interesting point. A 7 point lead nationally and a neck and neck tie in Ohio makes NO sense. One of these scenarios is way off. Ohio is traditionally a very good barometer for the electorate in general. When companies want to test market a new product, they often do it in Ohio for this very reason.
What I gather from this consistent strong showing in Gallup, (even through the weekend), is that Gallup knows their cred is on the line and they sense the lead and eventual win margin will be VERY significant. As far as Ohio, I’m much more skeptical of those polls.
BTW, The Columbus Dispatch endorsed Romney today. That is HUGE coming from such a left-leaning paper.
Romney will lose Cuyahoga but it will be by less than 150,000 votes. He’ll pick up the suburban counties and the Rust Belt and carry the state. After all, he’s a lock in next door IN, KY and WVA all of which border OH. When these states go Red, look for OH to follow suit.