someone claimed that he reversed engineered Ras to get +3.5 D.
Ras himself i think said he had to up the dem bias as he could’nt get enough GOP’ers to participate, refused to participate.
From what I have heard from reading polling bloggers (Jay Cost, Sean Trende, etc), Rasmussen is using a D+3 or so sample (could be 3.5). I never heard of him using a D+5 this year.
And don’t forget, Rasmussen still has Republicans up +2.6 in party id - ending in September.
In 2010 for example, the September party id was D+2.1. And we know what happened 30 days later.
This will be a landslide of even bigger proportions, IMO.
Nope, D+5:
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Rasmussen) - O:47%, R:49%, ‘other’:2%
Saturday, October 06, 2012 10:00:13 AM · 74 of 170
Cruising For Freedom to tatown; profit_guy
If my reverse-engineering using profit_guy’s internals is correct, Rasmussen’s party ID breakdown is:
39.3%D 34.4%R 26.6%I
Rasmussen is using a +5D model.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2941087/posts?page=74#74