Keyword: polling

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  • Polling in Real Time: The 2018 Midterm Elections

    The NY Times and Siena College are polling the "tossup" Midterm districts. Of the polling done in September so far, 7 REPs are leading, 3 DEMs are leading and 1 tied race out of 11 districts polled (DECENT RESULTS FOR REPUBLICANS!) 5 more districts are being polled right now. Results can be viewed in Real Time. Republicans are leading in 3 of the 5. What is shocking to me is the very low response rate. For example, in Colorado 6, there have been 489 responses out of 26,456 phone calls. That is less than 2% taking the poll. How can...
  • Poll: McSally takes lead over Sinema in Arizona Senate race

    09/12/2018 9:54:55 AM PDT · by mandaladon · 38 replies
    The Hill ^ | 12 Sep 2018 | TAL AXELROD
    Rep. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.) has taken a narrow lead over Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) in the Senate race to replace retiring Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.) according to a new ABC15–OH Predictive Insights poll released Wednesday. It is McSally's first lead in the poll that comes just under eight weeks before the midterm elections. The poll shows McSally overtaking Sinema with 49 percent of the likely vote compared to Sinema’s 46 percent, a difference that falls within the margin of error. Sinema had led by 6 points in the poll earlier this year. Both candidates enjoy positive favorability ratings by similar...
  • Poll: Arizona Senate race in dead heat

    09/10/2018 9:44:01 AM PDT · by SMGFan · 44 replies
    The Hill/ MSN ^ | September 10, 2018
    Arizona's Senate race is in a dead heat, with Rep. Martha McSally (R) narrowly leading Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D) by 1 point, according to a new poll. A Gravis Marketing poll found McSally ahead of Sinema 49 to 48 percent, a lead within the survey's 3.3-point margin of error. Three percent of voters are still undecided. Monday's survey is the first one this year where McSally, who recently won a competitive three-way primary, is polling slightly ahead of Sinema, who didn't face a fierce primary fight.
  • Exit Poll Projects Mixed Voter Message in Sweden Election

    09/09/2018 12:56:11 PM PDT · by Texas Fossil · 62 replies
    U.S. News and World Report ^ | 9-9-18 | By PIETRO DECRISTOFARO and JAN OLSEN, Associated Press
    Exit poll projects center-left party will win Swedish election, far-right party with white supremacist roots coming in second. STOCKHOLM (AP) — An exit poll indicated that Sweden's first general election since the Scandinavian country accepted a significant number of asylum-seekers was likely to have the center-left party governing now as its winner, but an anti-immigrant party with white supremacist roots placing second in balloting Sunday. Public broadcaster SVT said immediately after polls closed that its exit poll indicated the ruling Social Democrats would remain Sweden's largest party, but making its worst-ever showing with 26.2 percent of the vote. The exit...
  • Poll: John Cox closes in on Gavin Newsom, Kevin de León gaining on Dianne Feinstein

    09/07/2018 10:02:52 AM PDT · by onyx · 50 replies
    SFGATE ^ | Thursday, September 6, 2018 | ERIC TING
    According to a new poll, California's two biggest statewide races in 2018 are tightening, as the leads for front-runners Gavin Newsom and Dianne Feinstein have been cut to single digits. The poll, conducted by Probolsky Research between Aug. 29 and Sept. 2, found that Lt. Gov. Newsom leads Republican businessman John Cox 44 percent to 39, with 17 percent of the poll's participants saying that they are undecided. Additionally, the poll found that Sen. Feinstein leads progressive challenger Kevin de León 37 percent to 29, with a whopping 34 percent of participants undecided.
  • AP-NORC Poll: Few Democrats favor liberal cry to abolish ICE

    09/06/2018 12:37:30 PM PDT · by Trump20162020 · 4 replies
    The Associated Press ^ | Aug. 27, 2018 | Thomas Beaumont
    WASHINGTON (AP) — The rallying cry from some liberals to abolish Immigration and Customs Enforcement isn’t a likely winner this election year, as a new poll finds only a quarter of Democrats support eliminating the agency that carried out the Trump administration’s policy of separating immigrant children from their parents. Some potential Democratic presidential contenders, such as Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York, backed getting rid of ICE in response to the separations. Others, including Sen. Kamala Harris of California, urged a rethinking of the agency, but stopped short of calling for its abolition. President Donald Trump has seized on...
  • NBC News/Marist Poll: Pennsylvanians give low marks to Trump and tariffs

    08/26/2018 7:39:54 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 69 replies
    NBC News ^ | 08/26/2018 | by Ben Kamisar
    Pennsylvania, a state that helped put President Donald Trump in the White House, isn’t too keen on the president’s tariff push, a new NBC News/Marist poll finds, as a near majority fears that the ongoing trade war will ultimately damage the U.S. economy. Forty-five percent of Pennsylvania adults believe that tariffs and other import barriers will raise costs of consumer goods and hurt the country’s economy. By comparison, 27 percent believe they will protect American jobs and help the economy. The administration’s trade policy is unpopular across virtually all demographic groups in the NBC/Marist poll — the only groups where...
  • CBS News Pollster: I Don't Think We'll See A Blue Wave

    08/23/2018 5:05:57 PM PDT · by Kaslin · 21 replies
    Townhall.com ^ | August 23, 2018 | Matt Vespa
    We’ve been hearing it for months: the blue wave is coming. The Democrats are going to retake the House. The Democratic ballot advantage is significant. Well, if that does occur, a blue wave, congressional Democrats will move to impeach President Trump on bogus charges. There is still zero evidence to suggest the president’s campaign colluded with the Russians. Oh, what about campaign finance? The Obama campaign was fined for violations. Did he ever face impeachment charges? It’ll be a circus, a pervasive parade of nonsense, hyperbole, and liberal whining the likes of which we’ve never seen. And we’ve seen a...
  • Emerson Poll for U.S. Senate Race in New Mexico

    08/23/2018 12:33:14 PM PDT · by TBP · 24 replies
    Ballot Access News ^ | August 23, 2018 | Richard Winger
    On August 20, Emerson Polls released a poll for the New Mexico U.S. Senate race. The results: incumbent Democrat Martin Heinrich 39%, Libertarian Gary Johnson 21%, Mick Rich 11%, undecided 30%. If Johnson does outpoll Rich in November, that will be the first time since 1970 in which a Republican nominee for U.S. Senate placed third in any general election. In 1970 in New York, the Republican nominee, Charles Goodell, placed third behind the Conservative and the Democrat. Also in 1970 in Virginia, the Republican nominee, Ray Garland, placed third behind independent Harry F. Byrd, Jr., and Democrat George Rawlings....
  • New Marquette Law School Poll finds tight races for Wisconsin Governor, U.S. Senate seat

    08/22/2018 12:54:26 PM PDT · by ScottinVA · 63 replies
    Marquette University Law School Poll ^ | 22 Aug 2018 | Charles Franklin
    MILWAUKEE — A new Marquette Law School Poll of Wisconsin voters finds a tight race for governor following last week’s statewide primary elections. Among likely voters (that is, those who say they are certain to vote), incumbent Republican Scott Walker receives 46 percent, Democrat Tony Evers receives 46 percent and Libertarian Phil Anderson 6 percent. Only 2 percent say they lack a preference or do not lean to a candidate. Among likely voters in the race for the Wisconsin U.S. Senate seat on the ballot in November, 49 percent support the incumbent, Democrat Tammy Baldwin, and 47 percent support Republican...
  • Trump at 36 percent approval among African-Americans: poll

    08/16/2018 7:10:18 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 74 replies
    The Chicago Sun-Times | August 16, 2018 | USA Today Network
    Link only due to copyright issues: https://chicago.suntimes.com/news/donald-trump-african-american-approval-rating/
  • 31% – The reason the media is pushing Omarosa

    08/15/2018 6:32:11 PM PDT · by E. Pluribus Unum · 15 replies
    PatriotRetort.com ^ | August 15, 2018 | Dianny
    According to Rasmussen, President Trump’s approval rating among black voters is 31%. And that my friends is exactly why the media is hopping on the Omarosa bandwagon. Sure, they know her book is about as credible as an email from a Nigerian prince. But they don’t care. They need to ratchet up the “Trump is a racist” meme because the Democrat Party is hemorrhaging black voters. Dianny 🇺🇸 @DiannyRants And here, right here, is why the “Trump is a racist” narrative is back in the news. It’s shameless and craven damage control on behalf of the Democrats. Rasmussen Reports ✔...
  • Democrat generic survey numbers look a lot like they did in 2010 and 2014

    08/15/2018 4:29:38 AM PDT · by jmaroneps37 · 11 replies
    vanity | August 15, 2018 | By Kevin Collins
    I stand by my prediction of Republicans picking up 11 seats in the Senate. The most recent generic survey results should make Democrats queasy. The path of generic number charts are eerily like they were in 2010 and 2014 which is very bad news for the Democrats. The current average of the four newest generic surveys shows a sharp drop in the Democrats’ lead. While the Democrats’ led by 6 points two weeks ago, it has dropped to just 2.25% now. This basically means Democrats are losing since they have to have a lead of more than 6 points in...
  • This statistic puts the big LIE to Democratic claims that ‘Hispanics hate Trump'

    08/09/2018 2:55:37 PM PDT · by SleeperCatcher · 19 replies
    The National Sentinel ^ | 8/9/18 | USA Features
    Red Wave: Just days after Democrats lost a closely-watched special election in Ohio — a loss they are attempting to spin as a ‘victory’ of sorts — new polling data indicate that the party of the donkey is losing support among a key constituency: Hispanics. Even though POTUS Donald Trump is supposedly the biggest racist bigot to have ever won the presidency, his support among minorities just continues to rise, leaving one Democratic pollster “flabbergasted.”
  • NAACP's own poll reveals surge in black support for Trump – and they react badly

    08/09/2018 10:05:25 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 45 replies
    American Thinker ^ | 08/09/2018 | Thomas Lifson
    Dependence on 90% voting support from African-Americans for electoral success is the jugular vein of the Democratic Party.  President Trump's rising support among black voters is correctly seen as an existential threat to the party's – and progressivism's – ability to win national elections.  That's why I thought it was big news last Saturday when Rasmussen proclaimed that black approval of Trump had hit 29%, even though most of the media ignored it for reasons AT readers well understand. But the surge in black support for President Trump is real – so real that even the far-left NAACP discovered it in a poll,...
  • Poll: ‘Dead Heat’ in Ohio-12 Special Congressional Election

    08/06/2018 4:16:21 PM PDT · by Pinkbell · 67 replies
    Breitbart ^ | August 6, 2018 | Michael Patrick Leahy
    An Emerson College e-Poll released on Monday shows that Tuesday’s special election in Ohio’s 12th Congressional District is a dead heat between Democrat Danny O’Connor and Republican Troy Balderson. The Emerson College Polling Society said in a statement accompanying the release of the poll: The final US Congressional special election before the November midterm elections will be held on August 7 in Ohio’s 12th district and it shows a neck and neck race: The Democrat, Franklin County Recorder Danny O’Connor has 47% of the vote and Republican, State Senator Troy Balderson is at 46%, 7% of very likely voters were...
  • Hispanics, (yes, you read that right) push Trump's poll numbers to 50%

    08/03/2018 1:00:57 PM PDT · by Hojczyk · 71 replies
    American Thinker ^ | August 3,2018 | Monica Showalter
    President Trump's public approval numbers have hit 50% among likely voters, according to a new Rasmussen poll, which is good news for midterms. And who should be pushing those ratings to el norte? No kidding: Hispanic voters. You know, the ones who are supposed to hate Trump with a passion. After all, doesn't the press dutifully report that Trump is an enemy of illegals, and aren't illegals in the same conventional wisdom simply synonymous with Hispanics, and with Hispanics and illegals all the same thing, isn't it all just proof that Trump is racist? Here's what the Washington Times, now...
  • RASMUSSEN POLL: Trump Approval Ratings Among Black Voters 29%! This Time Last Year: 15%

    08/03/2018 12:46:41 PM PDT · by Signalman · 59 replies
    WCBM-680 ^ | 8/3/2018 | WCMB
    Trump Approval Ratings Among Black Voters 29%! This Time Last Year: 15%
  • Latest Harvard-Harris poll holds Maalox Moments for Dems: Here’s what the media slipped by us

    07/08/2018 8:22:58 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 72 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 7/8/18 | Kevin Collins
    The latest Harvard-Harris poll has nothing but bad news for Democrats. The chances are you didn’t hear about this because you and I were not supposed to know what the results were. In spite non-stop attacks, Donald Trump’s approvals is up to 47% which is +2 in a month. Trump is proving that, whatever doesn’t kill him (and there doesn’t seem to be anything that can) has made him stronger. By 69/ 31 Americans see the economy as strong. By 68/26 Americans are saying their personal financial situation is strong and improving. Trump’s approval on creating jobs is much higher...
  • Trump: Republican Party ‘starting to show very big numbers’

    06/14/2018 6:18:25 AM PDT · by yesthatjallen · 19 replies
    The Hill ^ | 06/14/18 | Brett Samuels
    President Trump on Thursday expressed optimism about the Republican Party's poll numbers as the GOP erases deficits in a number of generic ballot surveys. "The Republican Party is starting to show very big numbers. People are starting to see what is being done. Results are speaking loudly. North Korea and our greatest ever economy are leading the way!" Trump tweeted. ETC...