCain will have a difficult time stopping their fall, reversing the direction and overtaking Gingrich. Absent an intervening event such as a scandal or a monumental gaffe by Gingrich, the trajectory of the arrows show Gingrich pulling away from the other two and we would expect that to continue.


33 posted on 11/17/2011 11:35:28 AM PST by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: montag813
It will be a long 7 weeks.

The next seven weeks include Thanksgiving Day, college football rivals week, Advent, Christmas Eve, Christmas Day, New Year's Eve, and New Year's Day.

It's the most wonderful time of the year and it will go by fast, just like it always does.

The leftists are trying desperately to bury Cain, and to raise Mitt and Obama. I'm going to kick back a bit, tuck into a couple of good meals, enjoy some gridiron and some tasty beverages, and then starting January 3rd take up the important business of beating down the commies with a CAIN!

34 posted on 11/17/2011 11:36:58 AM PST by rogue yam
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To: TBBT; TitansAFC

Newer poll shows Gingrich in lead


35 posted on 11/17/2011 11:38:00 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True Supporters of our Troops PRAY for their VICTORY!)
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To: stars & stripes forever

IF Cain makes it out of the primary, I’ll gladly campaign for him. If it’s mutt romney, I’m writing in Palin.

I believe the establishment is pushing romney, which would just about guarantee the resident reelected. Mutt’s former work with bain capital would be too easy for the media to repeatedly use in today’s environment setup from the ows pansies to help the resident.

Sad, but found this interesting list below (regarding Cain):

1. He supported TARP
2. He endorsed Romney
3. He is a flip-flopper on abortion (numerous times)
4. He is a flip-flopper on gay marraige
5. He is a flip-flopper on killing Al Awlaki
6. He donated to Democrat politicians in Nebraska
7. He has no voting record, so we don’t know which way he would on anything
8. He worked for the Fed
9. He has high praise for Alan Greenspan (Andrea Mitchell’s hubbie)
10. He ripped people who opposed TARP as “free market purists”

Sources:
1. http://004eeb5.netsolhost.com/hc133.htm
2. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXUz1gscEnM
3. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/post/herman-cain-and-abortion-flip-flop-flip/2011/10/24/gIQAZ16NDM_blog.html
4. http://theweek.com/article/index/220679/herman-cains-lastest-flip-flop-a-federal-gay-marriage-ban
5. http://rt.com/news/blogs/contrarian-view/al-awlaki-killing-obama/
6. http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/herman-cain-explains-past-donations-democrats-162526044.html
7. - (no voting record speaks for itself - no link)
8. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Cain
9. http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/10/herman-cain-praises-greenspan-at-risk-of-tea-party-support/
10. http://washingtonexaminer.com/blogs/beltway-confidential/2011/05/flashback-2008-herman-cain-praised-tarp-chided-free-market-purist


36 posted on 11/17/2011 11:40:42 AM PST by ph12321 (We must, indeed, all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately - Benjamin Franklin)
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To: BoingBoing

We never buy the polls we don’t like. LOL


37 posted on 11/17/2011 11:41:55 AM PST by Gator113 (~Just livin' life, my way~.. Newt/West 2012.“I’ve got a lot swirling around in my head.”)
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To: MNJohnnie

I think Newt is smarter than to allow a contract he had as a private business consultant to slow him down.

Fanny/Freddie hiring Newt is no different than my hiring the best plumber in the area. They wanted valid input and they got it. They didn’t get what they wanted to hear, but they got an expert’s input.


38 posted on 11/17/2011 11:43:17 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True Supporters of our Troops PRAY for their VICTORY!)
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To: rogue yam

Sounds like a WINNING PLAN. Just keep flooding Cain with tons of funds as well. And volunteer where needed.

https://www.supporthermancain.com/donate/src/1103weAD16


39 posted on 11/17/2011 11:44:17 AM PST by CainConservative
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Comment #40 Removed by Moderator


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