That is also Nate Silver’s (NYT, FiveThirtyEight or something blog) theme.
Nate Silver’s own research says an incumbent who is both below 50% and behind the challenger will lose the majority of the undecided vote and the election.
Granted, he was speaking of the last polls before election day, but his research does not at all bode well for Obama.
My sense is that Americans, in general, don’t like Barack Obama. I don’t. I believe he showed that haughty demeanor in the debate the other night that really concerns me.
Other than that, Dick Morris believes undecideds automatically break for the challenger. If he’s right, then Obama is in a really bad way. If Silver is right, then Obama is in a very bad way.
As always, though, don’t count your chickens before they hatch.
The supporters of all GOP candidates should be skeptical of polls and come out in droves REGARDLESS of any poll numbers. Forget the polls and the libs whining or lying or even if the polls are close. Come out and vote vote vote. There is no excuse for any supporter of Pub candidates to stay at home. None. Obama has to go and so do many liberal Dems or we lose the republic . Forget Nora, Matthews or CNN. They are nada in the large scheme of things. Winning in Nov. is now the be all of our citizenship responsibility. Period