Rasmussen Daily: SUN: 10/21: R:49% O:47% Obama -16%

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/21/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

[SoftwareEngineer]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

These numbers are unchanged from the morning of the second presidential debate. They suggest that the president’s stronger performance in that debate stopped his slide in the polls but did not regain lost ground. The first debate had a bigger impact, changing the race from a two-point Obama advantage to a two-point Romney edge. Still, the race remains too close to call with just over two weeks to go.

[9YearLurker]

You talkin’ about the Man Country Muslim?

[Principled]

Yes there’s libya to beat him over the head with -

but it must fit into an overall assessment for America to see: like the economy, 0dumbo has made things worse:
he’s made allies unhappy [fast-n-furious, Keystone pipeline, Isreal,...], he’s made terrorists stronger, not weaker [al quaeda growth, increasing US deaths, spread of al quaeda],
he’s brought iran closer to nukes, not farther]...

Romney has all he needs to make this debate as much a crushing defeat as the first.

C’mon man lessgo

[FrdmLvr]

Sign me up!

[ScaniaBoy]

Yes, OH is big, but given the latest news it looks like the battle-lines have moved from OH to PA.

[FrdmLvr]

Now THAT’s funny!

[SoftwareEngineer]

Swing State is officially out.

Stays the same. Gov Romney and Team RR still at 50%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_swing_state_tracking_poll

FR Thread here. Hat tip to Tatown who normally posts this and the Gallup polls but is “out and aboot” (as the Canadians say)

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2948068/posts

[BlueStateRightist]

The R&R PA move is smart, whether a serious attack or a feint. Whatever its intent, the PA strategy indicates R&R confidence and financial health.

[BuckeyeGOP]

here’s the spin, I heard it on Fox Sunday...

“...polls show the last debate stopped Mitt’s momentum”.

The rats are forced to keep moving the goal posts to legitimize their propaganda. Ohio is pretty much their last stand propaganda-wise, in reality Ohio is lost already for them.

[SoftwareEngineer]

This is DEFINITELY a talking point. I am seeing this everywhere.

Even good old Rasmussen has that in his summary. This is a talking point put out by President Obama’s team

Never mind the fact that in the Swing State tracking, Gov Romney hit 50% for the FIRST time AFTER the 2nd POTUS debate.

Never mind that in the WSJ/NBC poll, Gov Romney “tied” President Obama for the FIRST time after the debate.

Never mind the scores of other polls that have shown improvement AFTER the debate.

Just keep saying the talking points.

As Gov Romney said during the Al Smith dinner “Polls now show President Obama leading from behind!”

[Netz]

I hear so many people just assuming that Obama has it in the bag. Just go along with the herd and say, “bah, bah...” Why should it be so automatic? Data shows R is close yet I see people shrugging and saying, “you know Obama’s going to win”. I need words of confidence that Mitt has a serious chance.

[SoftwareEngineer]

Hi Netz!

Really not much you can do about the fact that MSM loves President Obama and is willing to do ANYTHING to push the narrative that President Obama’s victory is “inevitable”

Instead, I would encourage you to look at the serious poll threads on this forum where analysts like Ravi, Perdogg, Tatown, InterceptPoint, NHWingut etc have broken down every poll and posted rational and logical reasons as to why Gov Romney will win

Many of their analytical points have now made it mainstream. Witness Ravi’s early voting analysis now catching increasing attention and so on.

[Sherman Logan]

I find the somewhat triumphalist discussion of poll numbers recently on FR amusing.

Only a few weeks ago, when Romney was way behind, the most common reaction around here was that the polls were worthless.

So now that we like the results they’re suddenly accurate?

I realize, of course, that they may still be understating the degree of support for Romney for the same reasons they were criticized before.

BTW, I wish polls weren’t as accurate as they are. Polls have taken a great deal of the meaning and interest out of elections.

[SoftwareEngineer]

Sherman,

Good Morning! Actually none of the poll junkies at FR have changed our tunes.

We all believed that the polls UNDER reflected Gov Romney’s strength by 4-5% points as most polls were using 2008 turnout samples

So, we were always compensating for that in our analysis. What is happening now is that DESPITE the pro Democrat weighted polls, Gov Romney is either showing as tied or ahead.

For example, take today morning’s WSJ/NBC poll. It shows Gov Romney tied at 47% with President Obama. In my opinion, based on their poll size and poll history that poll undercounts Gov Romney’s potential vote share

In the end the only poll that counts is the one in the ballot box. On Nov 6th we will find out who was right. Were pollsters like Rasmussen right (who only show a 2 point gap between Gov Romney and President Obama) or was Gallup right in capturing the enthusiasm and turnout of Republicans

Then again, by tomorrow, President Obama and Governor Romney could be tied in Gallup :)

This is certainly a strange polling season and we are all trying our best to understand the math, stats and analytics that are driving these polls.

[riri]

President Obama announces a "deal" with Iran, that may consist of either an agreement or may allow for "direct talks" (This is VERY likely)

I don't see this buying much traction.

[SoftwareEngineer]

The value of this “surprise” goes down to zero at 8 PM tomorrow when the last debate, which is foriegn policy, starts.

After that this has no real electoral value

So, watch for news tomorrow. It will be announced around 9 AM, if it is to be announced at all

[riri]

I hear so many people just assuming that Obama has it in the bag

That could work to our benefit. The Low Info Voters who are swayed by soundbites might just not vote.

[cherry]

Rush is right ....we could possibly survive bamey for four more years, but we can't survive the morons who would give this dictator another 4 yrs....

what the hell is wrong with people?

[riri]

For sure, tomorrow is a vulnerable day for us. I have heard this Iran theory from several sources.

[Cosmo]

People forget just how good the GOP ground game is in Ohio. They have a micro understanding of their base there and no poll ever reflected that in the two election cycles that saw Bush win that state comfortably.
Furthermore, The move to PA os not simply about a chance to pick up pa; it is a two pronged attack on Ohio and pa combined.

[rashley]

How about something from the Rascals?

http://www.lastfm.de/music/The+Rascals/_/A+Beautiful+Morning

(Sorry, I’’m terrible at posting links.)