Posted on 11/04/2012 1:13:19 PM PST by Red Steel
Barack Obama has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign. In the Pew Research Center’s election weekend survey, Obama holds a 48% to 45% lead over Romney among likely voters.
The survey finds that Obama maintains his modest lead when the probable decisions of undecided voters are taken into account. Our final estimate of the national popular vote is Obama 50% and Romney 47%, when the undecided vote is allocated between the two candidates based on several indicators and opinion
(Excerpt) Read more at people-press.org ...
See complete report here:
http://www.people-press.org/files/legacy-pdf/11-4-12%20Election%20Weekend%20Release.pdf
So hurricanes and “appearing presidential” trumps the economy and jobs? This country is REALLY Fluked up.
Don’t believe this one - D+6 oversampled?
Not going to happen. If Pew is right, an Obama victory would be the best-kept secret of the year!
but the internals are skewed as usual for Ds.
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Are they in for a big surprise. Early voting numbers for Ohio is an early indicator that the Dems are in trouble.
Is this an ONLINE poll?
D+6? Can’t imagine it. Hope I’m right.
Yeah, right. We'll see what the polls say on Tuesday.
D 38.6%
R 32.3%
I 29.2%
for D +6.3%
This election is going to give me eye-rolling muscles of steel
Oh please! You don't really believe these Fluked up polls, do you? D+6???
Every one else is projecting D+2.
Gallup projects R+2.
I don’t see the Obama enthusiasm out there.
Only problem is since Wednesday people are not to thrilled with how Obama and others have handled Sandys aftermath. They should have waited for tomorrows numbers. Anyhow I don’t believe Obama hits 50% nationally. I’m predicting 51 R to 47 Obama.
Yup, If people really decided to vote for Obama because
he took a photo op after a hurricane... Then we were doomed no matter what because that’s just absurd. The culture is essentially dead as people now are guides by manipulated media images and facades instead of their own reason (see the results of the past 4 years).
Where is this info in this Pew Sample?
D 38.6%
R 32.3%
I 29.2%
for D +6.3%
Where is this info?
Assuming we don’t get a tie Tuesday night one side will be stringing their analysts up to dry and their delusions as well. I just think this: if PA and MI, WI etc are super close, practically tied, then we’re in for a much different night than 2008.
I found this interesting. Maybe explains why the national #s are trending a bit Obama, while swing states tighten up?
“Another notable gain for Obama, perhaps reflecting Hurricane Sandy’s effect on the race, comes in a region he was already secure in: the Northeast. He has increased his lead over Romney from nine points (52%-43%) to 21 points (56%-35%) there over just the past week.”
Ok, what concerns me is that Pew has been very accurate in the past 2 presidential elections. Yes, we hope they are wrong. But we must also face the fact that they could be right. Maybe this country is so screwed up already that a Hurricane and a few photo ops could trump everything else. If that is the case, this country is already lost.
Human beings are what they are. It is easy to fool them. It will ALWAYS be easy to fool them. The hurricane provided a significant bump to Obama. We may remember Sandy not for the wind and rain damage to the north east, but the 4 more years of damage to this nation it caused by boosting Obama at the last minute and allowing him to be re-elected.
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