Skip to comments.Rasmussen: Monday: OCT 1: O: 50% R: 47% (leaners only): Obama -12%
Posted on 10/01/2012 6:39:02 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows President Obama attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.
These results include leaners, people who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question. Platinum Members can still see the more detailed numbers along with demographic breakdowns, and additional information from the tracking poll on a daily basis.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
“The ads that have been run thus far are meant for the squishy undecided/former/soft Obama voter - to sort of gently hold their hand and walk them over to the Romney side of the street.”
No one campaigns in Cali so its hard for me to tell sometimes other than by counting bumper stickers...There aren’t any around this year except very few old 2008 Obama stickers and old Bush/Channey stickers from 2006.
I notice that Ras has the Undecided down to 2% in this poll when it was 5-7% in previous polls. Obama bumps up from 46-47% to 50%. Is this an outlier/weekend noise poll or have the “undecided” squishes moved in Obama’s direction?
” ... we need something with more power. It needs to break through the confusing dynamic of the race ...”
It is very possible. Romney has so far been running as nothing, a blank slate, so if he takes a stand on anything, and says what he would do as president, then he has the very real possibility of “turning the race upside down” as one aide predicts.
The old/current Mitt Romney would begin the debate by praising President Obama for a few minutes, then asking Obama and moderators for permission to disagree with Obama a little. If Wednesday we see a new Mitt Romney who is any different and better from that, the polls could change.
No one wants some unknown guy to have his finger on the nuclear button. It’s not just the MSM. There are even articles from Romney’s left-wing Republican supporters, neocon columnists, that they are scared of Romney because they don’t understand him. That’s bad news, but it is also potential good news because Romney could change that really quickly if he really wants to and is man enough.
Obama normally polls better on weekend polls
Why is Rasmussen only giving “with leaners” results now? He used to give both. Was it even worse for Romney without leaners?
Do that. BTW, why do you care about Romney's campaign? Your tag line says you don't support him, anyway.
This is the Guy they wanted so bad.
He’s running the quietest campaign I’ve ever seen.
Shame, because this president is awful and could be campaigned against in so many effective ways.
I still think that Romney will win, no way Obama can escape the economy.
Gives me the heebie jeevies too, but I still think Romney/Ryan can pull it out. Hate to win by a squeaker though. We need a mandate to change this country.
Only reason the post turtle is up to 50% (if indeed he is) is because of the Chavez vote - see Drudge headline.
Chavez and tin pot dictators love The Marxist, and the American people can’t see that?? “You didn’t build that,” and still he manages to deceive half the voters ??
The gov’t teat-suckers are sucking it dry. Then what are they going to do? Riot; and then comes the iron fist.
“Looking very, very bleak right now... 52% want Obamacare repealed, but they still want Obama anyway. Americans have lost their sanity.”
In complete agreement.
Even the normally ultra-conservative Washington Times has a piece up today about this:
It surprised me that they would put up such a “downside” piece, considering the normal tenor of their reporting and editorial pages.
Come November 6, I know how I’m going to vote, regardless.
Getting better every day. I do believe we will pull this off and hopefully save the country and rid ourselves of Obamacare in the process!! Prayers up till election day.
“Its October first. At what point is Mitt going to start campaigning. I have a feeling we are going to be saying that on October 15.”
Been reading some of the posts above, to paraphrase:
“Just wait! The whole tenor of Romney’s ads is going to change!”
“Just wait! Romney’s going ‘to turn things upside down’!”
“Just wait.... the big guns are coming....!”
Sounds like they’ve got General George B. McClellan as their chief campaign strategist!
Romney’s say-nothing campaign isn’t working—unless this is the result he wants.
If Romney’s aides actually believe running against Obama as a cipher up until the last couple of weeks of the election is a winning strategy, we are indeed in trouble.
Well, he had always said he was going to do that starting Oct 1.
At this point anyone who says she/he is a leaner, is pretty certain to vote for that guy
Gallup is also shifting to the likely model as of today
Remember how his campaign was going to change in August, and then after the conventions and Labor Day?
This is shaping up as McCain II.
didn’t early voting already start?
A young African-American lady was there and said Romney?!!? No way Im voting for him...I dont want my food stamps taken away.
And I don’t want my money going to pay for your food stamps.
There we are even.
Rasmussen having Obama at 50% is terrible news for Romney. It doesn’t matter how undecideds break when the O is at 50%.
Everyone keeps waiting on Romney to throw open the throttle and go for the throat.
Here’s my guess.
He actually has always wanted to be a senator from Massachusetts. Since candidates can save their campaign funds from race to race, he is in the process of building a war chest for his next run at a Massachusetts senate seat.
Holy cow. I just found a website with a TON of documents about Obama SR. I don’t know what good it will do and I didn’t read all but this is just to let all know what’s out there. I’ve never seen this on FR.
I wonder too if using the word “uninformed” is not too generous to such persons and therefore inaccurate. They may be well unreachable.
“52% want Obamacare repealed, but they still want Obama anyway”
That’s partially Romney’s fault, for running a “repeal and replace” campaign. Would Romney’s replacement be 99% like ObamaCare? 1% like OC? No one knows.
“Only two Presidents have had less support than the first time out and been re-elected: James Madison and Andrew Jackson.”
I don’t think that’s correct.
Michael Medved is the one who stated that no President ever one reelection without a larger vote the second time around. Madison won 122 electoral votes in 1808 and 122 in 1812. Jackson had 43.1% of the vote at 151,271 with 99 electoral votes in a four way race in 1824 and 56% of the vote at 624,286 with 178 electoral votes in a two way race in 1828.
You are right; Romney hasn’t done much since April, when he pushed Santorum out. He seems just idling by hoping against “hope”. It is really absurd to hire those McPain staffers for 2012. Makes one wonder what is going on; maybe the Republican establishment is really for Obama.
This is bleak. Rasmussen is the best and he has Obama at 50%. 50% means it makes zero difference how the undecideds break.
More than anything else, though, this says that Romney’s invisible campaign strategy is not working.
No way this economy, this foreign policy, this jobs data, and this distrust of America’s direction should have the guy responsible for that leading in a campaign for the presidency.
I’m in Ohio and I see/hear Obama ads regularly and seldom run across a Mitt ad. Someone explain that to me. The “keeping my powder” dry strategy was supposed to end with the Dem Convention. Are we now waiting for the first debate? After that will be await the 2nd?
This non-strategy should make ABOs who felt obligated to turn to Romney for the sake of their nation livid.
Romney couldn’t win anything in MA again: they are for John Forbes Kerry there and shall so remain.
Paradoxical Quote of The Day From Ben Stein:
“Fathom the hypocrisy of a government that requires every citizen to prove they are insured... but not everyone must prove they are a citizen.”
Now add this, “Many of those who refuse, or are unable, to prove they are citizens will receive free insurance paid for by those who are forced to buy insurance because they are citizens.”
This is the reason Obama is not just making food stamps available, but out there actively advertising them and giving states financial incentives to sign people up. It has nothing to do with helping the needy and everything to do with getting as many people as possible signed up for government freebies so that he can in effect buy their votes.
I remember it being said in 1976 “Just wait, Gerald Ford is going to get the black vote!”
Good observatiion Pklong. Rasmussen is the honest one.
The truth is that Romney is content with his strategy of the “invisible campaign”, and it’s killing him.
I’m sensing it, and others are sensing it: Romney is coming across as unsure of himself.
tongue in cheek, wolfman.
Although it still isn’t flattering of Romney. The guy is a disaster.
If the media would be doing its job Obama would be losing by 15 points.
Pat Cadell said on FOX last week that thousands of donors who maxed out to Romney in the primary have NOT donated to him in the general election. Cadell said it was the campaign’s fault for not making more of an effort to contact them. I’m not so sure that it wasn’t pro-Obama people who just tried to help Romney win the primary knowing he would be the least electable, as most of us here on FR knew (dull personality, implemented programs in Mass. that the base doesn’t like, inability to attack Obama on Obamacare, exotic Mormon religion, ability to portray him as heartless rich guy who laid off workers, etc.).
“Poll manipulation or nuances aside, a conservative candidate would have a 10%+ lead by now. “
Obama has bought the media, spent billions in taxpayer money to buy off group after group and he’s got the youth, minorities and other groups that conservatives and Republicans arent connecting with.
We need to stop being in fantasy land about the power of Obama’s socialist brand.
“Im in Ohio and I see/hear Obama ads regularly and seldom run across a Mitt ad.”
Republican columnist Mona Charen says the same thing in Virginia:
“I live in Virginia, the swingiest of swing states. I expected that by now wed be deluged with ads from both sides. But Ive seen just two Romney ads.”
Yep. The only way to stop the media from attacking Romney is to force them to spend time defending Obama against harsh ads. It helps doubly, because those ads then get promoted for free all over the media. Ads that offend libs are the ticket to winning elections (Willie Horton, Swiftboat, etc.).
But the election is not next week. It’s 5 weeks away. Poll numbers fluctuate a lot in 5 weeks. But Romney does have to step it up a notch. It will be interesting to see how each candidate runs their campaigns. The one who is losing usually goes negative, and the one who is up in the polls stays positive. In the past few weeks, we’ve seen Romney essentially not going negative, but Obama has. If he was up in all these polls, you would think he would be the one staying positive. I don’t know. Maybe I’m just grasping at straws. I wish the election would hurry up and get here. I’m suffering severe anxiety from this thing.
I have been reading the pro Obama polls internals.
Something is seriously wrong in America. Most respondents agree with Romney and know America is in the hurt locker due to Obama. And yet, they tell pollsters they are going to vote for Obama!
If the polls are right America is finished. We will have become just another European style socialist state where voters, controlled by a state run media, continually vote for what makes them feel good rather then for their own economic self interests.
At this point, McCain was down 6 in Rass’s poll and it satyed that way all the way to election day.
Keep you mind free of negativity and keep positive...none of us have a crystal ball and we do NOT know the outcome in November..negative thinking drains our energy sources, our desire to fight for this WIN in November. Do not listen to the leftist propaganda...leftists LIE..remember Saul Alinsky confirmed this in his book, and obozo is following the rules of the socialist road to the letter. Don't be suckered in by the BS.
Pray to the Lord for guidance and strength, and then get up and get out there and be active with like minded people toward a win in November. Make sure your relatives, friends, neighbors, co-workers are registered to vote. Offer anyone a ride who needs it to register and vote in November. Volunteer at the polls to protect our vote.
Know that you're not alone when doubt and despair hits you. That's part of the fight, and now we have some idea of how soldiers feel during battle. But, we know the drill, and now let's get er’ done.
Yes, he been up to 50% a couple of times. It ebbs and flows.
1. Ad that thanks those that pay cell phone bills treating one million ohio people to free phones.
2. Bump in the road ads listing all the big bumps
Dole was down 22 points in the polls at this point. Romney is with in the margin of error
Sorry your candidate of choice did not win the GOP nomination. Get over it.
You are not seeing many Romney ads because your state is 10 point pro Romney. No reason to run ads in your state when the money can be spent better elsewhere.
Read your own tag line. It answers your question why Obama is up.
2008 was a virtual certainty Obama would win.
This could easily go either way. Although Ras says debates rarely change things, this year could be different with a massive number of viewers expected. I think a lot are looking for an alternative, and if Romney offers it, he should win.
I see the usual panicky types are here.
Check this out, it might cheer you up:
I think a lot just expect the economy to be bad forever, so that is factored into polls. Romney just needs to say it doesn’t have to be like that and offer change.