[wrhssaxensemble]

Even Minnesota and Pennsylvania.... thoughts?

[DuncanWaring]

Does it factor-in industrial-scale voter fraud?

[sickoflibs]

Depends on who votes. Dem voter enthusiasm is way down from 2008.

Did you see that poll where 96% of blacks polled said they will vote for Obama, 0% or Romney? I guess 4% dont vote.

[wrhssaxensemble]

I guess that would mean a map that looks like:

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=toE&referring_service=email#.UDeEZEbgm0o.email

?

[markomalley]

Encouraging...but not encouraging enough.

I, honestly, won’t relax until the votes are counted on January 6th, 2013. After all, who knows if electors might not be paid off to be faithless.

[ScottinVA]

And then came Todd Akin, who ALL BY HIMSELF put the whole election in jeopardy.

It’s different now, unfortunately.

[Buckeye McFrog]

Does not take into account the unprecedented attempts at vote buying that are going to occur as Obama panics (like forgiving all student loans, for example).

The predictive models can’t account for that cause its never been tried before.

[Lattero]

Stay frosty. Don’t get cocky.

[Linda Frances]

Are they assuming all the base will vote for Romney? There are many angry social conservatives over Akins. I watched three people here who had been telling people to hold their nose and vote Romney, reject him now. It was easy to see that it was the republican party and their people who were at the bottom of it. Huckabee, admitted that the RNC sent out talking points on what to say..... On FR the attacks were over the top. Some intimidated people, called them names, debased their faith..... If these people were looking to increase Romney’s voters, well, they did the opposite.

[DManA]

I have this feeling we are in brand new territory we’ve never visited before. I’m not sure models that worked before are valid anymore.

Too many voters are in la la land.

[DManA]

I have this feeling we are in brand new territory we’ve never visited before. I’m not sure models that worked before are valid anymore.

Too many voters are in la la land.

[avenir]

I had forgotten about him until I saw him on a list of Borgisms (a la Star Trek):

I am Ross Perot of Borg.

Now assimilation...that's just sad.

[Izzy Dunne]

What remains to be seen is whether voters will consider the economy in relative or absolute terms. If it’s the former, the president may receive credit for the economy’s trajectory and win a second term. In the latter case, Romney should pick up a number of states Obama won in 2008.”

That doesn't seem like an unequivocal projection to me.