Posted on 10/06/2012 10:39:32 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar
A new poll shows Mitt Romney flipping a 5-point deficit in Colorado before the first presidential debate, which was held on Wednesday in Denver, to a 3.5-point advantage later in the week — another signal that Mr. Romney's comparatively strong debate performance has started to translate into rising poll numbers for the Republican.
A poll from Gravis Marketing, conducted Oct. 3-4, shows Mr. Romney with a 49.4 percent to 45.9 percent lead over Mr. Obama. The president had held nearly a 5-point lead in a poll conducted Sept. 25, at 50.2 percent to 45.5 percent.
Mr. Obama's job approval numbers are also significantly underwater in the new poll: 40.5 percent approve, while 50.9 percent disapprove. Just 36.8 percent of voters say the country is on the right track, compared to 53.5 percent who think it's on the wrong track.
The political party affiliation of the survey's sample was about 32 percent Republican, 28 percent Democrat and 40 percent "other."
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...
“Does this mix sound like Colorado? A D/R/I of 28/32/50? “
Registration of active Colorado voters as of 9/2012:
Dem: 806,876
Pub: 871,275
Ind: 798,422
So the pollster is R+4 and an apparent oversample of +18 for Independents. This versus a registration of R+2.6. I’m guessing that his TurnOut Model is based on who answered the phone. We criticized the Dem leaning polls for that practice, at least I did. Now we love them.
Don't get too confident. Obama should easily handle his/Hillary's decision to remove security from the Libya Team. But come to think of it, there is no possible explanation for his/her actions short of just total incompetence. LOL.
But, of course there is the outside possibility that it's Bush's fault.
This clown is going to get taken to the woodshed yet again by Romney who will look like a foreign policy master after the next debate.
We have only 2 guys that could make a difference in the direction our country is headed.
So - you're going to stand up for your country like this?
I hear what you are saying about pollsters wanting to get it right for their records, however my view on polling is that they only manufacture opinion.
I may be on my own, but it`s a deeply held belief I have had for many years.
The view I hold does not close the possibility that there may be a few honest pollsters, it`s just that the masses are swayed by the announced numbers of the many,
So a guy like Ras... whoever ( I have no favorites aside from the long gone George Gallup) could in fact do some honest polling, but the pool of people has already been tarnished by the other polls they have already heard, prior to taking a so called honest poll.
So I think the “science” is dead
Gravis has looked suspiciously R-leaning... so balance that with those D-leaning polls to get the ‘truth’.
Meanwhile “The Great Leader” is flinging all the mud he can concoct. Romney is staying on track.
The American people are seeing this and responding
These polls are “RACIST!!!!”/sarc
They under sampled both D and R and over sampled I in this poll. However the 3 point gap between R and D is reflective in CO Party ID polling.
Mitt Romney’s debate performance gave the snooze media the cover they needed for dumping their cooked polling results. Now we’re seeing the previous actual numbers with a bit of a post-debate bounce.
Thanks Jet Jaguar.
...And speaking of Colorado, the U/Colorado/Boulder Poli Sci Forecasting Model (correct in all recent elections), has strengthened Romney’s position, they are now forecasting Romney to narrowly take New Mexico:
How can a state be purple and the poll use more Republicans than Democrats? Obama is probably still up in Colorado.
Even at my age now, with Romney’s win on 11-6, I would go up and down my town’s main street with others I would text/e-mail, and go honking and screeching like kids at a football game - -
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