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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: RitaOK

If Perry withdraws from the race, it will be America’s loss.
He would be a credit to the office of the President of the United States.


1,581 posted on 01/03/2012 9:32:47 PM PST by baysider
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To: tcrlaf; All

MORE Celeb/Media tweets about Santorum:

Adam Grace- Professional magician, actor, musician, and writer
-Ewww please not Santorum, he’s just another one of those close-minded crazies.

Howard Fineman-HuffPo Snr Politics Editor
-It’s going to take a little while for people to realize — or remember — just how far right Santorum is on social issues

MAJORITY REPORT - Lib Blog
- Rick Santorum: “I’ll Protect Your Tax Dollars From Black People”


1,582 posted on 01/03/2012 9:32:53 PM PST by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: naxetevitan
could have sworn i just heard Fox speculating about him going back home to Texas now,

Maybe because that is what he just publicly stated he's going to do.

1,583 posted on 01/03/2012 9:32:53 PM PST by Prokopton
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To: onyx

Agreed. But we all know we have to get to 1 conservative- so I had to accept my man Cain dropping- and obviously others will ultimately have to do the same— the smug establishment has to be defeated.

So, if Rick drops out, my only hope is that he will do it in an exclusive inetrview with Rove— and at the end- punch that pudge ball right in the chops. -:)


1,584 posted on 01/03/2012 9:33:09 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: STARWISE

(((((STAR)))))
Yes, I hadn’t thought of the Colmes angle, but I think you’re right! Still don’t know who won, do you? Did Romney squeak by? Not that it matters. Iowa and their OPEN primary. Ron Paul didn’t win, but he showed well enough.


1,585 posted on 01/03/2012 9:33:09 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: Windflier; xkaydet65

Windflier wrote:
<<
I guess for a RINO or a lib, it would. Which one are you?
>>

**************************************************************

I was about to ask the very same thing!


1,586 posted on 01/03/2012 9:33:18 PM PST by DestroyLiberalism
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To: parksstp

making my first of many donations to Rick Santorium tonight!!!!!!!!!!


1,587 posted on 01/03/2012 9:33:23 PM PST by pollywog ("O Thou who changest not, abide with me.".......)
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To: InterceptPoint

Yep and none of the other candidates can even get to 25% and stay there for more than a few weeks.

Once the primaries get rolling, things will clear up pretty quickly. I think we will know the nominee by Feb/Mar.


1,588 posted on 01/03/2012 9:33:30 PM PST by gswilder
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To: tcrlaf

Of course. It’s what they do.

And as much as I love Santorum, this is why I believe we need Newt. Newt is as nasty and down and dirty as they are — except he’s a long-time conservative who loves this country.

Like both — but can Santorum stand up to the evil? Not sure yet ...


1,589 posted on 01/03/2012 9:33:37 PM PST by LibsRJerks
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To: ez

Romney up again by 62 with 2 percent left.

Just TCTC here. Vote swinging back and forth.


1,590 posted on 01/03/2012 9:33:45 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: Tramonto

Yes, I know. Everybody pretty much loves me a lot. Just ask around. (I expect it was at the mention of Ms. Palin that sullied my reputation, and drove your last nerve into the stratisphere, right?)


1,591 posted on 01/03/2012 9:33:52 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: seekthetruth

Just as I predicted 5 minutes ago. Romney will win after losing all night long. Santorum wins 90% of the land area in the state but the leftwing creep Romney wins in the end.

FIX, FIX, FIX.


1,592 posted on 01/03/2012 9:33:52 PM PST by NKP_Vet (creep.)
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To: parksstp
" CNN: John McCain to Endorse Mitt Romney in NH Tomorrow. "

As most conservatives would say " WHO CARES ! " ...
1,593 posted on 01/03/2012 9:34:13 PM PST by American Constitutionalist (The fool has said in his heart, " there is no GOD " ..)
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To: RitaOK

Santorum sounds great!

“The essential issue in this race is freedom!”


1,594 posted on 01/03/2012 9:34:23 PM PST by Deo volente (God willing, America will survive this Obamination.)
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To: jwalsh07

Wow, Santorum is knocking it out of the park with this speech. I’ve not been his biggest fan but he’s right on the mark.


1,595 posted on 01/03/2012 9:34:31 PM PST by bigbob
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To: Mozilla

Agreed. Personally, I think Bachmann will leave so that Romney can pick her up as a VP nominee. I don’t know that for sure, but I have said before, I think we may never again see a presidential ticket without an ethnic minority or a woman on it. I think Romney will definitely try something of that nature, but it likely won’t work (again).


1,596 posted on 01/03/2012 9:34:32 PM PST by JDW11235 (I think I got it now!)
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To: NKP_Vet

Pyrrhic victory for Mitt.


1,597 posted on 01/03/2012 9:34:34 PM PST by dfwgator
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To: baysider

I agree RitaOK, Perry would have made a great president.


1,598 posted on 01/03/2012 9:34:51 PM PST by gswilder
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To: NKP_Vet

3/4 Santorum leaning precincts left. This ain’t over. Dubuque is done.


1,599 posted on 01/03/2012 9:35:10 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: dfwgator

I’m pulling for Santorum but could his speech be any more boring?


1,600 posted on 01/03/2012 9:35:20 PM PST by teg_76
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