“Does this mix sound like Colorado? A D/R/I of 28/32/50? “
Registration of active Colorado voters as of 9/2012:
Dem: 806,876
Pub: 871,275
Ind: 798,422
So the pollster is R+4 and an apparent oversample of +18 for Independents. This versus a registration of R+2.6. I’m guessing that his TurnOut Model is based on who answered the phone. We criticized the Dem leaning polls for that practice, at least I did. Now we love them.