Posted on 09/04/2012 5:52:58 AM PDT by CincyRichieRich
He is a massively narcissistic personality with disillusion of godhood. His world view simply cannot comprehend defeat. I suspect if he does lose, they are going to have to sedate him on election night since it will be an emotional melt down of epic portions
Yes you did.
I'm an Agnostic.
I agree with you on this one.
This election the vote will be counted in Spain, without a paper trail, by Scytl.
Who is behind Scytl?
Why, none other than Spooky Dude himself!
Unfortunately, the electors are in no way obligated mirror the popular vote. This is by design, as the Framers knew that the vast majority of people, then as now, are largely ignorant of the political process and largely uninformed. It has happened before that the electors voted contrary to the popular vote, as is their prerogative.
This election the vote will be counted in Spain, without a paper trail, by Scytl.
Who is behind Scytl?
Why, none other than Spooky Dude himself!
Evidence please?
Cincy, it is not 62-38. Today it is Obama +16 like I said.
Intrade - gambling as such, does not interest me therefore I have not put any time into looking into exactly what Intrade is/does. It’s quite possible I misunderstand it - badly. I thought people were laying down money at fixed odds. Are you, Sam, saying that is not the case?
I don’t understand your post.
I mention that there are articles saying that the Obamas are shopping for mansions in Hawaii.
So you respond that I should look up articles saying that the Obamas are shopping for mansions in Hawaii.
What’s your point?
I honestly don’t know what to say to these comments.
If he’s confident, it’s because he knows this is a country full of uninformed idiots.
He has it in the bag and he knows it.
He already has the lib, black, hispanic, gay, female, envirowhackos and ( insert-socialist-cause-here ) votes.
How can he lose?
He’s just a narcissist, they always seem confident on the outside, until they snap. Don’t get paranoid, there won’t be martial law declared or black helicopters swooping in to kidnap people, at least not yet. Maybe take a break from FR if thoughts like that are keeping you up at night. People just post hyperventilating conspiracies every time a Democrat is in office, you can’t give them too much credence.
“He and his marxist wife immediately upon occupation replaced all of the books on liberty and republican government in the White House library with books on marxism, maoism, and a post-American world”
Can’t find anything on this and have never heard it before. Do you have a source for this. I don’t doubt it a bit, but id like to read this one so i can pass it on.
>>Intrade can be manipulated with a relatively small amount of money.
16 points off of what all the polls show? What kind of money would that take?
The all-time highest daily volume for Obama winning the election was 21,889 shares on 9/1. That same day, the volume for Romney winning the election was 32,822 shares (also an all-time high).
A winning share pays $10. So, you can consider the price of the share to be approximately 1/10th of the probability of winning. At the close on 9/1, Obama was $5.84/share, and Romney was $4.21/share.
That means that 1 day's volume for Obama is 21,889 * $5.84 = $127,831. And the same day, the volume for Romney was 32,822 * $4.21 = $138,180. That's a lot of money to you and me, but that's chickenfeed to someone that wants to manipulate it for political purposes.
But, only a fraction of that would be needed. First, that daily volume is 4-5 times the average daily volume up until the last few days. Second, only a small number of shares are available for immediate trade right now, to satisfy outstanding orders. If you were to buy or sell all those, the price would move very quickly.
Right now, I could boost Obama's share price from $5.82 to above $5.98, buying 3,017 shares for $17,794. That would satisfy all the outstanding orders currently listed. Conversely, I could depress Romney's share price from $4.16 to below $3.88, selling 9,048 shares for $37,290. I wouldn't even have to own those shares -- I could make a short sale.
Moving either one all the way to 0 or 100 could get a bit expensive. There are a total of 410,183 shares for Obama and 402,797 shares for Romney. But, even at the maximum price of $10/share, that's still only a bit over $8,000,000 for both, combined. There are plenty of politically active people that can afford that.
So, do you see how easy it is to manipulate the Intrade prices? It's like a penny stock -- relatively moderate amounts of money can move the price a great deal.
Thanks a lot for taking the time and effort to explain that.
Not sure that it makes me feel any better though. :-(
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.