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The only troubling question is that respondents indicated they voted for Obama by a 50-44 margin, when in fact he won the state by 10. So is this poll oversampling Romney voters by 4%, or do those 4% simply not want to admit they voted for Obama?

Taking it a step further, suppose that those 4% are not represented but will go for Obama (i.e. the true picture is Obama by 5% in PA). Then consider that VA was 4% more favorable to McCain in 2008 than PA, OH was 6%, FL 9%, NC and IN 10% and the US as a whole was 3% more favorable. You start to get the sense that contrary to the pundits' pronouncements this is indeed a very close election...the current Rasmussen +2 and Gallup 0 results are likely accurate.