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Times/Bay News 9/Herald exclusive Florida poll: Romney 51, Obama 44 (mason-dixon poll)
times bay news ^

Posted on 10/11/2012 3:24:51 PM PDT by sunmars

Barack Obama’s lackluster debate performance last week has dramatically altered the presidential race in Florida, with Mitt Romney opening up a decisive 7 percentage point lead.

Conducted this week found 51 percent of likely Florida voters supporting Romney, 44 percent backing Obama and 4 percent undecided. That’s a major shift from a month ago when the same poll showed Obama leading 48 percent to 47 percent — and a direct result of what Obama himself called a “bad night” at the first debate.

The debate prompted 5 percent of previously undecided voters and 2 percent of Obama backers to move to Romney. Another 2 percent of Obama supporters said they are now undecided because of the debate.

“There’s no question in my mind that debate made people stand up and pay attention, and it really wiped away any questions people had about Romney, whether they were undecided or soft for Obama,” said Brad Coker of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.

Across the board, from who is better suited to improve the economy, to who will protect Medicare, to looking out for the middle-class, to handling foreign policy, likely Florida voters now favor the former Massachusetts governor over the president.

“It’s a very big shift since the debate, and where the shifts are taking place are very, very interesting because they are the types of shifts you see in Florida when something starts to break one way or another,” said Coker, likening it to when Ronald Reagan shot past Jimmy Carter in 1980.

Take Tampa Bay, the battleground region that invariably mirrors statewide results. A month ago, Obama had a 4 percentage point lead in Tampa Bay. This week, Romney led by 8 percent, 52 to 44. In Central Florida, Romney now leads by 6 points.

(Excerpt) Read more at tampabay.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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To: ken5050

We can only hope that waste of air nelson loses his bid for 6 more years of doing nothing for Florida.


21 posted on 10/11/2012 3:51:25 PM PDT by driftdiver (I could eat it raw, but why do that when I have a fire.)
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To: sunmars
"Barack Obama’s lackluster debate performance last week has dramatically altered the presidential race in Florida, with Mitt Romney opening up a decisive 7 percentage point lead."


22 posted on 10/11/2012 3:52:45 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Yeah, polls all over the place. :-) Good though ...confirmation of what Suffolk U. was seeing in Florida. Buh bye Obama
LoL.


23 posted on 10/11/2012 3:52:48 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: RoseofTexas

Purple Strategies’ Purple Poll or the politico/gwu Battleground Poll.

I think I heard Rush once mention Ed Geas of the Battleground Poll...


24 posted on 10/11/2012 3:54:59 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat Party!)
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To: sunmars

Mason Dixon? They’re usually a good polling firm too.


25 posted on 10/11/2012 3:57:10 PM PDT by Darren McCarty (Holding my nose one more time to get rid of Eric Holder)
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To: RoseofTexas

Battleground


26 posted on 10/11/2012 3:58:46 PM PDT by Lady Heron
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To: ken5050

Saw Nelson today, talking about tonight’s debate to a crowd - he looked skeletal, like he is or has been seriously ill. There have been some folks questioning why he has been out of sight so much lately.


27 posted on 10/11/2012 4:04:42 PM PDT by MissMagnolia (Being powerful is like being a lady. If you have to tell people you are, you aren't. (M.Thatcher))
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To: sunmars

Romney has a two-point lead with Hispanics (46-44)? True, there is a rather large ex-Cuban community in Florida, but still, Obama took 57 percent in 2008. A 13 point drop doesn’t bode well for his campaign.


28 posted on 10/11/2012 4:12:19 PM PDT by JerseyanExile
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To: WashingtonSource

I know what you mean, but if I try a cartwheel, I’ll take out a wall. LOL


29 posted on 10/11/2012 4:14:00 PM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Ryan and the other guy.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: WashingtonSource

I know what you mean, but if I try a cartwheel, I’ll take out a wall. LOL


30 posted on 10/11/2012 4:16:48 PM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Ryan and the other guy.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: onyx

I can see Obama losing from my house....


31 posted on 10/11/2012 4:18:23 PM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Ryan and the other guy.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: sunmars

Great news! I hope this election is a landslide. I won’t be able to survive an election night nail-biter.


32 posted on 10/11/2012 4:19:59 PM PDT by St_Thomas_Aquinas (Viva Christo Rey!)
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To: sunmars

Mason Dixon is the gold standard of state polls. They really know what they are doing, so I will take this as GREAT news.

My only real worry this cycle remains Ohio. My sense is Romney is probably down just a slight bit there, and I truly believe whoever wins Ohio, wins the election.

Come on Buckeyes. Help us throw the worst President in the history of our country out of the Oval Office!!!!!


33 posted on 10/11/2012 4:23:17 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: sunmars
Nate Silver ‏@fivethirtyeight Romney now a 60/40 favorite in Florida after addition of Mason-Dixon poll. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/ Expand Reply Retweet Favorite
34 posted on 10/11/2012 4:24:14 PM PDT by cmsgop ( The left always accuses the right for the sins of the left. from FReeper Just Lori, RIP)
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To: Gator113

Hiya Gator113!!!

I am so praying you’re right!

God bless and keep you.

GO Paul Ryan!!!!

Lord, hear our prayers.

That evil Marxist and his regime must go.

Landslide defeat!


35 posted on 10/11/2012 4:25:49 PM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: Perdogg

This is what makes me think the MI news that Zero has closed up shop may be correct. He has never led there by more than a couple. If his internals reflect the REALITY that I think Ohio is showing, then he indeed is trailing MI too.


36 posted on 10/11/2012 4:27:02 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Sarah Barracuda

No, that was Suffolk Polling.


37 posted on 10/11/2012 4:27:45 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: ken5050
Means we can say goodbye to Nelson as well...a GOP pick up in the Senate.

I can't see FL going for Romney and not electing Mack. We need five seats to control the Senate (we lose Maine to an Independent). Nebraska, North Dakota and Virginia will be pickups. There are plenty of other races that may go for the GOP. I can even see Casey losing to Smith in PA. (Smith is within 2 pts right now).

38 posted on 10/11/2012 4:34:11 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA (The truth hurts)
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To: RoseofTexas

You are thinking of the Battleground Poll with Celinda Lake and Ed Goeas.


39 posted on 10/11/2012 4:34:21 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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CAN'T WE SNUGGLE ON THE SOFA?


40 posted on 10/11/2012 4:35:24 PM PDT by devolve (----- ------- -CHEESEBURGER_CHEESEBURGER_CHEESEBURGER- ----------------------------)
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