Posted on 10/12/2012 10:56:43 PM PDT by GonzoII
Pennsylvania is in play Philadelphia is not.
Unfortunately Obama will get 80-85 percetn of the Philly vote so..........
I think Romney has a shot in all 50 states. The District of Columbia is the only place he doesn’t.
Any state Obama polls under 50% is in play.
Not California. Still Obamaland here.
Philadelphia is not.
But are they motivated?
Not a chance of that happening. California, Illnois, and New York are solidly in Obama's column, along with most northeastern states. 200 EVs minimum for Obama.
it’s a damn shame the number of states a Republican has to win vs a Dem. I guess it’s fair due to the most fact the majority of the population lives on the coasts, but still.
Pray for snow, rain bad weather in all of the states that either swing or solid for Obama.
Dear God, please make it snow and rain heavy just in Philly and Pittsburgh on Nov 6th.. please Lord... thank you..
Pennsylvania recently elected a somewhat conservative Republican governor, Tom Corbett, and a mostly conservative US senator, Pat Toomey. Republicans control the state senate by a mile, 30 - 20. Democrats hold the House, 104 - 98, but many of those rats are "conservative", at least for rats.
The voter ID law was upheld but put on hold until after the next election, meaning the scumbag rats will again get 120% turnout in Philadelphia.
But yeah, I'd say Pennsylvania is most definitely "in play".
In fact, I will predict here that Romney wins Pennsylvania.
If Romney wins by 4 full percentage points nationally or more that would probably include Pennsylvania and Michigan in the mix.
FYI Rasmessen has a 5 point race right now in PA.
Rasmussen seems to me to be hedging a little conservative (in terms of numbers, not politics) during the Romney surge. It's unlike the usual landscape to have many other polls moving in favor of the Republicans as much or more than Rasmussen. It's unusual for my own assessment to be 3 points greater than Rasmussen's.
And his piece today was blather. FR thread here.
Whatever the nature of the Republican win, it will be interesting to look back on Susquehanna's polling vs actuals, because they have been really cocky, and I agree with them.
Anyone with knowledge care to comment on the rumors we in the Western part of PA keep hearing that the Rats have always liked to bus NJ union types across the state line to vote in Philly? After all, that’s where the Black Panthers made their “stand” in 2008.
Then why is Obama wasting money on TV ads in the NY tri-state market?
do you have a section of the state that is conservative or is the whole state liberal?
Conn Obama. According to my sources poll tract the only north east state is a toss up is new hampshire.
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