If Mr. Santorum were to pick up half of Mrs. Bachmann’s previous support, he would essentially be in an three-way tie for first place with Ron Paul and Mitt Romney.
To: SeekAndFind
NOTE:
Nate Silver’s model currently gives Mr. Santorum a 7 percent chance of winning the caucuses, while the betting market Intrade gives him a 9 percent chance.
To: SeekAndFind
It amazes me what a big deal we make of this caucus which probably won't attract 100,000 voters.
Oh well, I guess it's the only show in town.
3 posted on
12/30/2011 9:07:26 AM PST by
evad
(STOP SPENDING, STOP SPENDING, STOP SPENDING. It's the SPENDING Stupid)
To: SeekAndFind
How long?
Until the liberal media and other republicans start ganging up on him.
To: SeekAndFind
Before any Mitt bots smear Santorum, I’ll point out Mitt seems to be carefully imitating John Edwards’ hairdo.
Nobody likes John Edwards.
To: SeekAndFind
Too late for Santorum. Maybe if everyone got behind him 2 months ago, he could have made a push. But now its too late. He doesnt have the ground game across the country nor the money to compete.
It’s going to be Romney unless Gingrich somehow stops him. That’s just simply where the race is at.
One thing the Romney and Paul supporters have that no conservative in the race has....LOYALTY! Conservatives will lose this election because they spent all summer and fall jumping from one candidate to another in search of perfection. Perfection that was never found.
To: SeekAndFind
Nate Silver. Check. NYT. Check. Intent to split conservative vote to get Romney. Check.
To: SeekAndFind
Noot dropping like a rock, he will finish in the bottom three. Surprise, surprise.
9 posted on
12/30/2011 9:18:13 AM PST by
org.whodat
(Just another heartless American, hated by "AMNESTY" Newt, Willard, Perry and nervous supporters.)
To: SeekAndFind
A caucus is a funny thing. It is subject to a very different set of dynamics in comparison to a secret ballot election and surprising results are more the norm than the exception. My impression is that of Gingrich, Romney, and Santorum, the one candidate who has a relatively unblemished conservative record and image is the former senator from Pennsylvania. All the others still in the race have significant flaws which have been well exposed over the past several months.
Self described conservative voters have been swinging in their stated preference among various candidates for a year now as all of them have been subject to both fair and extremely unfair media exposure, and sometimes outright distortion. Lots of this slung mud has been smeared on a daily basis at this website, frequently by posters whose Freeper names I personally have never seen before but are listed as having joined many years ago. But that is another subject for another day. The conservative core in this polling is basically looking for anyone besides Mitt Romney who might still have a reasonable chance to defeat Obama in just over 11 months time, and as each possibility has been vetted or decided to not compete others have been grasped at with growing desperation.
The bottom line is that these polls are almost meaningless in such a piranha tank environment and in an open caucus it could well come down to the one candidate who has until now not received much serious notice by the school of ravenous fish. We know who the media and a party establishment that is happiest in the minority want selected. Santorum may be the last alternative with a real chance of coming out of Iowa with momentum and a crow bar big enough to turn their apple cart on its side.
21 posted on
12/30/2011 9:48:40 AM PST by
katana
(Just my opinions)
To: SeekAndFind
.
The Liberal News-Media (now joined by their The Usual E-RINO Suspects) will suffer an "epic fail" ...
as they DESPERATELY try to force a "faux disqualification" for Newt Gingrich in the upcoming Iowa Caucus and New Hampshire Primary.
I'm confident that Newt Gingrich will "decimate" Mitt Romney and Dr. Winkie (Ron Paul) in South Carolina and Florida ...
======================================
How many successful POTUS candidates have ever won the Iowa Caucus ?
In the last thirty-two (32) years ... only ONE Democrat (Obama in 2008) and ONE Republican (Bush-43 in 2000) have won BOTH the Iowa Caucus and the Presidential Election ...
Of course, that doesn't include "sitting" Presidents (Reagan, Clinton) who won Iowas on their way to a second term election ...
That presents odds of TWO (2) Iowa Caucus wins out of SIXTEEN (16) possible Presidential Election Candidates !
Equivalent to a Whopping twelve-point-five (12.5) percent success rate ...
How many successful POTUS candidates have ever won the New Hampshire Primary ?
In the last thirty-two (32) years ... only ONE Democrat (Carter in 1976) and TWO Republicans (Reagan-1980 and Bush-41 in 1988) have won BOTH the New Hampshire Primary and the Presidential Election ...
Of course, that doesn't include "sitting" Presidents (Reagan, Clinton) who won New Hampshire on their way to a second term election ...
That presents odds of THREE (3) New Hampshire wins out of FIFTEEN (15) possible Presidential Election Candidates !
Equivalent to a Whopping thirteen-three-three (13.33) percent success rate ...
======================================
THE IOWA CAUCUS -- Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia:
Democrats:
January 3, 2008 – Barack Obama (38%)
January 19, 2004 – John Kerry (38%)
January 24, 2000 – Al Gore (63%)
February 12, 1996 – Bill Clinton (unopposed)
February 10, 1992 – Tom Harkin (76%)
February 8, 1988 – Dick Gephardt (31%)
February 20, 1984 – Walter Mondale (49%)
January 21, 1980 – Jimmy Carter (59%)
January 19, 1976 – "Uncommitted" (37%)
January 24, 1972 – "Uncommitted" (36%)
Republicans
2008 – Mike Huckabee (34%)
2004 – George W. Bush (unopposed)
2000 – George W. Bush (41%)
1996 – Bob Dole (26%)
1992 – George H. W. Bush
1988 – Bob Dole (37%)
1984 – Ronald Reagan (unopposed)
1980 – George H. W. Bush (32%)
1976 – Gerald Ford and Ronald Reagan
======================================
THE NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY -- Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia:
Democrats:
2008 Senator Hillary Clinton
2004 Senator John Kerry
2000 Vice President Al Gore
1996 President Bill Clinton
1992 Senator Paul Tsongas
1988 Governor Michael Dukakis
1984 Senator Gary Hart
1980 President Jimmy Carter
1976 Governor Jimmy Carter
Republicans
2008 Senator John McCain
2004 President George W. Bush
2000 Senator John McCain
1996 Pat Buchanan
1992 President George H. W. Bush
1988 Vice President George H. W. Bush
1984 President Ronald Reagan
1980 Governor Ronald Reagan
1976 President Gerald R. Ford
======================================
.
To: SeekAndFind
31 posted on
12/30/2011 1:00:31 PM PST by
Antoninus
(Defeat Romney--Defeat Obama.)
To: American Constitutionalist; Antoninus; AuH2ORepublican; BlackElk; Carry_Okie; ...
33 posted on
12/30/2011 1:03:15 PM PST by
Antoninus
(Defeat Romney--Defeat Obama.)
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