Posted on 09/08/2012 8:39:15 AM PDT by Bigtigermike
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows President Obama attracting support from 46% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns 44% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided…
The president is enjoying a convention bounce that has been evident in the last two nights of tracking data. He led by two just before the Republican convention, so he has already erased the modest bounce Romney received from his party’s celebration in Tampa. Perhaps more significantly, Democratic interest in the campaign has soared. For the first time, those in the president’s party are following the campaign as closely as GOP voters. Interest in a campaign is typically considered a good indicator of turnout. Platinum Members can monitor enthusiasm, demographic breakdowns and additional information from the tracking poll on a daily basis.
The president’s bounce began the night after Bill Clinton spoke to the convention and received rave reviews.
(Excerpt) Read more at m.rasmussenreports.com ...
Actually not much of a bounce. This thing is gonna be close right down to the wire. I expect undecided voter’s to break for R/R, but I’ve been wrong before.
I actually agree with you.. My gut tells me this will be a landslide in our favor..
That’s a view I’d rather not see.
Absolutely expected. In a week, or less, Obama will be back down to low 40s approval. It’s the economy...and we’re not stupid.
None of which, of course, is proposed by Obama.
By the way, the Congressional Budget Office says that "under current law" — that is, budgets passed by a Democrat-dominated Congress and signed by Obama — unemployment will surge to 9.1% next year as the U.S. economy goes over the "fiscal cliff" and into recession.
The president says he needs more time to turn America around. Looks like time just ran out.
“How can this happen? Voters are sick “
Easy.. Romney promised he would give us a bunch of stuff but it involved some work. Obama promised to give us a bunch of stuff for free. Not sure why anyone is surprised by Obamas lead. He will win the election after all more people belong to Government now than don’t....
Personally I have no use for either of these guys that would “give us stuff”..
“There are many dumb, freeloaders ...”
As I read, thought you were going to say there are many dumb Freepers.
2 points is within Rasmussen’s 3 point margin of error.
As I understand it, if you take this poll a hundred times, you’re going to have 95% of the polls fall within a range of 49-41, and some of them are going to say Romney 47-Obama 43, R46 O 44, R45-O45.
I see it more as a failure of the family.
i posted this in the AP/Rueters thread....
i heard Ras on Kudlow this morning....basically his message was this is Romney’s election to lose yet Romney has not done enough to win the election....
Ras said no one (electorate) believes obama has any idea or ability how to improve the economy yet at the same time Romney has blown it to date by not giving enough detail on his plan to improve the economy or reduce the deficit (i agree with the latter)...
Ras also said the rats have seen a massive short term bounce in voter enthusiasm....he credits clinton’s speech for it and said that while the rats think obama and clinton compare favorably when it comes to the economy and economic growth, Republicans disagree and more importantly, unaffiliated voters think its a joke...
bottom line- Romney needs to show more detail and according to Ras, his campaign executives told him they plan on doing exactly that this month....
sarc/
If Obama’s peak is 46-47 after a week of fawning, I feel pretty good. I would be worried if he hit 50%.
This does not include his speech yet. We have to wait until Tuesday to see what is up with the final bounce.
You are correct. People need to recognize the confidence interval and the effect it has on the spread.
How much could the country have changed in the 8 years since Bush got re-elected? Let’s put aside all the people who have gone on government assistance in the past 4 years due to the recession, as I refuse to believe that a majority of those people have an entitlement mentality, as opposed to simply not being able to find work or pay their bills.
Are there that many more public workers today than there were in 2004? That many more people on Medicare? That many more people living on Social Security?
If the entitlement mentality is so strong, Scott Walker would have gotten destroyed in the recall election. Or better yet, he never would have gotten elected in the first place, in a year when Republicans never would have made their biggest midterm gains in 70 years.
If we’ve reached the point of no return, with the takers outnumbering the makers, why does Chris Christie have the highest approval rating of any governor in New Jersey since they started taking polls?
If we’ve reached the point of no return, shouldn’t Occupy Wall St. have more political clout than the Tea Party?
If all these people are so happy to be getting government handouts, why couldn’t Obama fill the stadium? Why is his fundraising lagging? If we’re right on the verge of a Cloward-Piven economic collapse, why isn’t Soros writing a check for 300 million to help Obama get elected, so he can push us over the edge?
It just doesn’t add up.
Remember, it`s an emotional bond, not policy agreement, that has to be broken between voters and 0bama. His speech Thursday was the equivalent of an abusive husband persuading his beaten, but still devoted spouse to believe that he really didn`t mean it, and he that promises to stop the abusive behavior.
Romney won’t......He like his aides that tell him likewise believe that they just need to run a prevent defense (run the clock out) and they will win. Maybe they are correct in the end but I find this strategy “too risky” and gives Obama a chance, howbeit a small chance to squeak out a win. I believe the Romney and his advisors don’t understand how different the country had change over the past 30 years since Reagan vs Carter and that any trends from the past handbooks should be thrown out considering how numb many of our citizens have become and again....how our country is changing internally for the worse
he that=that he
The liberal base is relatively unimportant. Obama didn’t win 2008 with the Dem base. He won with a truck load of dumbass teenagers (now unemployed) and no doubt some “first black president!” peons. Neither exists this time around.
We have to look to history. Dick Morris is right when he says that no incumbent has ever won with Obama numbers. You CANNOT as an incumbent, go into the election running even or within the margin of error. It’s game over. Unless Obama can get a lead of eight or nine points, he isn’t winning anything. We also have a war-chest of hundreds of millions of dollars. Obama’s burnt through all of his cash for no gain. I still like our odds.
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