Obama Has Already Lost, and He Doesn't Even Know It

American Thinker ^ | February 24, 2012 | David Coughlin

[neverdem]

Barack Obama is a lame-duck president already, but he probably doesn't realize it since he is surrounded by leftist zealots who insulate him from any contrary opinions and shielded by the partisan mainstream media. Obama's popularity began falling right after his election, and the percentage disapproving has exceeded those approving steadily since 2009. Each and every voting bloc that supported him in 2008 has eroded by at least 10 points -- even the African-American voters, with independents and young voters dropping by over 30 points. Approval on major issues (economy, budget, deficit, employment, etc.) has also eroded, with disapproval exceeding approval ratings across the board.

Despite approval ratings lower than any president's in recent history, the media push-polls are trying to sell us the idea that Obama is well liked and has a good chance to be re-elected, meanwhile ignoring any and all facts that do not support their partisan message. The good news is that there has been a mass awakening of the American people, who now realize that the mainstream media has a decided leftist tilt and that media polls can no longer be trusted.

Meanwhile, Democrats want us to believe that Obama has been a tremendous success. He promised to redistribute our wealth, and he has begun. He promised to transform our health care system, and he passed ObamaCare. He promised that his energy policies would dramatically increase energy costs, and they have. He promised to appoint justices who think like he does to the Supreme Court, and he has. He promised to pull American troops out of Iraq, regardless of the situation on the ground, and he has. He made many promises that he is trying...

--snip--

Now that American voters have finally woken up, their opinion is that they don't like the country's new direction...

[kearnyirish2]

You’re right that nothing is written in stone, but Americans have learned a lot in the last four years. While I think the voting public is generally naive, people have really struggled financially, and many are furious that Obama’s media keeps telling them every night things are getting better. I believe they have created a cynical batch of voters this year that will pay him back in November, and I believe NY and CA, as two of the worst-off states in the country, have little reason to vote for him. Even his “core constituencies” have to buy gas & groceries (even if it is with somebody else’s money), and they’re not liking it.

[kearnyirish2]

I live outside Newark NJ, and blacks up here have little to cheer about. In any event, they are a smaller section of the voters (and will continue to dwindle thanks to BJ Clinton’s Welfare Reform); they have taken a back seat to Latino interests.

[nathanbedford]

Good points all.

One might add the danger of an October surprise. There might be one percolating now in the Straits of Hormuz affording Obama the option to pull the trigger at any time to jigger the poll numbers to his advantage. Americans instinctively rally to the flag and to their president at times of crisis and Iran offers Obama a ready-made crisis to exploit virtually whenever he wants to, likely just before the election.

Of course, if there is action around the Straits of Hormuz, whether to knockout Iran's nuclear program or simply some sort of scuffle, the price of gasoline will go straight through the overhead so Obama has to be a little bit careful of the blowback.

What we are really talking about is the institutionalization of leftism in America. Every serious institution in America is succumbing to infiltration by the left. We complain about the impact of the media on our elections but that is just one institution that has been co-opted. It applies to our churches, our eleemosynary institutions, our educational institutions, the Girl Scouts for God sake, and (gasp) even the military. So when a Republican confronts Jimmy Carter or Barack Obama, he has a good chance of winning but only because the rats have overreached. Against a typical opponent, the forces arrayed against the conservative are nearly insuperable and they are getting more formidable every day.

The truth is that the media is only reflecting the cultural, intellectual, and moral disintegration of the country.

To make the analysis even more complicated, the election might well turn on some bizarre incident that no one now can predict, a "Macaca" moment if you will. The media will try to contrive such a moment against the Republican but fate might also play a trick against Obama. For example, he might just become the " pond scum president." In any event, these events tend to drive the electorate against its conservative instincts toward the left.

When we conservatives decry the influence of Rinos on the Republican Party we might consider the ecology in which they breed and thrive.

[cashless]

He is not a lame duck. This sort of crap parading as journalism will be reason those who may not have their candidate chosen, stay home and don't vote. This plays directly into Obamalamadingdong hands. He has more money to tell more lies, his associates are equally well financed and will resort to lies, smears, innuendo and every piece of mud imagined. He has the media totally in his corner and will use them as the sycophants that they are. THEY know what is at stake. We know what is at stake. But such malarkey as this is blinding many to the power of incumbency.

[PhilDragoo]

W/GAS@5.00/GAL

[Bullish]

Obama’s a failure of his own making and detailing his failure with poignancy should be fairly simple. His own stupid words are enough to damn him in most people's minds. He's opened himself up widely for a heap of derision.

It's time for America to laugh him off of the stage.

[neverdem]

Is there something about the uninformed American people that you know that I don’t?

Maybe. Check out the generic Exit Poll for House Race (2010) at CBS. (It's still downloading, so I'm linking it indirectly.) The sample was huge. The GOP finally got sixty percent of the white vote in 2010 for the first time in history.

Add in the remainder of the Jacksonian Democrats alienated by Obama's energy and environmental policies and folks alienated by Obama's attack on the First Amendment with the latest Obamacare mandate for free contraception and chemical abortions. I could be wrong, but I don't see how Obama keep his 2008 coalition together in the fourth year of the Great Recession.

[Hildy]

I have never seen the Press like this before. So OBVIOUS in their bias. I know we say it every year, but this one takes the cake. Yahoo today had a story about how Allan West complained it cost him $70 to fill up his car. And what was the story about? HOW DARE WEST complain because he drives a Hummer. HUH?

[BIGLOOK]

Maybe he knows it but that only makes him more dangerous. The events and actions over the past few weeks are evidence to that he does........not that evidence will ever convince the courts or the Fourth Estate.br>
Who issues the fiats? Puppet or Masters?

[Bshaw]

“... and President Carter saw his sizable lead in March 1980 over then-former Governor Ronald Reagan essentially vanish very quickly, and Carter was beaten in a landslide loss.”

I was a teenager when Reagan was elected President, I immediately felt safe.

Because I was safe!

[dixiechick2000]

“I make two gallons an hour!”

[dixiechick2000]

“...Clothes are in bright happy colors...”

Actually, there are a lot of shades of black, grey, and brown.

Coinky dinky?

[Varsity Flight]

Which is why they are pushing for the Republi-crat of Massachusetts. Their guy, Arbeitsziehungslager

[dixiechick2000]

Beautiful graphic, and the wording is magnificent!

Might you compare and contrast the amount of $$$ between the day he was elected and now?

That would be a comparison that we could all sink our teeth into, and share around the country and world.

[zeestephen]

For me, InTrade.com has always been the best “national poll.”

Bettors gave Obama a 50-50 chance for reelection until January 2012.

Then, Gingrich began his populist anti-wealth assault on Romney, and Obama’s odds shot straight up.

Obama has been a 60-40 reelection favorite for almost a month now.

[Freedom_Is_Not_Free]

The GOP candidate is irrelevant. Obama has lost to the economy. I predicted this in 2008.

[neverdem]

Which is why they are pushing for the Republi-crat of Massachusetts. Their guy, Arbeitsziehungslager

If that's a reference to Senator Scott Brown, go after other RINOs. I'll take his vote for organizing the Senate. I looked up MA voter registration after his special election. GOP registration was less than twelve percent. Non-affiliated voter registration was just over fifty percent. If you want to go after RINOs, try Snowe and Collins in Maine. The TEA Party had good results in 2010 there.

[chopperjc]

I am a poll geek. To say every group has eroded by 10% is living in fantasy land. African Americans , Jews, Hispanics women are all up
towards Dems at the moment. To beat a sitting president it is going to take work, money, and a good candidate.

I am worried about all 3. The grass roots and organization seem to be lacking as compared to the Dems. Money? Large super pacs we are
Ok but candidates are not close to matching the Obama machine. Last our candidates suck. Unfavorables are off the charts except for Santorum but his are rising.
Too say lame duck is ignoring realities and the work that needs to be done.

[Freedom_Is_Not_Free]

I was only around for Carter and Clinton, so I can only speak to them.

The GOP lost to Carter as they would have lost to a monkey running on the Dem ticket.

Do you remember a little thing called “Watergate”? People didn’t hate Nixon so much as the GOP was being punished for Watergate. There was no way any Republican was going to win in the cycle following Watergate. It had nothing to do with the GOP being stupid or running a poor campaign.

Now again, why did Bill Clinton win? It was because that idiot Daddy Bush had to violate his ironclad, irreversible, set-in-stone pledge “Read my lips. No new taxes.”

The GOP base punished him for breaking his tax pledge.

So in neither case did the GOP run bad campaigns or run bad candidates. In both cases, the GOP was poison for that cycle, due to errors by the incumbent GOP presidents.

Looking at it more deeply, I would say BOTH parties lost power in every cycle since Nixon, because the incumbent president always made some mistake they were punished for.

In 2008, Baby Bush alienated the GOP base by doubling the national debt in 8 years and growing government by leaps and bounds. GOP voters punished him by not turning out in adequate nubmers.

In 2000, Clinton alienated the Democratic base who were sick of his perverted antics with the entire Lewinski affair. They may have hated Ken Starr, but make no mistake, the Democrat voters punished the Democrat party for Clinton’s horndog antics.

Before that, Clinton rode in in 1992 on the back of Daddy Bush’s broken tax pledge.

If the “stupid party” was so stupid, then why is it that Daddy Bush got elected in 1988. That happened because the nation was rewarding Ronald Reagan for doing a stellar job of cleaning up Carter’s economic mess, and taking down the Soviet Union.

And how did Reagan win in 1980? He won because Carter was a buffoon who made a string of mistakes like losing Iran to the Mullahs, the worst of which was the “malaise” of Stagflation during which most people experienced the worst economy in 25 years. The voters punished Carter for incompetence.

So if you really study it carefully, you can see that every change of party came from an idiotic mistake made by an incumbent president.

Nixon’s Watergate coverup begat Carter.
Carters stagflation begat Reagan.
Bush’s broken tax promise begat Clinton.
Clinton’s Lewinski scandal begat Baby Bush.
Baby Bush’s ruinous spending and government growth begat Obama.

Now Obama has presided over the first economic depression since 1940 and worsened it while catapulting the national debt to new levels.

He is going to be punished with a change of party in the White House.

This logic is simple and obvious. And even the worst mistakes by the stupid party won’t save Obama from being punished by a weary electorate that is terrified about the economy.

This is why it is all the more frustrating we may have to live with that idiot RINO Romney. We have a guaranteed lock for president. We should have nominated someone like Jim Demint. I hope Santorum wins and turns out to be conservative. Romney will be a certain disaster ala Juan McLame.

[Varsity Flight]

I didn’t realize Brown was running for president :)