Posted on 03/10/2012 3:43:48 PM PST by jocon307
The Republican primary has revealed distinct geographic tendencies. Mitt Romney is dominant in New England and in the West. Newt Gingrich has run well in the Deep South, while Rick Santorum has done well in caucus states, the Great Plains, and the peripheral South (it remains to be seen whether his support has bled into Gingrich's strength in the Deep South). That leaves the Midwest as a battleground between Romney and Santorum.
While Romney had a good night on Super Tuesday, the truth is that he did nothing to alter the basic regional nature of his support....
Given the structure of the primary season, this portends a long slog to the nomination, and makes it difficult for Romney to wrap up the nomination early on. Consider the schedule, and the following possible outcomes:
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
I thought folks here might find it interesting.
The author amusingly ponders who votes in the Republican primaries in some 99.999% hard left districts. I wonder about those folks too, although at points in my life I have probably been one of them.
I'll be danged, just like 0bama.
This is wonderful. There is real hope that we can beat obama with a real conservative and not the father of medical insurance mandate who believes in government single plan communist style health care. We must drive him off!!
Ping for post #2.
Deja vu all over again.
“We must drive him off!!”
LOL, I love your enthusiasm!
I honestly think Santorum is the guy to get behind (and hey, full disclosure I sent him the small pittance I can afford the other day, first donation of the season!) I don’t want to insult any Gingrich supporters and on another thread some freepers are saying it is better to have more candidates in, and that could be true because one does not know how Gringrich supporters would re-align.
So, I don’t know.
I do feel sure about this, Santorum is the ONLY person who can offer a real alternative to Obama, what I mean is who can appeal to people other than those Obama appeals to, the blue collar people.
However, at the risk of FR ire, I will say that someone somewhere (I think it was Michael Barone actually) made a good point that Romney has appeal to up-scale suburbanites and could bring those folks back to the “R” side.
So, I don’t know, we’d need some high-end surveys and math done here. I think the suburbanites are more likely to vote than the blue-collar types, but I don’t know if there are more of them, or where they are and if, for example in NY or NJ or IL if the suburbanites really can tip the state other than the way the big city Dem machines want it to go.
If the author’s prediction is correct, by June he’ll have 1,071 out of 1,144 delegates needed to get the nomination. With that number, it’s very unlikely that deals or unbound delegates go to someone else. I’m not suggesting Romney already has the nomination wrapped. All of these are based on the assumption that the four candidates stayed in the race until June. If one withdraws, the math might change completely.
Left coast/ east coast - *liberalville*, with some big city areas in between, l. Yes, that’s the both of them, allright.
Obama is the overflowing sewer in your house.
RINOmney is the mold growing in each and every wall.
One is - at first glance (or smell) much worse than the other.
But both will have the same result.
Flush them both to the liberal sewer from which they slimed.
After reading this article, I have concluded that it is IMPERATIVE and to the COMPLETE BENEFIT to our side to have this go to a brokered convention.
Why?
Because the unprecedented media attention that the Republican convention will provide to the entire country will be unmeasurable. It will take away all the oxygen from any early campaigning opportunity that the Obamanistas will try to engage in, if they were to instead already have a defined target to hone in on.
I do not think either Romney or Gingrich would trade their delegates at a brokered convention for a VP slot but Santorum would. Should Romney come up a bit short on delegates when the convention rolls around I would not rule out the prospect of a Romney/Santorum ticket with Santorum bartering delegates for the slot. Santorum is young and as VP he knows he would be in a better position for another swing at the grand prize down the road.
“If he does take a VP slot with Romney he will stain his “conservative claim”
Although I support Santorum, I think he is a politician first and a conservative second. I think he is as surprised as anyone that he is a viable nominee having started with no money or resources. He would be super thrilled if he were nominated for the top slot but I think he would also be happy if his hard work did not go for naught and he was able to salvage the VP slot for his efforts if he did not garner the top slot. IMHO
Watching Huck on Faux. Had to turn it off cuz the shilling and inevitability for Mittens continues.
Santorum isn’t as funny (whacked out) as Joe Biden ~ but with Joe as his predecessor no one will notice a thing.
Romney is first of all A SALESMAN. If he thought it would advance his interests he’d sell family members.
A Brokered Convention will definitely be a novelty that will capture the attention of the American people. And, wouldn’t it be wonderful if a fresh, new, Conservative face (like Paul Ryan) came out of Tampa as the nominee. After months of Kook-daddy and the 3 Stooges; how refreshing that would be.
This ticket, Romney/Santorum has been rumoured by GOP E insiders in PA for over month. Rick will betray his not-Romney voters for his own ambition.
The only way that this might be headed off would be if a Newt/Rick alliance could form, but if Rick keeps taking personal potshots at Newt, I don’t see it happening.
Moot point. Marco Rubio will be the GOP VP nominee. Without him we lose Florida and whoever loses Florida, loses the White House. And, anyone who doesn’t believe me when I say we must have Florida to win the Presidency, I’d be willing to wager some of my very, hard-earned money that I busted my butt to earn, if you wanna bet.
Yes, I agree. I think the smart parlay right now is probably Romney/Santorum. But Santorum risks being “quayled” so who knows if he’d really go for it.
I actually think a good choice for veep might be Suzanne Martinez the gov. of New Mexico. Female, hispanic, very conservative, former prosecutor law & order type.
I don’t think Rubio will go for it, I think he thinks his main chance will come later, and I wouldn’t disagree with him.
Based on what I know of Paul Ryan now, I could support him. He got high praise from Newt for his budget plan.
Well, we can dream. I wonder if the RNC realizes that there will be an exodus from the party if they force Romney into the nomination? I think the DNC realizes it and has been hoping for Romney all along.
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