Pennsylvania is in play Philadelphia is not.
Unfortunately Obama will get 80-85 percetn of the Philly vote so..........
I think Romney has a shot in all 50 states. The District of Columbia is the only place he doesn’t.
Any state Obama polls under 50% is in play.
Pray for snow, rain bad weather in all of the states that either swing or solid for Obama.
Pennsylvania recently elected a somewhat conservative Republican governor, Tom Corbett, and a mostly conservative US senator, Pat Toomey. Republicans control the state senate by a mile, 30 - 20. Democrats hold the House, 104 - 98, but many of those rats are "conservative", at least for rats.
The voter ID law was upheld but put on hold until after the next election, meaning the scumbag rats will again get 120% turnout in Philadelphia.
But yeah, I'd say Pennsylvania is most definitely "in play".
In fact, I will predict here that Romney wins Pennsylvania.
If Romney wins by 4 full percentage points nationally or more that would probably include Pennsylvania and Michigan in the mix.
Conservatives have a secret weapon in PA, now. It’s influence may not be felt thsi year. In the future, it is bound to show positive results. That weapon is Chris Stegal, the morning voice on Talk Radio 1210, WPH.
He moved form 710 KCMO last year to the Philly market, and oh how we miss him in Kansas City. You’ve probably heard him sub for Rusty Humpheries and others on national shows at times. Unless he’s changed, the guy is a staunch conservative, who is able articulate his positions well. I expect that he’s already gotten inside the heads of some PS liberals and done some damage.
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One veteran of the PA game says the state is the Zac Ephron of politics—a perpetual tease that will never come out (for the GOP in the general):
http://hillbuzz.org/democrats-folly-how-bad-will-obamas-loss-really-be-90130
Oct. 11 Philadelphia Inquirer Obama 50, Romney 42 Obama +8 Oct. 10 Rasmussen Reports Obama 51, Romney 46 Obama +5 Oct. 09 Siena Obama 43, Romney 40 Obama +3 Oct. 08 Susquehanna Obama 47, Romney 45 Obama +2
I was reviewing the last month's Rasmussen Senate polls, and it is a disaster. The entire GOP Senate campaign has totally collapsed.
I will be putting out a complete analysis later this weekend, but we're in worst-case scenario now and need an immediate turnaround strategy, or Romney will NOT have a united Congress to support him.
-PJ
That’s a clown question, of course it’s in play.