Keyword: polling
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EMPEROR ZEROZERO POSSUMUS ARUGULA So it seems Emperor Zero was on with Oprah Windbag last night, and she asked him to give himself a grade for this, his first year in office. Mr. Modest gave himself a "good solid B plus." He added that if ObamaCare passes, he would tip that up to an "A minus." What kind of a report card do the DUmmies give Dear Leader? Now you would think at a place called DEMOCRATIC Underground, the Democrat President would score very high. Think again, Einstein! The DUmmies give Zero an "EPIC FAIL"! At least a lot of...
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Click the music link and sing along! BAD NEWS FOR BARACKTune: "Limbo Rock" Original MIDI Every lib'ral boy and girl All the folks in Limbaugh World Both sides bashing on Barack All find something they can mock Track his numbers, track his polls Track the unemployment rolls All the pollsters on the block Say it's bad news for Barack He'll go lower now He'll go lower now How low can he go First he spread the wealth around Then he bowed down to the ground Spend a trillion, make it three Spend it like it grows on trees Track his...
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Putting a Poll in the Field By Norma Zager When I awoke this morning, I wasn’t certain if I wanted to jump out of bed and begin the day or curl myself back into a groggy bundle beneath the quilt. After a moment or two deciding my best course of action, I put a poll in the field. It was decided 54 to 46 percent with a margin of error 2 or 3% I should get my lazy butt out of bed and get to work. When I received my credit card statement I noticed the bank had raised my...
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by Dana Blanton , FOXNews.com President Obama's approval rating has hit a new low of 46 percent, even as a majority of Americans says he is providing the kind of leadership they expected. print email share recommend (2) President Obama's approval rating has hit a new low of 46 percent, according to a FOX News poll released Thursday. An equal number -- 46 percent -- disapprove of the job he's doing. Breaking down the numbers by political party shows how sharply split American voters are over the president's job performance. While 85 percent of Democrats approve of their party leader,...
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Q. The president's progress with the battered economy has been both praised and criticized. How well are his efforts measuring up with you? Extremely well. We are undoubtedly moving in the right direction. 25% Fairly well. There's still a long way to go. 11% Not well at all. His plans are hurting more than helping. 62% Not sure/No opinion. 2% 4954110 votes
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Because conservatism is bipartisan, that's why the media chooses to rig polling based on party affiliation instead. Watch: Gallup Poll #1 . Gallup Poll #2 . Battleground Poll The numbers vary, but it's abundantly clear that conservatives outnumber liberals. But democrats out number republicans What this means is that people more readily identify with the ideals of conservatism, than they do with "the conservative party".(I put that in quotes because the republicans have been at war with conservatives for quite a few years now) It also means that people more readily identify with the democrat party than they do with...
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In a little over 24 hours, there have been two more revelations about Presidential Green Jobs Czar Van Jones. Like on December 2, 2005: "You've never seen a Columbine done by a black child. Never. They always say, 'We can't believe it happened here. We can't believe it's these suburban white kids... Or what was revealed today by Gateway Pundit: While he was director of the Ella Baker Center for Human Rights Van Jones cut a vile CD against whites, the government, Israel, The Man, oil companies, and everything else American. Van Jones was even featured in the recording! But...
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There’s a myth circulating in the blogosphere and the punditry, and it is threatening the Democrats’ majorities. It goes like this: In 1994, Democrats failed to pass a healthcare bill, and they lost their majorities. Ergo, if Democrats fail to pass a healthcare bill in 2009, they will be at serious risk of losing their majorities in 2010, so to save their majorities, they should make certain above all else to get something passed.
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(CBS) President Obama's approval rating on health care has dropped six points since July to 40 percent, and now more Americans, 47 percent, disapprove of his handling of health care, according to a new CBS News poll taken between Aug 27 - 31. As the president's poll numbers sink on the issue, two-thirds of Americans remain confused about the health reform proposals on the table. Meanwhile, Mr. Obama's overall approval (56 percent) and handling of the economy (53 percent) are not much changed from last month. (Read more here.) Americans are not only skeptical of Mr. Obama's handling of health...
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President Barack Obama’s health care reform plan is facing even more public skepticism than President Bill Clinton’s health care proposals did in 1994, according to a poll released this week.
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Key Findings --America’s support for a Missile Defense system continues at an extremely high level (88%), a 2 percentage point increase from 2008 and a 5 percentage point increase from 2007. More than 3 out of 4 adults, 77%, feel “strongly” about their support, also a 2 percentage point increase from 2008 and an 8 percentage point increase from 2007. Currently, support ranges from 82% in the West and 83% in the Northeast to 91% in the South and 94% in the North Central region of the U.S. Men and women are at the identical 88% support level. Republican support...
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The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows that 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-one percent (41%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -14. These figures mark the lowest Approval Index rating yet recorded for this President. The previous low of -12 was reached on July 30 (see trends). Prior to today, the number who Strongly Approved of the President’s performance had never fallen below 29%. Some of the decline has come from within the President’s own party. Just 49%...
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Key Results: 10) Generally speaking, do you think that things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track? Right Track: 38% Wrong Track: 54% 13) I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections in 2010, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district where you live? Total Democratic: 42% Total Republican: 43% Total Other Party: 3%25) Now I'm going to read you some pairs...
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Byron York puts President Obama's declining poll numbers in context by recalling the early days of the George W. Bush administration: Just look at the last ten polls listed in the RCP average. If you take out the two extremes, the most recent ABC/Washington Post poll, which had Obama at 59 percent approval, and the Rasmussen, which had him at 49 percent, this is the trend in Obama's job approval rating in the last three weeks: 57 - 56 - 55 - 55 - 54 - 54 - 53 - 53 In July 2001, I wrote an article for
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A new poll released by Rasmussen indicates that fully 78% of Americans think Obama is lying about the promises of ObamaCare. 25% are still firmly behind the plan. Amazingly, that means that 3% of the population think Obama's full of crap but still support his silly healthcare plan. As Rich Lowry noted, Obama's healthcare scheme is becoming one of the most discredited and debunked government give-away programs in history.
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Rasmussen’s presidential tracking polls detecting slippage in support for Barack Obama first, and now they report that his approval ratings have fallen below 50% for the first time. Driving the indicator, as it has all along, is the departure of independents from the president’s banner. Obama only has a 37% approval rating among unaffiliated voters, which will make his Capitol Hill colleagues even more nervous as Obama’s big-spending plans come up for votes:
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Trust in President Barack Obama and his Democratic allies to identify the right solutions to problems facing the country has dropped off significantly since March, according to a new Public Strategies Inc./POLITICO poll
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the Rasmussen survey is correct, Barack Obama's standing with voters is tanking. (Rasmussen's presidential tracking survey is a "likely voter" poll.) Today, for the first time, Obama's "approval index" stands at -5, as 37% of voters express strong disapproval of his performance, while 32% strongly approve.
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NANGARHAR PROVINCE, Afghanistan, July 7, 2009 – Soldiers from the 554th Military Police Company out of Stuttgart, Germany, are assessing polling sites here for next month’s Afghan elections. Army Sgt. 1st Class John Moyle gives a child a high-five while pulling security watch during polling-site assessments in Afghanistan’s Nangarhar province, July 1, 2009. U.S. Army photo by Pfc. Elizabeth K. Raney (Click photo for screen-resolution image);high-resolution image available. Army Sgt. 1st Class John Moyle, a platoon sergeant for 1st Platoon, 554th Military Police Company who hails from Sunbury, Pa., said the purpose of the missions is to assess local security...
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A record-high number of New York voters think the state is heading in the wrong direction, according to the latest poll from the Siena Research Institute in Loudonville. The institute, affiliated with Siena College, found that 63 percent of surveyed voters said the state is going in the wrong direction. For the first time, that includes majorities of voters in every political group, region of the state and age range. Less than 25 percent of poll respondents said the state is on the right track, a record-low reading for the four-year-old survey. “Democrats, Republicans and independent voters all strongly agree...
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Have you been polled lately, and if so what for? In the past two days I have gotten two, which are the first two I have ever gotten. That they came on the same day is just strange. The first was on Health Care, and so was the second. The second was in depth and detailed and took about 30 min with a young Hispanic lady who sounded SHOCKED that I was "STRONGLY AGAINST" government guaranteeing health care to anyone. Clearly it was a push poll, because the questions were clearly designed to guide answers later in the poll towards...
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A friend sent on an interesting poll by McLaughlin & Associates on a number of key foreign policy issues. It can be viewed in its entirety here. Several items on terrorism, Iran, and Israel stand out. First, while “terrorism” is identified as the greatest threat to the U.S. only 15% give that answer. The next highest (excluding “don’t know”) is 7% as “ourselves.” Sigh. (But perhaps 7% of those polled thinking we’re the biggest threat is indeed a threat.) On Iran, overwhelming percentages of respondents across both parties think “Iran supplying a nuclear umbrella for terrorists” is a very serious...
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The latest FOX News poll asked Americans their views on everything from Guantanamo Bay to gun control to gay marriage to global warming. Here are some of the findings. Just over half of Americans (55 percent) oppose transferring detainees from the Guantanamo Bay facility to prison facilities in the United States. Even so, they are divided on whether bringing the detainees to the United States will put the country at risk. While some 43 percent think transferring the detainees to U.S. prison facilities would make the country less safe, about the same number -- 45 percent -- think it would...
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Via Drudge. According to a study performed by a Fordham University scholar, the least accurate of the 20 presidential polls were those performed by CBS/New York Times and, in dead last, Newsweek. In its final poll, CBS/Times forecast an 11-point Obama margin, 52-41. Newsweek was even more "optimistic", foreseeing a 12-point Obama win, 53-41.
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This includes final polls up through yesterday, and horizontal lines added indicating actual vote percentages for McCain and Obama.
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Just returned from New York City Polling Location (UWS of Manahattan -where I live and just voted) -- short version... VERY long lines, VERY long waits... my polling location is an extreme left "Church" -- Hugo Chavez spoke there a couple of years back... NOT A SINGLE BLACK FACE ON LINE (200-300 people) at lunch time... was a little weird. Almost all voters btwn 25-40, a lot of mom's voting while kids in school I suspect... I'm sure the crowd was overwhelmingly Obama BUT...quite a few folks (bravely) wearing McCain/Palin Gear. Like me -- determine to vote no longer how...
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We're getting flooded with lots of incoming calls from Democratic call centers. Apart from the misleading and annoying content a lot of them have forged caller ID numbers. Others in battleground states may have the same experience. It is probably a good idea to let the local and state campaign offices that arranged for the calls know that this is happening. They may be unaware that is is happening, and a polite explanation of why they shouldn't make calls with forged or missing caller ID numbers may be helpful to them.
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Below is formula for McCain to actually win electorally and not win popular vote on the national polls. Total Vote Turnout Estimate 2008: 130,000,000 52% Obama 48% McCain *3rd party candidates are excluded for this model Obama Total Votes: 67,600,000 McCain Votes: 62,400,000 Now we exclude California and New York. California 12.5 million votes** New York 7.5 million votes** **polling below current advantage in California for Obama 20% current advantage in NY for Obama 30% Totals: 60% to 40% Obama: 7,500,000 California McCain: 5,000,000 California 65% to 35% Obama: 4,875,000 NY McCain: 2,625,000 NY Totals NY and California: Obama: 12,375,000...
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The Minnesota U.S. Senate race remains a tossup on the final weekend of the campaign, with the outcome likely to be decided by who can snatch away the most voters from third-party contender Dean Barkley. A new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll shows DFLer Al Franken clinging to a slim lead over Republican Sen. Norm Coleman among likely voters, 42 percent to 38 percent. That's within the poll's 4.1 percentage point margin of sampling error. Independence Party candidate Barkley, who held steady at 18 percent in the two previous Minnesota Polls, slipped three points to 15 percent. The fluid nature of...
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UTICA, New York -- After a strong day of polling for Republican presidential candidate John McCain on Friday, Democrat Barack Obama experienced a strong single day of polling on Saturday, retaining a 5.7 point advantage that is right at the edge of the margin of error of the Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking poll. The race has remained remarkably stable down the stretch, this three-day rolling average poll shows. Pollster John Zogby: "Obama has consolidated his lead over McCain. His single day lead today was back to 52%-42%. He leads by 10 among independents and has solidified his base. He leads among...
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Since virtually the only thing that matters in terms of the outcome of current polling is the weighting between the party IDs, what's the actual party ID gap going to be?? Rasmussen's final party ID weighting is +6.5% for D's. My guess is +2% for D's.....
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LAND O' LAKES - Whether they're cooking, cleaning, watching TV or playing tennis, nudists like to be nude. Same goes for voting. People at the upscale, clothing-optional Caliente Resorts off U.S. 41 want to establish the first clothing-optional polling place in the country. Most voters who live at Caliente exercise their rights at a nearby subdivision, where clothing isn't optional. Although there's no concrete data on how many nudists live in the area, state Sen. Victor Crist, R-Tampa, has estimated that Pasco County has 12,000 "nude votes." The resort wants to make it easier for Caliente residents and members of...
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The best reason I've seen yet illustrating why it is not in America's best interest to elect Obama. If "the world" prefers Obama, it seems likely their reasons serve them, rather than the United States.~lsee ****************************************How the World Sees Us, by Carl M. Cannon It's a good thing for John McCain that only American citizens can vote in U.S. presidential elections. If the election were held overseas, or even in the rest of North America, the Republican nominee wouldn't stand a chance. This was just one of the remarkable findings in a new Reader's Digest Global Poll in which we...
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If Team McCain needed some "bulletin-board material"—the kind of outrageous taunt from the opposition a coach will pin up in the locker-room to inspire his troops—they got if from Charlie Cook tonight. So confident is the pollster of an Obama victory, he's proclaimed that if McCain wins, he'll go to work bagging groceries or behind a fast-food counter. Cook was a guest on this evening's Race for the White House. It was in looking at the Electoral College map with host David Gregory that he made his super-sized pledge. View video here.
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John McCain has the upper hand in the November 4th election. How can I say that when the polls show Obama leading by anywhere from one (IBD, the most accurate pollster the last time out) to 13 from the folks who brought you Dan Rather and the use of forged documents to try and steal the election just four years ago. A brief look at the methodolgy of these polls -- the degree of over-sampling of Democrats corresponding almost to perfection with the degree of Obama's "lead" in them -- shows a tight race, with McCain actually leading by a...
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A poll paid for by the DNC asked me who i was voting for Today. This surprised me due to the fact that Michigan is suppose to be in the bag for Dear leader. Why pay for a poll?
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As some pundits predict thunderclouds gathering on the horizon for incumbent Senate Republicans, a new NBC poll shows that Sen. Norm Coleman may be positioned to ride out the storm. The results from the poll of likely voters, conducted by Mason-Dixon October 27-28, have Coleman leading opponent Al Franken by six points, 42-36, with 12% of respondents favoring Independence Party candidate Dean Barkley. One in ten Minnesotans are undecided. If Coleman puts daylight between Franken’s numbers and his own on Election Day, he may have Barkley to thank. While he has shored up 89% of voters who identify as Republicans,...
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This is Drudge's main headline but there is no story. Why would Drudge post this since he himself has a long history of standing opposed to the MSM.
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2) The likely voter model offered by Gallup is flawed. The Gallup organization itself seems to recognize this, since it is also reporting an "expanded" turnout model that has shown Obama running anywhere from 2 to 4 net points better than its "traditional" model. The flaw is simple: Gallup identifies "likely" voters by asking their previous voting history, meaning that if you are a first-time voter or you skipped voting in either 2000 or 2004, your preference is either not counted at all or weighted down. Needless to say this discounts the substantial numbers of new voters who have already...
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I have been noting that national polls and some state polls may be way off based on optimistic voter turnout models which are historically nonsense (see posts here and here). One of the first indicators of whether Obama really is enjoying some massive lead is the early voting opportunities, which have not shown what Obama and the media have been saying is a huge democrat wave, like 2006. First there was early voting and registration in Ohio, where Obama’s campaign promised to make huge gains - only to fall 80% short of their mark. All the hype in Ohio was...
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This week, Barack Obama has shown clear signs that he is confident he is going to win. But privately, top Obama leadership are still worried that Republicans might be able to pull off another improbable election night victory. Last week, in closed-to-the-press meetings, Obama officials briefed major donors about their concerns heading into the election’s final stretch. One of those meetings took place in Austin, Texas—a city in the solid red state of Texas that has raised a surprisingly large amount of money for Obama, mostly from the city’s high-tech community. In Texas and other states, Obama officials are preparing...
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Released: October 26, 2008 Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 49.4%, McCain 44.1% McCain gains as race continues to tighten UTICA, New York – Republican John McCain continues to gain on Democrat Barack Obama, reducing Obama’s lead to 5.3 points with just over a week to go before Election Day, the latest Reuters/C–SPAN/Zogby national daily tracking poll shows. The race now stands at 49.4% to 44.1% in favor of Obama. Obama led McCain by 9.5 points in yesterday’s report.“There is no question that this race continues to tighten and that McCain is finding his message again,” said Pollster John Zogby. “It is...
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I just got polled by the NYT/CBS News concerning the election. They said my phone number was randomly selected. It ran about 20 minutes. I answered everything as most FReepers would, but I said I "considered" myself a conservative Democrat. (I actually answered just like my employer would, who is a conservative Democrat.) They also asked if a reporter could call me or interview me on camera in the future or if I would be willing to be part of an online discussion group, all of which I agreed to. The results of this 4-day 1000-person poll, will be on...
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MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) -- With Tuesday's New Hampshire primary fast approaching, Sen. Barack Obama has opened a double-digit lead over Sen. Hillary Clinton in the state, a CNN-WMUR poll found Sunday. Obama, the first-term senator from Illinois who won last week's Iowa caucuses, led the New York senator and former first lady 39 percent to 29 percent in a poll conducted Saturday and Sunday -- a sharp change from a poll out Saturday that showed the Democratic front-runners tied at 33 percent. Support for former Sen. John Edwards, who edged out Clinton for second place in Iowa, dropped from...
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Jim, I read your blog posting on the Party ID and that you felt D+6 was a reasonable weighting. I wish to challenge that assertion. If you review elections for the past 20 years Democrats have never had a Party ID advantage over 4%. And the 4% Margin came in 1996. http://www.pollster.com/blogs/party_id_the_case_for_weights.php Also, I would contend that in the poll analysis across the media, including the derelicts at Real Clear Politics, there is a garbage in/garbage out effect. RCP is using blatantly bogus polls to inflate Obama margins, to further the narrative that the election isn't close. In my review...
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WASHINGTON — A Capitol Hill sex scandal has reinforced public doubts about Republican leadership and pushed Democrats to a huge lead in the race for control of Congress four weeks before Election Day, the latest USA TODAY/Gallup Poll shows. Democrats had a 23-point lead over Republicans in every group of people questioned — likely voters, registered voters and adults — on which party's House candidate would get their vote. That's double the lead Republicans had a month before they seized control of Congress in 1994 and the Democrats' largest advantage among registered voters since 1978. http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2006-10-09-poll_x.htm [poll suggests 59 to...
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With two weeks to go until Election Day, the exceptionally volatile and closely watched U.S. Senate race in Minnesota has tightened up. The latest Star Tribune Minnesota Poll shows DFLer Al Franken at 39 percent to Republican Sen. Norm Coleman's 36 percent. Independence Party candidate Dean Barkley was the choice of 18 percent of likely voters. A Minnesota Poll two weeks ago showed Franken leading Coleman by nine percentage points. The new poll, conducted Thursday and Friday, sampled 1,049 likely voters and has an error margin of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. Among the poll's most interesting findings is...
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Last week, the Associated Press once again proved they are cheerleaders for Obama, rather than honest reporters of fact. This is illustrated in this case by the AP/Yahoo poll released, touted as evidence of Obama’s continued dominance in the election, when in fact the numbers from that poll confirm the tightening race as it nears the end. Of course, you have to go looking for the link to the actual poll detail, and then you have to dig through and find the relevant results. But there are some interesting details indeed in this poll, details which should be considered in...
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Amid the wall-to-wall coverage of Barack Obama's $150 million fundraising take in September and the endorsement of the Illinois senator on Sunday by former Secretary of State Colin Powell, the campaign of his Republican opponent -- John McCain -- believes the media is missing one critical thing: the Arizona senator is making up ground. McCain advisers insist that since last Wednesday's final debate in New York, their candidate has slowly but surely cut into Obama's edge -- carving a double-digit lead down to the mid-single digits in both national polling and surveys conducted in key battleground states. While the final...
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Why the polls are incorrect: Is Mc Cain actually in the lead? (Vanity) First let me apologize to all of you who are tired of the vanities, but felt we needed this conversation. It occurred to me last evening while watching Laura on O’Reilly. She stated it really upset her that there were so many more democrats registered then Republicans. One of those “”A-HA!” moments hit me. I work the polls in one of the larger districts in our area. Last fall many of my republican friends and neighbors (Approximately 10% that I was aware of)) requested “D” ballots. Several...
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