[Rumierules]

Does Romney have a better chance of winning Iowa, Nevada, or New Hampshire? How would you rank those?

It looks like he is going to need at least one of these to get to 270.

[Homer_J_Simpson]

It looks like he is going to need at least one of these to get to 270.

He needs all of them to get to the 358 I predicted.

[TonyInOhio]

Does Romney have a better chance of winning Iowa, Nevada, or New Hampshire? How would you rank those?

I'm not the OP, but I'll chime in: I believe Romney wins New Hampshire, wins Iowa in a squeaker, and loses Nevada.

[BlueStateRightist]

“Does Romney have a better chance of winning Iowa, Nevada, or New Hampshire? How would you rank those?”

From my reading of copious polls and listening to trustworthy sources like Rasmussen I would rank the likelihood of a win for Romney (greatest to least) as New Hampshire, Iowa, then Nevada. Others may disagree. If I had a gun to my head I’d wager only NH and IA go to Romney. If he takes FL, OH, NC and VA then that’s all he needs.

[nathanbedford]

1. If Romney wins Ohio he does not need New Hampshire, Iowa, or Nevada.

2. If Romney fails to take Ohio he needs one of those three and Wisconsin.

3. Romney is very likely to take New Hampshire and likely to take Iowa especially in view of these data from this poll.

4. Romney is very likely to win Ohio.

5. Romney is very likely to win Wisconsin.

6. Romney is very likely to win Ohio, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Iowa yielding 295 electoral votes.

7. Romney has a reasonable chance of winning Pennsylvania or Michigan.

8. If Romney wins New Hampshire he turns the tables dramatically on Obama because Obama now must now run the table winning: Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, and one of Iowa or Nevada.

9. Obama must win all of these states with a ceiling of 47%, in the teeth of Romney's momentum, with undecideds who are breaking two out of three for Romney, with Barone predicting the affluent suburbs going to Romney, with the voter intensive older generations breaking overwhelmingly for Romney, with early voting breaking for Romney by five points according to Gallup, with the women's gap closed, and with palpable intensity on the side of Romney – whose position would you rather be in?