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Obama tops Romney by 8 in VA (PPP Poll)
Public Policy Polling ^ | May 1, 2012 | Staff

Posted on 05/02/2012 5:31:33 AM PDT by C19fan

Barack Obama won Virginia by six points in 2008, and if he were up against his almost-certain 2012 opponent Mitt Romney today, he would win it again by a similar margin. If Romney hopes to close that gap, the state’s governor Bob McDonnell would not help, and there is no question that one potential running mate would hurt: Eric Cantor. The Constitution Party candidacy of the state’s former congressman Virgil Goode could also draw votes away from Romney, to Obama’s advantage. Obama tops Romney by eight points, 51-43, up from a six-point (48-42) lead when PPP last polled the state last Demember. These results come among an electorate that reports voting for Obama by only four points over John McCain four years ago.

(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; obama; romney; va2012; virginia
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To: rbg81

VA is still a pretty conservative state, but there are no conservatives to vote for. Furthermore, Bob McDonnell and his cronyism has given the GOP quite the black eye in the state.


21 posted on 05/02/2012 5:47:14 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: lexington minuteman 1775

Hope you brought your flame suit to the party..

The YOUR VOTING FOR OBAMA!!!! Crowd will be along shortly to flame you.

Personally. I agree with you.


22 posted on 05/02/2012 5:47:51 AM PDT by cableguymn
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To: cableguymn

I am so glad I am not in the foxhole with some Freepers. Don’t panic. If the polls are going so well, why is The Won dragging the head of Osama bin Laden out at every opportunity? It’s Romney or 4 more years.


23 posted on 05/02/2012 5:50:32 AM PDT by Mustang Driver
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To: cableguymn

Count me in as a Virginian for Goode.


24 posted on 05/02/2012 5:51:20 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: wolfman23601

That is pure BS. McDonnell has an approval rating in mid 60s.


25 posted on 05/02/2012 5:51:29 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: C19fan
Rasmussen: Wednesday, April 25, 2012 -- Virginia: Romney 45%, Obama 44%.

Since re-election is a referendum on the incumbent, conservatively, 2/3 of the "undecideds" should break for the challenger. (Morris says "all" the undecideds should vote against if the tide is turned against an incumbent -- but I'm not that optimistic.)

Winning 1/3 of the Virginia undecideds would give Obama 47.66%. McCain won 46.4% of the Virginia vote in 2008, so he could do slightly better than that.

26 posted on 05/02/2012 5:52:07 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: JCBreckenridge
Romney drops to 51-38 when the poll includes Virgil Goode

So Goode is already pulling 5%, though 62% in the state have no clue as to who he is. Not a bad start. A double-digit showing in November by Virgil will be a good building block.

27 posted on 05/02/2012 5:52:54 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... so should voting!)
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To: lexington minuteman 1775

Yet you are empowering and assisting an even greater evil by helping obama win.

Do you think God or whoever you think will judge you any better for this?

The fact is that either mittens or obama will be POTUS


28 posted on 05/02/2012 5:54:18 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: Perdogg

That was taken before he sold our tunnels to foreigners and turned Hampton Roads into the ring of fire (surrounded by tollbooths). McDonnell and the GOP are done in Hampton Roads, which is about a third of the state.


29 posted on 05/02/2012 5:54:33 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: TheRhinelander
Obama will not win Virginia or North Carolina.

He *might* win both.Lots and lots of *very* well paid and *very* loyal government "workers" live in VA and lots of "progressives" have moved to the Raleigh-Durham area from NY,NJ,MA,VT,etc.

As a matter of fact this thing could be a landslide for the GOP.

WRONG...WRONG...WRONG!

Osama *is* beatable but only by a slim margin and *only* if we play our hand perfectly.

THINK FLORIDA 2000


30 posted on 05/02/2012 5:54:51 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Unlike Mrs Obama,I've Been Proud Of This Country My *Entire* Life!)
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To: C210N
What is the matter with us Americans?

All that headbanging lowered the country's collective IQ. Nowadays it's all about which candidate hands out mo' Obama munny.

I travel 35 miles each way to and from work and have yet to see a single Romney bumper sticker.

31 posted on 05/02/2012 5:56:47 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... so should voting!)
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To: TheRhinelander
PPP is a Democrat polling outfit so adjust those numbers by 10 to 15 points

Many here on FR believed exactly the same thing about PA, VA, NC and OH back in 2008. The polls just HAD to be wrong.. plus there was always that wonderful wild card of the "Bradley Effect."

32 posted on 05/02/2012 5:58:14 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... so should voting!)
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To: ScottinVA

Yep, and we’ll be seeing Goode on all the polls from here on out, since the poll numbers are significantly different with him in.

If he can improve to 10, we’ll see a Mondale-style landslide defeat for Romney.


33 posted on 05/02/2012 5:58:31 AM PDT by JCBreckenridge (Hope is a Goode thing, maybe the best of things, and no Goode thing ever dies.)
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To: ScottinVA

I live in Richmond and I have not seen one Romney sticker or sign. Lots of Obama 2012 crap.


34 posted on 05/02/2012 5:58:58 AM PDT by C19fan
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To: C19fan
Lots of Fed Gov't employees in VA.

Will be tough for Romney there though it's very possible he can pull off a win.

I'm pulling for VA.

35 posted on 05/02/2012 5:59:53 AM PDT by what's up
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To: C19fan
These results come among an electorate that reports voting for Obama by only four points over John McCain four years ago.

That right there is proof that this one is Barbara Streisand.If,by chance,Osama wins this it will only be by the *slimmest* of margins and he will pull a smaller percentage of the vote versus 2008 in EVERY SINGLE STATE IN THE NATION.And in DC too.

36 posted on 05/02/2012 6:00:20 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Unlike Mrs Obama,I've Been Proud Of This Country My *Entire* Life!)
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To: C19fan
I live in Richmond and I have not seen one Romney sticker or sign. Lots of Obama 2012 crap.

Lots of parasites in Richmond,right? Both welfare parasites and government "worker" parasites.True? Not true?

37 posted on 05/02/2012 6:03:03 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Unlike Mrs Obama,I've Been Proud Of This Country My *Entire* Life!)
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To: wolfman23601

“Much different demograqphics in VA than in PA, OH, and IA. IA is one of the whitest states in the coutry and a much smaller ratio of bible beaters in PA and OH. Romney could easily win PA, OH, and IA, yet lose VA. Romney being a New England liberal Mormon changes the electoral red/blue map.”

You’re right, he does change the electoral map. If he’s down 13 to Obama in VA - he’ll be down 15+ in PA, MI, MN, WI, and CO; down 10+ in IA, OH, and NV, and probably down 5 in IN and FL, and MO. SC and GA go to tossup.

Romney as the nominee gives the GOP zero advantage in the NE while opening up the entire south to Obama.


38 posted on 05/02/2012 6:03:26 AM PDT by JCBreckenridge (Hope is a Goode thing, maybe the best of things, and no Goode thing ever dies.)
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To: lexington minuteman 1775
Bill Clinton thanks you...Ross Perot thanks you...and Bill Ayers’s most successful disciple thanks you.
39 posted on 05/02/2012 6:05:31 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Unlike Mrs Obama,I've Been Proud Of This Country My *Entire* Life!)
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To: JCBreckenridge
If he can improve to 10, we’ll see a Mondale-style landslide defeat for Romney.

Perhaps so. People are having a hard time understanding just how non-viable Romney is. As the weakest of all the choices, the GOP couldn't have made a worse move than to choose him to go forward. He trails in nearly every so-called "swing state."

In short, Romney has no base, no core values, no sure positions on anything... as such, he has no shot. None.

40 posted on 05/02/2012 6:05:42 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... so should voting!)
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