See complete report here:
http://www.people-press.org/files/legacy-pdf/11-4-12%20Election%20Weekend%20Release.pdf
So hurricanes and “appearing presidential” trumps the economy and jobs? This country is REALLY Fluked up.
Don’t believe this one - D+6 oversampled?
Not going to happen. If Pew is right, an Obama victory would be the best-kept secret of the year!
but the internals are skewed as usual for Ds.
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Are they in for a big surprise. Early voting numbers for Ohio is an early indicator that the Dems are in trouble.
Is this an ONLINE poll?
D+6? Can’t imagine it. Hope I’m right.
Yeah, right. We'll see what the polls say on Tuesday.
D 38.6%
R 32.3%
I 29.2%
for D +6.3%
This election is going to give me eye-rolling muscles of steel
Only problem is since Wednesday people are not to thrilled with how Obama and others have handled Sandys aftermath. They should have waited for tomorrows numbers. Anyhow I don’t believe Obama hits 50% nationally. I’m predicting 51 R to 47 Obama.
Assuming we don’t get a tie Tuesday night one side will be stringing their analysts up to dry and their delusions as well. I just think this: if PA and MI, WI etc are super close, practically tied, then we’re in for a much different night than 2008.
I found this interesting. Maybe explains why the national #s are trending a bit Obama, while swing states tighten up?
“Another notable gain for Obama, perhaps reflecting Hurricane Sandy’s effect on the race, comes in a region he was already secure in: the Northeast. He has increased his lead over Romney from nine points (52%-43%) to 21 points (56%-35%) there over just the past week.”
Ok, what concerns me is that Pew has been very accurate in the past 2 presidential elections. Yes, we hope they are wrong. But we must also face the fact that they could be right. Maybe this country is so screwed up already that a Hurricane and a few photo ops could trump everything else. If that is the case, this country is already lost.
After this blows up on them , in 2016 every state run polling org swill lower the expected outrun for the incumbent as that’s what was wrong in 2012.
Was hoping to see better, but it is all down to turnout now.
Is this an ONLINE poll?
Below is the robo call transcript. Governor Palin was asked to record a robo call for the Gov Romney campaign. (I think this was recorded last week…don’t know for sure.)
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“Hello, this is Sarah Palin calling to urge you to go to the polls on Election Day, or better yet, vote early. We have a critical choice to make this year and America needs leaders who believe in limited government, individual liberty, a robust national defense, stronger families, the sanctity of life and marriage, and time-honored values. Our nation is at a crossroads. So please go to the polls and vote for the candidates who share your common-sense values. Urge your friends and family to vote, too. Thank you and God bless you!”
