What happens to Rick’s momentum if he loses both MI and AZ? What happens to Newt’s momentum if he picks up several states on Super Tuesday after factoring in the big Adelson super PAC?
“What happens to Rick’s momentum if he loses both MI and AZ?”
Romney gets it for Super Tuesday and Closes the sale.
“What happens to Newt’s momentum if he picks up several states on Super Tuesday after factoring in the big Adelson super PAC?”
Right now, Newt is leading only in Georgia. If Romney wins both Arizona and Michigan and Santorum comes in second, those two will continue to fight it out on Super Tuesday. THere is simply no dynamic inplace to give Newt a boost if Romney wins both and Santorum comes in second. Santorum will still have a lot more delegates than Newt and those who want to stop Romney will be running out of time.
I think Santorum is likely to win Michigan and could win Arizona as well for reasons I posted earlier.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2851241/posts
Here’s Gingrich’s problem in a nutshell. I’d like to call it the “Chromosone Factor.”
According to the recent Gallup. Romney has a whopping 39 point lead over Gingrich among women voters and 21 points over Santorum. But we are told that Santorum has begun to connect with female voters.
In Florida, Romney opened up a 20-point lead over Gingrich among women and this deficit has widened.
Regardless of the reasons for this deficit, the gender vote is pivotal to both winning the primary and beating Obama in November. It’s now a 2-man race. If Romney pulls it off in MI where Romney is pulling out all stops including bring his wife Ann Romney in Troy today, then its Romney. Game over.
Santorum is on track to lose Az and MI. After the last debate and Romney’s carpet bombing in MI , Santorum is behind Romney in both states now. The only reason Santorum surged is because he started to look like a winner , as the man who can beat Romney after Newt lost Fl. Nobody really looked at Santorum’s Senate record until they got pieces of it in the debate. People found out Santorum isn’t very conservative except on social issues. Meanwhile Newt has been getting good press , staying on message and on the attack on Obama. The race moves south on ST. In the south , they vote for the southern conservative. Not the one from PA or MA. The south voted for Huck over McCain in 08. Newt has spent a lot of time in CA and OH and GA , WA , ect while Romney and Santorum have been slinging the mud in MI. I would say Newt is in good position to make a come back on ST and campete in TX and CA afterward.