[FredZarguna]

I think the underlying correlation is really is that canvassing fewer voters = having less money = having poorer quality statisticians and actuaries.

There is another factor not considered, which is past history. In past elections, CBS/News, WSJ/NBC, and FoxNews/Opinion Dynamics always skew +2 to +4 Dem. Skewing in favor of those more likely to respond shows that these firms have poorer models to correct for the high refusal rates which are now standard.

[Nervous Tick]

>> I think the underlying correlation is really is that canvassing fewer voters = having less money = having poorer quality statisticians and actuaries.

==> poorer correction models (and less ability to test, verify, qualify and improve correction models).

Doing a good job of that modeling step can’t be cheap. Or easy.

Thanks and FRegards