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Consensus of Polls Shows Romney Up in Florida
The New York Times ^ | January 28, 2012, 9:43 pm | NATE SILVER

Posted on 01/28/2012 8:05:56 PM PST by Mariner

You can find pretty much every species of poll in Florida right now.

There are traditional polls and automated polls, Internet polls and partisan polls, academic polls and commercial polls.

There are polls where voters checked a box. There are polls that were reported on Fox.

There are polls that called the voter’s house. There are polls where voters clicked a mouse.

Though the numbers were here and there, the outcome was the same everywhere.

Unless there is a major glitch, Mitt Romney will beat Newt Gingrich.

---Break---

Instead, if there is a candidate with upside potential in Florida, it might be Rick Santorum. The most recent polls have shown better results for him, and he now is projected to 15 percent of the vote, up from 11 percent earlier this week.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: gingrichpolls
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To: Mariner
I am seeing the same denial on FR that we saw in the last days of Election 2008, people ignoring the obvious polling data, which is usually very accurate close to the end.

I say Romney by 4-6 points, big win unfortunately for him, but Gingrich will live to fight another day. He will stage a come back after this disappointment.

41 posted on 01/29/2012 7:30:09 AM PST by nwrep
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To: Mariner
MYTH ROMNEY got 31% here in 2008, and that was before most people had any idea of what a whack job he is.

Just don't see him doing any better than last time.

42 posted on 01/29/2012 7:33:24 AM PST by Rome2000 (MYTH ROMNEY IS A MORMON MELCHIDEZEK HIGH PRIEST)
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To: Mariner

If santorum’s votes get him 20%, he is on the rise and a contender. He’s a good man, a true conservative, and would make an excellent President. This is a good thing. Romney looks more phony bit by bit, and even if he won FL’s delegates, it is NOT over for Newt. But this is great news for Santorum, who is not as risky a conservative.


43 posted on 01/29/2012 7:34:51 AM PST by Yaelle
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To: larryleo

Newt and Rick are not hurting each other!

Both took from Romney’s pile in SC!


44 posted on 01/29/2012 7:37:20 AM PST by Yaelle
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To: entropy12; greeneyes

No, it means that the budget surplus in the years there was one was not applied to paying down the debt.

http://www.federalbudget.com/


45 posted on 01/29/2012 7:40:28 AM PST by Rome2000 (MYTH ROMNEY IS A MORMON MELCHIDEZEK HIGH PRIEST)
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To: napscoordinator
Those dang debates seem to matter. Newt should come out swinging in the next debate. There is apparently only one debate in February. He must win that debate!!!

Florida votes on Tuesday the 31st. Day after tomorrow. The debates are over.

46 posted on 01/29/2012 7:43:52 AM PST by Drew68
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To: TexasFreeper2009

I just WISH the people of Florida would LOOK AT who is endorsing who here.

Romney - FOX News (Roger Ailes), Carl Rove, the Bushes, Dana Perrino, Bob Dole, Chris Christie, George Will, Charles Krauthammer, John McCain, Ann (I love Chris Christie) Coulter,Charlie Crist, etc. etc.

A BIG Pack of RINOS and the people who helped CREATE the mess that helped put a Marxist Muslim in the White House. They DON’T represent CHANGE in Washington!!! They represent the SAME kind of BANKRUPT Political, economic and social policies which have driven America down the road to destruction.

Gingrich - PERRY, HERMAN CAIN, SARAH PALIN - among many others. People who are committed to CHANGING and SHAKING UP the GOP and Washington Establishments and STOPPING the collusion of RINO Republicans with the far left of the Democrat Party.

ITS A NO-BRAINER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


47 posted on 01/29/2012 8:56:36 AM PST by ZULU (LIBERATE HAGIA SOPHIA!!!!!)
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To: Rome2000

There are 2 parts to the National Debt. Public Debt and Intergovernmental Debt.

Public Debt + Intergovernmental Debt = National Debt

During the Clinton/Republican Congress years, there WAS a decrease in the PUBLIC Debt.

Public Debt represents the Treasuries that individuals and countries have purchased.

The excess Social Security payments(for example) are invested in special NON-NEGOTIABLE Treasuries. Once invested they become part of the intergovernmental debt.


48 posted on 01/29/2012 10:25:45 AM PST by greeneyes (Moderation in defense of your country is NO virtue. Let Freedom Ring.)
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To: Rome2000

OK, if the budget surplus was not applied to reducing debt as you are saying, where did it go? I am assuming the only other place it went was spent somehow. If true how can they claim a budget surplus when it was not used to reduce debt?


49 posted on 01/29/2012 11:03:36 AM PST by entropy12 (Socialism has failed everywhere tried. It breeds mediocrity, corruption, nepotism & poverty for all)
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To: greeneyes

Correct


50 posted on 01/29/2012 11:20:08 AM PST by Rome2000 (MYTH ROMNEY IS A MORMON MELCHIDEZEK HIGH PRIEST)
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To: entropy12
Budget surplus in the fiscal year.

The FERAL GUBMINT extorts about three trillion a year, all it has to do is spend less in the same fiscal year to claim a surplus.

If they spend the surplus on anything other than paying down the National Debt in the next fiscal year, the National debt will continue to grow.

Unfortunately, under the communists now in power, it is spending 4 trillion a year.

51 posted on 01/29/2012 11:48:34 AM PST by Rome2000 (MYTH ROMNEY IS A MORMON MELCHIDEZEK HIGH PRIEST)
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