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Gallup: More 2008 Obama voters plan to switch sides than 2008 McCain voters
American Thinker ^ | 08/07/2012 | Rick Moran

Posted on 08/07/2012 7:40:12 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Yes, it's buyer's remorse and it will probably be one of the deciding factors in the race this year.

Gallup:

Eighty-six percent of voters who say they voted for Barack Obama in 2008 are backing Obama again this year, a smaller proportion than 92% of 2008 John McCain voters who are supporting 2012 Republican candidate Mitt Romney. Nine percent of 2008 Obama voters have switched to supporting Romney this year, while 5% of McCain voters have switched to Obama.

The results are based on July 23-29 Gallup Daily tracking with more than 2,000 registered voters who reported voting in the 2008 election. Of these, 48% said they voted for Obama and 42% McCain, with the remaining 10% saying they voted for another candidate or not disclosing their vote choice. However, the six-percentage-point advantage in reported voting for Obama is similar to the actual seven-point edge he had over McCain in the final 2008 returns, 53% to 46%.

Obama and Romney have been tightly matched so far this year, with the two generally tied or one having a slim one- or two-point advantage among registered voters in Gallup Daily tracking.

Thus, it follows that fewer voters are supporting Obama this year than in 2008. But the race remains close because Obama's margin in 2008 was large enough that he could still be tied or in the lead this year if his support is a few percentage points lower.

The data do underscore the high degree of party loyalty in voting across the last two elections. All told, 79% of registered voters are supporting the same party's candidate in 2012 as in 2008. That figure understates the true degree of party loyalty because the loyalty of the substantial minority of voters who did not report their 2008 vote choice cannot be computed.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingvote; bho2012; buyersremorse; gallup; mccain; moderates; obama; obamavoters; romney; swingvote; whatsthedifference
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To: Tulane

Our sons are 22 and 24, both working while in college to “help out the family”. The younger will graduate in Dec. with a Bachelor’s degree. The older will graduate in Dec. with a Master’s degree... They and their friends are very adamant that they WILL NOT VOTE in the general election as they are protesting both candidates! My husband and I have attempted - to no avail, it seems - to convince them they have a duty to vote even if for “the lesser of two evils”. (Other than my two votes for Ronald Reagan, I have only had that same option myself.)


21 posted on 08/07/2012 8:36:13 AM PDT by lyby ("Mathematics is the language with which God has written the universe." ~ Galileo Galilei)
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To: SeekAndFind

The Left is comprised of cults none of which is loved to any degree by any sizable portion of the population. Clinton restrained their excesses, Obama has unleashed them.


22 posted on 08/07/2012 8:39:22 AM PDT by junta ("Peace is a racket", testimony from crime boss Barrack Hussein Obama.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Just goes to show that High IQ and WISDOM are not necessarily correlated.

Neither are high IQ and ivy league schools.

23 posted on 08/07/2012 8:40:52 AM PDT by riri (Plannedopolis-look it up. It's how the elites plan for US to live.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Maybe Conservatives that refuse to vote for romney are being equated with voting for obama... you know... just like some romney supporters on FR accuse those of that very same thing here. I do not believe that there are more than a handful of insane idiots that voted for mccain that would vote for obama this time. There is an explanation... perhaps my idea is the reason... perhaps not. Something is horribly wrong in all of this polling... there are things in them that are just impossible to exist at the same time.

LLS

24 posted on 08/07/2012 8:43:30 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Don't Tread On Me)
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To: SeekAndFind

Maybe people will start doing their research before they vote for someone.


25 posted on 08/07/2012 8:44:35 AM PDT by coconut47
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To: SeekAndFind

86 vs 92%

Liars!

DNCp liars one and all...

I’ve already seen enough to know that far more than 14% of Obama’s base has scurried back under their rocks.

I was commenting to my wife the other day, we were out and noticing that there were no 2012 Obama stickers on any cars.

You could see and old 2008 sticker here and there, but they were VERY few and far between. We didn’t see a single one Obama 2012 sticker.

This guy is going down. Way, way, way down...

Don’t pay attention to these polls. They are misinformation on a scale we’ve seldom if ever seen.


26 posted on 08/07/2012 8:47:01 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Nope 2012)
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To: DoughtyOne

RE: I was commenting to my wife the other day, we were out and noticing that there were no 2012 Obama stickers on any cars.

Just curious, which great state of the USA do you live in?
If it’s a relatively conservative state, I would not be surprised to see what you just observed.

If it is a blue or purple state, then, Obama should be very worried.


27 posted on 08/07/2012 8:50:32 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: Jack Hammer
At this point in history, anyone who casts a vote for Obama can only be considered an irreversible Bonehead.

I've seen a few cars around here with Obama '12 stickers on them. They're usually Priuses, and the owners probably live in the North End of Boise (liberalville).

28 posted on 08/07/2012 8:51:36 AM PDT by Disambiguator
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To: faucetman
“....5% of McCain voters have switched to Obama...” - I call BS on this.

I agree...

99% of this 5% were Obama voters and lied to make things look better for them / him.

1% were confused and didn't understand the questions.

29 posted on 08/07/2012 8:56:44 AM PDT by muffaletaman (IMNSHO - I MIGHT be wrong, but I doubt it.)
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To: Tulane
what this poll doesn’t state is the enthusiasm gap

I honestly don't think that there is much of an enthusiasm gap in the Presidential race this year. It is really hard to get enthusiastic about voting for Romney.

I am very enthusiastic about voting for Ted Cruz for Senate. Hopefully there will be enough conservatives running in down ballot races in most states to get conservative voters to the polls.

30 posted on 08/07/2012 9:03:08 AM PDT by Bubba_Leroy (The Obamanation Continues)
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To: SeekAndFind

Southern California...


31 posted on 08/07/2012 9:06:43 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Nope 2012)
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To: LibLieSlayer
I do not believe that there are more than a handful of insane idiots that voted for mccain that would vote for obama this time.

Lots of Hillary Clinton supporters voted for McCain because they were still pissed off that Hillary did not get the Democrat nomination. Most of those will either vote for Obama this time or not vote.

32 posted on 08/07/2012 9:07:53 AM PDT by Bubba_Leroy (The Obamanation Continues)
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To: DoughtyOne

RE: Southern California...

Unfortunately, your state is going to vote for Obama (count on it ). The folks in San Francisco, Los Angeles and Sacramento are just too numerous for the rest of the state to overcome.

When California had the chance to get rid of the Dems in 2010, guess what they did... VOTE BARBARA BOXER and Governor Moonbeam back in.


33 posted on 08/07/2012 9:28:44 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: faucetman
“....5% of McCain voters have switched to Obama...”

"I call BS on this."

Really? Where's your substantiated proof it's "BS"?

"The results are based on July 23-29 Gallup Daily tracking with more than 2,000 registered voters who reported voting in the 2008 election. Of these, 48% said they voted for Obama and 42% McCain, with the remaining 10% saying they voted for another candidate or not disclosing their vote choice. However, the six-percentage-point advantage in reported voting for Obama is similar to the actual seven-point edge he had over McCain in the final 2008 returns, 53% to 46%.

Nonwhites other than blacks, a group composed largely of Hispanics and Asians, are among the subgroups of 2008 Obama or McCain voters most likely to switch presidential preferences or be undecided this year. Twenty-one percent of this group of voters have a different preference now than in 2008, about double the national average of 11%. Other groups showing an above-average shift in vote choice between 2008 and 2012 are political independents (18%), political moderates (16%), Eastern residents (15%), those with a high school education or less (15%), and unmarried men (15%)."


34 posted on 08/07/2012 9:30:07 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (=)
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To: Jack Hammer
"those who are so busy sucking away at the government teat that they are lost to reason and even the slightest variety of patriotism."

This group is also known to sit on their hands most of the time, including election day...

35 posted on 08/07/2012 9:35:41 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (=)
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To: Bubba_Leroy

Perhaps we shall receive more detailed polling data later.

LLS


36 posted on 08/07/2012 9:44:25 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Don't Tread On Me)
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To: SeekAndFind

I think Romney also needs to win Nevada, Colorado and North Carolina. Lots of Democrats statewide in each of those states, and lots of “educated” whites that voted for him last time. These states make me nervous and Romney has to win them all.

Romney doesn’t have a lot of margin of error. Then again, obama is definitely on the defensive.

But I am personally fearful that he can win enough of these small, sometimes left-leaning states to hang on.


37 posted on 08/07/2012 9:59:14 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: StAnDeliver

This group is also known to sit on their hands most of the time, including election day... “

Fortunately (haven’t you heard?), Uncle Sam is making it easy for these folks. All obama voters are eligible to vote on ANY of the following days: Wednesday, November 7 through Saturday, November 10. This is sort of a special perc that they get. They aren’t limited to voting on just one day.

Spread the word.


38 posted on 08/07/2012 10:01:55 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: faucetman
“....5% of McCain voters have switched to Obama...”

I call BS on this.

Why call B.S.? There are a bunch of people on this site that are, in effect, going to vote for Obama.

39 posted on 08/07/2012 10:10:00 AM PDT by muleskinner
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To: Bubba_Leroy

I honestly don’t think that there is much of an enthusiasm gap in the Presidential race this year. It is really hard to get enthusiastic about voting for Romney.

_____________

You might be right, but I think Romney will benefit from more enthusiasm because some think he is better than McCain (you can’t get worse), Obama is not the once loved blank slate he was in 2008, and finally his financial background plays perfectly for the moment.

For the record, I still think Obama will win, but there is definitely a fighting chance to get him out. We had no chance in 2008.


40 posted on 08/07/2012 10:55:30 AM PDT by Tulane
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