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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
I can imagine how bold Iran would become when/if they have the nuke. They will
use that nuke to threaten and intimidate every country in the world by
doing whatever they want. And in the current PC climate I doubt many heads
will unplug from the sand trap they've dug for themselves.

They will try to hold the world hostage, that is an absolute fact.

21 posted on 01/14/2012 2:31:38 PM PST by MaxMax
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To: MaxMax

“They will use that nuke to threaten and intimidate every country in the world by doing whatever they want.”

The Iranian proponents of the nuke may think that, but if so they are in for a rude awakening (for details, see van Creveld’s analysis of nuclear proliferation). Despite the apocalyptic views of some factions in the Iranian mullah-ocracy, I suspect that the dominant factions have a much more realistic view of what they might accomplish by developing their nuke, starting with careful consideration of what happened to Libya’s Quaddafi after he renounced his WMD development efforts. http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/32007.pdf They, like the North Koreans, will draw the obvious conclusion: http://38north.org/2011/03/libyan-lessons-for-north-korea/

http://www.forward.com/articles/11673/
The World Can Live With a Nuclear Iran
By Martin van Creveld

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martin_van_Creveld

http://www.amazon.com/Nuclear-Proliferation-Future-Conflict-Creveld/dp/0029331560

Though the possibility of nuclear confrontation between superpowers has greatly diminished since the end of the Cold War, the possession of nuclear weapons by states whose conflicts are unresolved could turn out to be equally threatening, notes Van Creveld ( The Transformation of War ). He here considers the likelihood of conflict between North and South Korea, China and Taiwan, China and India, India and Pakistan, Israel and the Arab states, as well as the nuclear status of other countries currently developing the scientific, technological and industrial infrastructure that would enable them to build weapons of mass destruction. Van Creveld begins this academic study by describing the basic characteristics of large-scale warfare as it evolved before the introduction of nuclear weapons and the effect of the latter on both the countries that possess them and on those countries threatened by them. Finally, he assesses the impact of nuclear proliferation on the future of war itself, including the configuration of the armies that would be prepared to wage it. For specialists.


22 posted on 01/14/2012 3:19:19 PM PST by Blue_Ridge_Mtn_Geek
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