Posted on 03/20/2012 4:21:26 PM PDT by parksstp
Did not see a thread started for tonight. About 50 mintues before polls close.
Tonight, it's important to keep track of the actual delegate count. Even though Romney will likely be projected the winner within 30 minutes, the delegate math will what's important.
Romney has solid leads in the 7 CD's in Northern IL/Around Chicago. These total about 19 Delegates
3 Congressional Districts covering North/Mid state are too close to call. These total about 9 Delegates.
Santorum's got the edge in the Downstate 8 Congressional Districts. These total about 26 Delegates.
Depending on how the 3 CD's swing, it is possible that Santorum could lose the popular vote, significantly, and yet still walk away with a split of the delegates.
Latest Projections:
Romney 45-46% Santorum 35-36% Gingrich 8-9% Paul 6-7%
Interesting, parksstp. Thanks for all the analysis.
Thank You!
Very good reasons. And there are many more reasons. If the guy were to get the nomination, he would veer hard left for the General and probably govern in a manner fairly indistinguishable from Barack Obama. The old GOP-e “Switch and Bait”. They fall for it EVVVERY time!!
Rural voters, Santorum winning only by 5%, not enough.
Gingrich taking 10% really hurts in this area. Santorum needed to win Mid/Down by 15-20 points to win the state popular vote
Mark Levin hinted that his trusted guy in IL sees some issues with fraud due to poorly shaped ballots that don’t fit into the counters. In some cases the workers are cutting them to fit. This is the first time I can remember when so many states are having trouble running clean Primaries.
In other words: (2) Conservatives in the race, splitting the vote gain, letting the RINO take the state. Great. Just great. /sarcasm.
Here’s a returns map from The Suntimes:
That does not seem to make sense from what I am seeing. What is your reasoning? Perhaps I have missed something.
If Romney pulled out of the race ... Gingrich would be the nominee.
That is their unrealistic wish. They believe that Newt can beat Santorum even though Santorum beat the crap out of Newt in MS and AL.
Look, 4% in and it is already called for Myth.
Wowza, weren’t that exciting?
Forget the math.
CNN says Romney wins big. Drats.
There is no such thing as religious baggage. If there were, they wouldnt’ be voting for Mitt.
Or is it that there is only Christian baggage?
Right, 54% Romney, 28% Santo. Looks like about 10% jumped from Newt to Romney. So much for that theory!
Newt doing very poorly. Think he will drop out by after Louisiana if not before then.
Romney will be the candidate and Hussein wins.
Newt supporters actually Romney supporters as evidenced by your constant cheerleading for Romney.
Newt is so far getting a whopping 7% of the vote.
So don’t expect anyone to back out for that. LOL
Northern IL is the majority of the results coming in and their coming in fast. The winning margin will fall as the rest of the state reports.
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