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Obama poised to win 2012 election with 303 electoral votes: The Signal Forecast
Yahoo! News ^
| February 16, 2012
| By David Rothschild & Chris Wilson
Posted on 02/16/2012 4:32:24 PM PST by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
A key finding of the model is that economic trendswhether things are getting better or worse than they were a month agoare more meaningful than the level state of the economy.Right. So, if gasoline goes to $5 in the Spring but is dropping to $4.50 by election time, it's all to Obama's advantage!
21
posted on
02/16/2012 5:22:39 PM PST
by
BfloGuy
(The final outcome of the credit expansion is general impoverishment.)
To: svcw
You said...
“I beleive BHO will win reelection, retain the Senate and gain seats in the House”
Agree
22
posted on
02/16/2012 5:23:11 PM PST
by
LMAO
("Begging hands and Bleeding hearts will only cry out for more"...Anthem from Rush)
To: Oldeconomybuyer
Considering that it’s starting to look like all we might throw at him is RINO Romney or St. Santorum, there is little reason to argue that he won’t win.
I am not saying that Obama should win, but if all we are going to fight with is these two spit-wads, he’s going to beat us like a redheaded stepchild..... (my apologies to all redheaded stepchildren).
The GOP-e has soooooo screwed us.
23
posted on
02/16/2012 5:25:14 PM PST
by
Gator113
(~Just livin' life, my way~..... GO NEWT GO--itÂ’s about the survival of our country!!)
To: BfloGuy
I believe last months unemployment was a test run to see how much they can get away with fudging numbers, 1.2 million out of the work force - result - Americans for the most part bought it... 8.3% unemployment - YAYYYY!
Now, what we'll see is rising unemployment, the so-called cocking of the unemployment trigger, for an October release - don't be surprised if 9.5%* unemployment in September drops to 7.2%* in October (with 3* millions leaving the workforce).
* - or whatever numbers are needed to do the deed
24
posted on
02/16/2012 5:38:32 PM PST
by
C210N
To: JLAGRAYFOX
There’s well over 12000 posts now and all that I have read are making fun of the Yahoo scientists. They aren’t getting any positive feed back ... Of course I haven’t gone through all 12000 posts, but I read a bunch because they’re entertaining and it makes me feel better to see so many well informed people expressing their views.
To: Oldeconomybuyer
I never was much of a gambler, but just looking at the numbers offered by the Yahoo experts, Obama is given between 50 and 60 percent odds in the three states of Virginia, Ohio and New Hampshire, which total 35 electoral votes. In his strongest "losing" states of Missouri and Florida, his favorable odds range from 31.66% to 35.68%. These states contain 39 electoral votes. It seems more likely that he will lose the bare margins of less than 10% than pick up 15% or more in those "losing" states.
But then I can't figure out how this country changed from one where Reagan carried 49 states, to one in which Obama has any chance of winning at all.
To: Freeper
That wouldn’t surprise me.
I can see the Dems using Obama as a target, until the last minute, and then suddenly bring somebody else out.
27
posted on
02/16/2012 6:05:07 PM PST
by
Jonty30
(What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults.)
To: Oldeconomybuyer
This model does not use polls or prediction markets to directly gauge what voters are thinking. Instead, it forecasts the results of the Electoral College based on past elections, Should say:
This model does not use polls or prediction markets to directly gauge what voters are thinking. Instead, it forecasts the results by how many dead people, convicted felons and illegal alins vote then who counts the votes.
28
posted on
02/16/2012 6:10:43 PM PST
by
pfflier
29
posted on
02/16/2012 6:21:43 PM PST
by
RedMDer
(Forward With Confidence!)
To: LMAO
Garbage in, garbage out. Computer models that is.
30
posted on
02/16/2012 7:36:22 PM PST
by
pacpam
(action=consequence and applies in all cases - friend of victory)
To: Oldeconomybuyer
Conning others or deluding themselves ??
31
posted on
02/18/2012 5:53:39 PM PST
by
Tanniker Smith
(I didn't know she was a liberal when I married her.)
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