Posted on 10/07/2012 6:56:17 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Sunday, October 07, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided.
These results are based upon nightly interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, today’s update is the first based entirely upon interviews conducted after the first presidential debate last Wednesday night.
The numbers reflect a modest debate bounce for Romney. See daily tracking history. As with all bounces, it remains to be seen whether it is a temporary blip or signals a lasting change in the race.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Sounds like many aren’t buying the latest unemployment numbers.
However, the sample does include BOTH Friday and Saturday and historically (on Rasmussen AND other polls) Republicans poll about 2 points lower. Many reasons are assigned for that.
The Rasmussen poll on Thursday the 11th will be the FIRST post debate poll that will be done all on weekdays. It will also be a good poll to analyze as we will be able to see how permanent this “bounce” is for Team RR
It is my contention that Team RR is at 53 or 54% consistently but Republicans got EXCITED and maybe answered more phones after the debate victory. Till then the Republicans had been sulking and disheartened due to the constant “Obama will win in a landslide” drumbeat of the MSM
No champagne corks pop until it’s either a double-digit lead, or a DOP big wig flips out live on prime time TV. Other than that, wait until all the ballots are counted.
If you want an even better number, watch the Rasmussen poll on Friday the 12th.
It will have numbers from Tue, Wed and Thu. As Monday is a holiday for goverment workers (”Columbus messed up with directions Day”), the Dem sample will be higher on Monday
Also, the Friday sample will NOT have any interviews that will be POST the VP debate. So, it truly will the LAST sample that will show us the lasting BENEFIT of the Romney FIRST debate win.
Good point . . . and post-bogus jobs report. I would ad another point or two, maybe three. Keep in mind, too, that Rasmussen is sampling a lot more Dems than he used to. He uses a dynamic model (I think it is 21 days, and thus, pre-debate and post-Dem-convention) in which he relies on Party self-identification by those polled. It may be as high as Dem+6 at this point. That will gradually shift in our direction, too. Note too that Rasmussen gives Romney a 16 point advantage among independents. For now, Romney 49% to Obummer 47%? I’ll take it!
Ras polls are all now showing the “leaners.” Does this include a “certain to vote” element?
The polls are skewed to Obama. Romeny is ahead by more.
As this month goes on, Obama will get more desperate. There will be more lies and more desperate attempts to scare everyone about Romney. Their only strategy is to attack or distract from Obama’s failures.
I agree, but if people doubt these numbers, it give us a weapon. From what I’ve seen, Romney will do his research and have answers at the next debate.
Most probably, but fortune favors those who fight as if their back is against the wall. This is to the death and for the jugular.
Are the “Messiah’s” weekend bounces going away?
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- Thanks for posting these latest polls
- FReepers please - get the URL of these poll threads on FR and email them to you mega-email buddy lists with “Please FORWARD ASAP”
The goolfer needs a looong vacation
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Good photoshop op to put a FR screen on the laptop.
Our back is still against the wall. These guys cheat; if things are within a couple of points they will fudge the results as they have in various close elections. In my home state, Washington they recounted three times in our governors race a few years ago, until they got the results they wanted. Most troubling currently... Obama is funneling 100s of millions of dollars of ill gotten “donations” (stashed stimulus dollars?) into negative ads in the swing states where according to Rasmussen he is still ahead 49% to 47%.
No further bounce for Romney in today’s numbers.
This is still going to be a dogfight right up until election day.
I am doubting all polls these days. I spent 2.5 hours making calls in VA for the Romney campaign yesterday and had only 5 people answer the phone. Every other call got an answering machine or the number was disconnected. Who are the pollsters talking to?
“No champagne corks pop until it’s either a double-digit lead, or a DOP big wig flips out live on prime time TV.”
Keep a close eye on Chrissy Matthews over on PMSNBC. When they come with the straight jacket, lead him off the set, and put him in a padded cell, we can all rest easy.
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