“Romney wins 30% of delegates through April 24th”
This is what worries me. I think Mittens may get 215+ delegates through Apr 24. Most of those states want be friendly to Newt or Santorum.
The purpose of my math based post is to show that Santorum has extremely improbable path to 1144. If Newt stays in, it becomes more difficult for Romney to secure 1144 in my opinion because Newt could win some congressional districts depriving Romney of delegates.