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To: LiamH

Problem is Romney was up in the early voting ( I think it was around 12% of the voters )by those who didn’t see the first debate so Newt starts out behind


1,505 posted on 01/23/2012 8:29:14 PM PST by uncbob
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To: uncbob

“Problem is Romney was up in the early voting ( I think it was around 12% of the voters )by those who didn’t see the first debate so Newt starts out behind”.

Krauthammer spoke on this tonight and we know he is no fan of Newt. His figure is close to what you quote. He said that 1 in 7 voted already and this is with an expected 11% poll advantage for Romney. Basic math is that with 83% pending, Newt would only need to beat Romney by 2% to win. Given that Newt is on average up 9% in FL right now, this is a big problem for Mitt.


1,522 posted on 01/23/2012 8:36:49 PM PST by untwist
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To: uncbob

I don’t understand why anyone would vote early in a primary. General election, sure.


1,569 posted on 01/23/2012 8:57:09 PM PST by Fledermaus (I can't fiddle so I'll just open a cold beer as I watch America burn.)
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To: uncbob

True but that is a fraction of the total result if Gingrich is up as much as polling implies, and he was trending up. I am still confident he will kick Romney’s ass, though it will be a little less than if the results of SC and the debate had been up first.


1,640 posted on 01/23/2012 11:30:21 PM PST by LiamH
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