Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan
Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.
Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.
We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.
My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:
Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1
Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.
If Paul decides to go third party in the general election, that could help the GOP.
if you go by birthplace, Newt is from Pennsylvania and Santorum is from Virginia.
True, but the failings are so many. Its starting to look like obama has a downhill battle come november.
Newt, for one. In fact, Romney doesn't stand a chance of beating Obama, because he doesn't engender enthusiastic support among center-right voters. Remember that he LOST the last primary to one of the weakest candidates the Republicans have fielded in a decade or more?
If you'd had your radar tuned in properly over the last six months, you would have noticed that Mitt hasn't endured any sort of attacks or anal exams from the leftstream press. That alone, ought to inform you that he's Obama's hand picked opponent. The left knows that he'll be rightfully viewed as not all that different from Obama, and therefore, no kind of alternative at all.
Mitt will be perceived by the public as competent, and there have a great chance to beat Obama.
By who? 20% of Republican voters? Certainly not by the majority - especially after the news media gets through turning him inside out, and exposing his rotten liberal record.
By the way, your post comes awfully close to shilling for Mitt, which is verboten on FR.
How does Iowa allocate it’s delegates?
“25% of them per FNC exit polls and 1/2 of those went to Paul.”
I bet a good percentage of the dimoKKKRAT vote went to Mitt. This is why Iowa is a debacle. New Hampshire is liberal with folks from Massachusetts coming up to help out Mitt, so the first real primary will be South Carolina.
Santorum's fundraising soars along with his poll numbers
A senior Santorum adviser tells CNN the campaign raised more money in the last week than they raised on-line the past six months, adding that fundraising is between 300% and 400% higher on a daily basis than it was just ten days ago.
“Hopefully Bachmann and Perry drop out after this. They no longer have any reason to stay in, unless they want to help Romney.”
EXACTLY! As I’ve been telling the Perrywinkles for weeks now. Let’s not splinter the conservative vote allowing McCain, oops I mean Willard to squeak by in SC & FL, the DECIDER states.
What Newt does with his OWN money is none of your business. He earned it and he can spend it as he wishes. Santorum is NOT going anywhere..so he wins Iowa or comes up in Iowa...he wont get much further after everyone finds out he voted to raise the debt ceiling 8 times...voted for the bridge to nowhere and is not a fiscal conservative. Wait until the smear ads hit.
Sarah is creating real mess for establishment.
Last week she endorsed Santorum, before that she praised Newt. Both gained after her endorsement.
Today she had called MB to go back to Congress, (sweet revenge).
712 posted on Tuesday, January 03, 2012 9:17:27 PM by MagUSNRET: “It is also a violation. NO ONE in uniform/serving in the military is t6o make public political statements (At least that is the way it was for the 30 years I was in!)”
You’re right, but I’ve seen it happen more than a few times — sometimes deliberate, often by well-meaning servicemembers who honestly didn’t realize they were breaking the rules because they’d been doing it before and nobody said anything.
I was personally in attendance when an E-6 in uniform stood up at a Republican event and made pro-Republican comments, and a retired two-star general complimented him for his service and his statement.
Military-friendly reporters generally avoid running the photo and don’t identify the servicemember by rank or unit.
That’s pretty hard to avoid on TV, though.
And Santorum has seven children and is pro-life.
Santorum 41; Romney 38; Gingrich 37; Paul 26; Perry 9; Bauchman 6. Precinct-Lewis 2; Pottawattamie County, IA. That’s just for our township. I was the Caucus Chairman.
FOX projects Gingrich will finish 4th, Perry 5th.
I agree with you that Newt is our best hope. Rick Santorum was smart to hit the trail very hard and was the beneficiary of the massive volume of attack ads from mostly Romney and Paul and a bit from Perry. It is very clear who the establishment and the liberals fear, and it is Newt.
He needs to fight on because if the conservatives take a step back and think hard who truly is their strongest, fiercest leader, it’s no contest between Newt and Rick Santorum. You can just tell by the amount of love the media is giving Santorum tonight. They want Newt out of the way.
However, Fox News is reporting that the "college towns" (Ames, etc.) haven't reported in yet. There should be big gains for Ron Paul there. Crap...
That’s why everyone should be for Rick Perry!
Newt was born and raised in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.
(Doing it after a defeat will be spun as a flailing cry for help.)
Cheers!
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