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Keyword: polling

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  • Is traditional polling going the way of the corner bowling alley?

    08/24/2016 9:03:00 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 17 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 8/24/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    Many of us can remember when small towns and even big city neighborhoods almost always included a bowling alley, a dry cleaner, a drive-in movie and more recently a travel agency. Finding these establishments today is a tall order. The latest evidence regarding traditional political “horse race” polls suggests that this phenomenon might be degrading them as well. Last October, in a burst of honesty, the Gallup Company-which is granddaddy of polling firms-decided it had had enough. It could no longer overcome the duel barriers of widespread cell phone use and resistance to answering pollsters’ questions. Consequently, Gallup announced it...
  • Trump Leads Clinton by 5+ Points in the Key Battleground State of Pennsylvania

    08/21/2016 1:34:49 PM PDT · by Trump20162020 · 155 replies
    CBS News ^ | August 21, 2016
    Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has surged to a 5-point lead over democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the key battleground state of Pennsylvania as per a latest poll.
  • Another honest presidential poll is blowing corrupt polling organizations

    08/19/2016 11:33:03 PM PDT · by UMCRevMom@aol.com · 51 replies
    http://powderedwigsociety.com/credible-water/ ^ | Aug 14, 2016 | Thomas Madison
    ELDER PATRIOT – There's a strange and growing dichotomy emerging between the polls conducted by the mainstream media and those using newer and more sophisticated analytical techniques. The most recent poll reveals Trump is trouncing Hillary by 28 points nationwideaccording to unbiased responses from 100,000 respondents. By comparison, the average number of respondents to the last six polls cited on the Real Clear Politics website was only 2,858. The poll uses social media through an app called Zip Question and Answer and it allows users to both ask and answer questions with instant results from a cross-section of demographics and...
  • NBC Online poll puts lie to media poll narratives: Trump 54% and Stein 20% leads Clinton

    08/16/2016 8:52:35 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 49 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 8/16/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    Jim Rutenberg of the New York Times did Donald Trump and his supporters a great favor when he admitted the media was not being objective in its reporting on Trump. Last Sunday, without any self-consciousness, Rutenberg looked America straight in the eye and said, “Yes we lie for Clinton. What you are going to do about it?” His snarky “up yours” meshes perfectly with the polling fraud exposed in the DNC leaked Emails. They proved both CBS and NBC collaborate with the DNC to create false poll results favorable to Hillary Clinton. Now comes an NBC online poll that is...
  • Pollster Oversample Chart

    08/14/2016 2:07:27 PM PDT · by BigEdLB · 75 replies
    BigEdLB ^ | 8/13/16 | BigEdLB
    Here is my analysis of oversampling during polling vs Gallups analysis of that actual party ID in a state is.
  • Historical Presidential Polling and Trump (Vanity)

    08/13/2016 11:05:58 AM PDT · by usafa92 · 76 replies
    Wikipedia ^ | 8/13/2016 | usafa92
    There's been a lot of concern about the polling floating around this week. I am about the biggest Trump apologist going and I too am a bit concerned. That said, I wanted to provide a little perspective on the polls and hopefully alleviate some concern for the moment using historical context. Essentially, we have two strata of polls. The media polls which have generally placed Clinton with a 8-10 pt lead, and the internet based polls (Reuters, UPI/CVoter, and USC) which have generally been in the even to +6 range. USC is reverting to a larger gap no doubt due...
  • NBC poll: Clinton, Ross, Cooper lead in NC

    08/13/2016 1:42:06 AM PDT · by Freedom'sWorthIt · 68 replies
    wral.com ^ | 8/12/16 | Mark Binker
    Raleigh, N.C. — An NBC News - Wall Street Journal poll conducted by the Marist Institute shows Democrats Hillary Clinton, Deborah Ross and Roy Cooper leading their races for the state's presidential electors, U.S. Senate and governor, making it one of the most favorable such surveys of registered voters issued this summer. Read more at http://www.wral.com/-nbc-poll-clinton-ross-cooper-lead-in-nc/15923855/#ms5Oo9seSR64qt7o.99
  • Why these polls are different from the ones in 2008 and 2012

    08/12/2016 9:13:28 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 26 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 8/12/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    Here are the differences between polls of 2016 and previous polls. Donald Trump is not like Mitt Romney or John McCain; Trump’s candidacy is THE RESULT of Romney and McCain. The level of hatred for Hillary Clinton among Trump supporters is large enough to give pause to Democrats. They have never seen this much vitriol for one of their candidates. In neither 2008 nor 2012 was there such a massive “movement” of people who hate what is happening to their country. There were no Email leaks showing the DNC working in collusion with CBS and NBC to manipulate the polls....
  • Trump, Clinton Favorability Back to Pre-Convention Levels

    08/11/2016 1:29:51 PM PDT · by Redmen4ever · 38 replies
    Gallup Poll ^ | 8/11/16 | Frank Newport
    PRINCETON, N.J. -- Americans' views of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are almost exactly the same now as …
  • Florida 2016 General Election Poll

    08/11/2016 12:31:09 PM PDT · by Redmen4ever · 24 replies
    Fox 13 Tampa Bay ^ | 8/11/16 | Opinion Savvy
    If the election to determine the next President of the United States were held today and your choices were …
  • Poll shows Trump gaining on Clinton

    08/10/2016 10:43:52 AM PDT · by MaxistheBest · 44 replies
    New York Post ^ | 08/10/2016 | Daniel Halper
    Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump is shrinking, with a new poll released Wednesday showing her margin down to 4 points. Clinton notched 44 percent to Trump’s 40 percent in the Bloomberg Politics poll, which had Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson at 9 percent, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein tallied 4 percent. The same poll last month had Clinton with a much larger lead, with the Democrat at 49 percent, Trump at 37 and Johnson at 9 percent. -------------------------------------------- A majority of voters (60 percent) do not believe the election is rigged, while only 34 percent agree that it is....
  • 2016 Battlegrounds: Trump keeps it close in Southwest, faces steep climb in Virginia

    08/07/2016 10:02:21 AM PDT · by BigEdLB · 46 replies
    YouGov/CBS ^ | 8/7/16 | William Jordan
    Tight races in two Southwestern states and wide margin in Virginia show how 2016 could continue to be an election of surprises. Hillary Clinton holds a narrow two-point edge over Donald Trump in Nevada, earning 43% against Trump’s 41% among likely voters in a swing state George W. Bush and Barack Obama both won twice. In Arizona, which has only voted Democratic once since 1948, it’s Donald Trump with the slim lead, topping Clinton 44% to 42%. But Clinton could be headed for a relative blow-out in Virginia, where she leads Trump 49% to 37%. In 2008 Obama turned Virginia...
  • More on the Reuters/Ipsos poll showing Hillary’s lead slipping

    08/06/2016 7:48:11 PM PDT · by MaxistheBest · 18 replies
    HotAir.com ^ | 08/06/2016 | ALLAHPUNDIT
    Jazz blogged it this morning but it’s newsy enough to warrant a follow-up, as it represents the first strong sign that Hillary’s convention bounce — and/or the backlash from the Trump/Khan dust-up — is fading. Jazz makes two good points for why we should believe the result. One: Reuters did detect a big lead for Hillary a few days ago. If it hadn’t, you could challenge the poll as an extreme outlier given that every other survey this past week captured a spike in her numbers. Reuters captured it too, though. And now they see it going away. If you’re...
  • The Black vote for Trump is the reason Democrats and their media cheerleaders are so frightened

    08/05/2016 9:18:39 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 20 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 8/5/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    Honest observers of recent polls can’t help but be skeptical at how the numbers have turned around. We’ve seen Donald Trump’s 7 point lead go to a 15 point lead for Hillary Clinton. That 22 point turn around in a very short period is, in itself, suspect, but for now we can leave it alone. Those who know better MUST keep speaking out and MUST not waver in their belief that these polls are faked because they are – not all of them – but the ones showing Clinton with over a 7 point lead. How can this be so...
  • Trump train seats filling with White male, non-college graduates

    08/03/2016 11:15:32 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 38 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 8/3/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    The truth of this election cycle is that the surest way for Donald Trump to get to the White House and save America is with massive support from White voters; and at this point he is getting that support. A recent Washington Post ABC News survey found this to be true. Regardless of whether the raw number of voters goes up or down--which would be a big plus for Trump--Whites will make up at least 72% of the electorate, as they did in 2012. If the percentage goes up to say 74% Trump will win in a blowout. If the...
  • Clinton has narrow lead in Pennsylvania (PPP Clinton 45 - Trump 42)

    08/02/2016 5:29:22 PM PDT · by usafa92 · 39 replies
    PPP ^ | 8/1/2016 | PPP
    Clinton has narrow lead in Pennsylvania PPP's newest Pennsylvania poll, conducted entirely after the Democratic convention, finds Hillary Clinton with a narrow lead in the state. She's at 45% to 42% for Donald Trump, 4% for Gary Johnson, and 2% for Jill Stein. In a head to head match up just with Trump she leads by 4 points at 49-45. Both polls- in Pennsylvania and nationally- PPP has done since the Democratic convention basically suggest that the race is back where it was in June. In late June we had Clinton up 46-42 on Trump head to head in Pennsylvania...
  • Trump Leads Clinton In Virginia

    07/31/2016 11:43:00 AM PDT · by Helicondelta · 104 replies
    rabaresearch.com ^ | August 1st, 2016
    Republican nominee Donald J. Trump holds a 4-point lead over Democratic nominee Hillary Rodham Clinton in the critical state of Virginia and just outside the margin of error, a new RABA Research poll shows. Among the poll of 655 likely voters in Virginia, Trump holds a 46%-42% lead over Clinton, despite her pick of Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine as her vice presidential running mate. Voters are split on Kaine, with 40% of respondents saying they are more likely to vote for Clinton based on the pick, versus 34% who are less likely to support her and 26% stating it makes...
  • NEW ELECTION POLL: TRUMP UP BY 6 AFTER DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION

    07/29/2016 10:13:27 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 112 replies
    Regated ^ | July 29, 2016 | Sam Wenkert
    JULY 29: A new election poll released this morning (conducted on July 28) by the USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election Poll shows that Donald Trump has 46.7% of the total popular vote, while Hillary Clinton lags behind with 40.6% of the popular vote. 2,188 people were surveyed. This is a very surprising result, considering that the Democratic National Convention usually gives the Democratic candidate a large boost in the polls. It did not seem to be the case this year for Hillary Clinton....
  • Exclusive: KTNV/Rasmussen poll shows Trump, Heck with post GOP-convention leads in Nevada

    07/28/2016 8:57:17 PM PDT · by MaxistheBest · 10 replies
    ABC Action News ^ | 07/25/2016 | Riley Snyder
    Donald Trump holds a modest lead over Hillary Clinton in Nevada, according to a new KTNV-TV 13 Action News/Rasmussen Reports poll. The poll of 750 likely voters shows the Republican presidential candidate leading Clinton by 43 to 38 percent in Nevada, with eight percent supporting Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson. The KTNV-TV 13 Action News/Rasmussen Reports also reports Republican Senate candidate Joe Heck with a nine point lead over his Democratic opponent, Catherine Cortez Masto. The poll was conducted by Rasmussen Reports between July 22 and 24, immediately following the Republican National Convention in Cleveland, Ohio. Rasmussen historically has a...
  • Democrats Fear ‘Secret Trump Vote’ That Doesn’t Show Up in Polling

    07/26/2016 1:07:06 AM PDT · by RatherBiased.com · 48 replies
    Praxis ^ | Matthew Sheffield
    Throughout the GOP primaries, online and automated surveys—which are generally less respected within the industry—indicated higher levels of Trump support than live ones. The discrepancy may have been a large reason why his Republican elite opponents refused to take the former reality star’s campaign seriously before it was too late. A similar dynamic appears to be taking shape in the general election. Instead of taking false comfort, Democratic elites are sounding the alarm about the Shy Trump Supporter Effect. Liberal pollster Celinda Lake is warning of a “secret Trump vote” which she discerned from differences between automated and live surveys...
  • 4 brutal poll numbers that greet Hillary Clinton at the Democratic National Convention

    07/25/2016 9:59:10 PM PDT · by Innovative · 55 replies
    Washington Post ^ | July 25, 2016 | Aaron Blake
    It's common for presidential candidates to get a bump from their conventions, and two new polls Monday suggest Donald Trump did indeed get that. But the new polls don't just show Trump's stock rising (however temporarily that may be); they also have some very bad news for Hillary Clinton and her already-declining personal image. Indeed, politically, she's doing as bad as she ever has — if not worse.
  • Trump Gets Modest Boost in Ohio After Convention (PPP OH: Trump 42, Cankles 39)

    07/25/2016 2:47:47 PM PDT · by LS · 64 replies
    Public Policy Polling ^ | 7/25/2016 | Public Policy Polling
    PPP's new Ohio poll finds Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton 42-39 in the state, with Gary Johnson at 6% and Jill Stein at 2%. Voters who support either Johnson or Stein or are undecided in the full field go to Clinton by an 18 point margin if they had to pick between just Clinton and Trump, making the head to head match up a 45/45 tie.
  • Clinton burns through $500,000/day on ineffective attack ads that seem to be making Trump Stronger

    07/25/2016 9:00:00 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 24 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 7/25/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    The frustration that Hillary Clinton is feeling as she chases Donald Trump around the battleground state must be palpable. Make no mistake, the “scientific” polls showing her ahead of Trump aren’t fooling Hillary. She knows she’s trailing already. Clinton’s situation reminds us of the old story about the dog food CEO who holds an emergency meeting because sales are stagnant. With fire in his voice the CEO screams at his executive core asking: Why, if they have the best packaging; the best placement and the best prices are sales flat? No one wanted to speak but after a minute of...
  • The USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election "Daybreak" Poll

    07/24/2016 3:56:40 PM PDT · by mandaladon · 30 replies
    Trump ...................45.1 Hillary..................41.7
  • Trump up in battleground states after convention, leads Clinton

    07/24/2016 3:32:10 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    The Hill's Ballot Box Blog ^ | July 24, 2016 | Rebecca Savransky
    Support for Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump ticked up across battleground states following the Republican National Convention last week, according to the new CBS News Battleground Tracker Poll. Trump now has 42 percent support across the 11 battleground states surveyed — up from the 40 percent he had last week before the convention. Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has 41 percent support, unchanged from last week's poll. According to the poll, 55 percent of Republicans said Trump's message at the convention made them feel hopeful, and about 40 percent said it made them feel enthusiastic. Among independents, 32 percent...
  • ARG poll showing Clinton up 43/42 has internal numbers good for Trump and bad for her

    07/22/2016 9:01:44 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 17 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 7/22/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    The implosion of the NeverTrump movement that came with Ted Cruz’s public political suicide will have a very beneficial effect on Donald Trump’s campaign to win the Presidency. Hillary Clinton was once leading Trump by as much as 12 points. That has fizzled down to a virtual tie in poll after poll and there are clear reasons why. When Hillary was courting Bernie Sanders for his backing she was in the news; and that led to a 7 point Rasmussen lead for Trump because of the “Morris rule.” The “Dick Morris rule” says Hillary’s numbers go up when she is...
  • WMUR poll: Clinton, Trump in virtual dead heat in New Hampshire

    07/22/2016 8:50:54 AM PDT · by mandaladon · 34 replies
    WMUR ^ | 22 Jul 2016 | John DiStaso
    DURHAM, N.H. —As Donald Trump prepares to accept the Republican Party’s presidential nomination in Cleveland on Thursday night, a new poll show that he is now deadlocked with Democrat Hillary Clinton in a one-on-one matchup in the battleground state of New Hampshire. The Granite State has only four electoral votes, but it is considered a swing state, and as such, it is closely watched and highly coveted in general election campaigns. The latest WMUR Granite State Poll, released on Thursday evening, has Clinton leading Trump, 39 percent to 37 percent, well within the poll’s 4.5 percent margin of error, while...
  • This speech will put Trump even or ahead of Hillary in polls by Monday - Frank Luntz

    07/21/2016 10:04:48 PM PDT · by 11th_VA · 111 replies
    Mark my words: This speech will put Trump even or ahead of Hillary in polls by Monday, when the Democratic convention begins.
  • POLL: Trump Leads Clinton By 11 Points With Independents

    07/19/2016 4:13:34 AM PDT · by Biggirl · 88 replies
    Breitbart.com ^ | July 18 , 2016 | Alex Swoyer
    Presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump is leading presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by 11 points with Independents, 38 percent to 27 percent, according to a new Morning Consult poll. But he’s still down by two points in a head-to-head match up, 41 percent to 39 percent.
  • Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump tied going into conventions - CBS/NYT poll

    07/14/2016 7:04:02 AM PDT · by NYRepublican72 · 50 replies
    CBS News/New York Times ^ | 7/14/2016 | Sarah Dutton, Jennifer De Pinto, Fred Backus and Anthony Salvanto
    The State of the Race Heading into the two parties' conventions, the race for President is a dead heat, a change from last month when Hillary Clinton led by six points. Forty percent of registered voters now say they will back Clinton (a dip of three points), while 40 percent will vote for Trump (a bump up of three points). A month ago, Clinton led Trump 43 to 37 percent. Most registered voters say they have made up their minds about who to support: 90 percent of Trump voters and 88 percent of Clinton voters say their choice is set....
  • Rasmussen: Trump 44%, Clinton 37%

    The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly White House Watch survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 44% support to Clinton’s 37%. Thirteen percent (13%) favor some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.
  • Clinton Losing In Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds

    07/13/2016 4:39:03 AM PDT · by Nicojones · 154 replies
    Quinnipiac polling ^ | 7/13/2016 | Quinnipiac
    FLORIDA: Trump 42 - Clinton 39 OHIO: Clinton 41 - Trump 41 PENNSYLVANIA: Trump 43 - Clinton 41 With a drop in grades on honesty and moral standards, Democrat Hillary Clinton loses an 8-point lead over Republican Donald Trump in Florida, and finds herself in too-close-to-call races in the three critical swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today. Clinton loses ground on almost every measure from a June 21 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. The Swing State Poll focuses on Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania because since 1960 no...
  • Majority Disapproves of Decision Not to Charge Clinton on Emails (POLL)

    07/11/2016 4:55:34 AM PDT · by McGruff · 39 replies
    ABC News ^ | July 11, 2016 | GREGORY HOLYK
    A majority of Americans disapproves of the FBI's recommendation not to charge Hillary Clinton with a crime over her handling of email while secretary of state, and a similar number in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll say the issue leaves them worried about how she'd handle her responsibilities as president if elected. Most also say the email controversy won't affect their vote choice in the presidential election. But more say it leaves them less rather than more likely to support Clinton, 28 percent vs. 10 percent.
  • The truth about Clinton’s alarmingly poor numbers

    07/01/2016 9:14:33 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 23 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 7/1/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    With her ship slowly but steadily sinking it is more and more difficult for the media to hide the numbers of Hillary Clinton’s failures in a way that can fool people. A recent CBS poll makes this point. It starts by saying Donald Trump is leading Clinton among Evangelicals 62/17 which of course is good news for Trump; but it gets worse for Clinton. In the last four elections, Democrats averaged 42% of Evangelical support and Republicans averaged 58%. As a well-known quantity, Clinton has got to be seen as the “incumbent.” History tells us that “undecideds” go to the...
  • Ever hear of Vigo County Indiana? You can bet Clinton and Trump have

    06/30/2016 8:47:23 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 11 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 6/29/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    Some political “experts” insist “Bellwether” counties like Vigo, Indiana aren’t “bellwether” counties but just statistical coincidences. “After all, what can an unsophisticated bunch of Midwestern hay seeds know about politics that we don’t know?” they might smugly suggest. The ironic answer to that question is: Not much, except who will win the presidency every four years. What makes Vigo County so unique is that since 1888 the voters there have voted for the winner of each presidential election, except in 1908 and 1952. That means they have been right 14 elections in a row and 29 of the past 31...
  • Brexit: Yet another example of biased polling

    06/25/2016 8:05:31 AM PDT · by detective · 30 replies
    American Thinker ^ | June 25, 2016 | Sierra Rayne
    For the weak-minded among us who continue to believe in polling data, the Brexit vote shows – yet again – what a biased absurdity the polls have become. But delusions and obfuscation runs deep in the mainstream trenches. Nate Cohn at the New York Times writes that "[i]t was not a cataclysmic polling failure[.] ... [I]t's hard to argue that this was a big polling failure." Sure it wasn't. Once you are done rolling around on the floor in laughter at claims that this wasn't a massive polling failure, read on.
  • Another week brings more crippling math problems for Hillary Clinton

    06/24/2016 8:58:30 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 8 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 6/24/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    Adolf Hitler’s Propaganda Chief Joseph Goebbels operated on a simple principle: “If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it.” For several decades we have steadily been losing ground to the Left because they have lied about everything, big and small. This said, here are some nasty numbers on Hillary Clinton’s campaign the media can’t smother. We’ve all heard that Republicans hate Trump and Democrats love Hillary. This is not true. A new Gallup survey shows the number of Democrats happy that Clinton is their candidate went from an unhelpful 77%...
  • Quinnipiac National Poll [06/01/16]: Trump 41, Hillary 45

    06/01/2016 3:47:40 AM PDT · by Utmost Certainty · 37 replies
    Quinnipiac University Poll ^ | 06/01/2016 | Tim Malloy
    A titanic clash of the sexes leaves Democrat Hillary Clinton with a small 45 - 41 percent lead over Republican Donald Trump in the race for president, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today. When third party candidates are added to the mix, Clinton gets 40 percent with Trump at 38 percent, too close to call, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson gets 5 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein gets 3 percent. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont leads Trump among all American voters 48 - 39 percent, but trails Clinton...
  • Hoover Institution Golden State Poll: Clinton +13 Over Sanders; Harris, Sanchez Lead Senate Field

    05/31/2016 9:03:07 PM PDT · by af_vet_1981 · 8 replies
    Hoover Institution, Stanford University ^ | Tuesday, May 31, 2016 | Hoover Institution, Stanford University
    The survey, which interviewed 1,700 adult (18 and up) Californians, was conducted from May 4 to May 16. Looking to November, there’s tepid support for the two likely nominees. Clinton leads Trump, 45 percent to 33 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson polling at 4 percent and 8 percent considering a write-in candidate;
  • New Jersey: Clinton Holds Narrow Lead Trump in General Election

    05/31/2016 8:19:11 AM PDT · by usafa92 · 47 replies
    Monmouth University ^ | 5/31/2016 | Monmouth University
    West Long Branch, NJ – Hillary Clinton holds a narrow lead over Donald Trump in an early read of New Jersey registered voters five months before the general election. The Monmouth University Poll finds that neither candidate has solidified support among core constituent groups. With the top of the ticket taking shape for both parties, speculation has turned to a couple of Garden State office holders as potential running mates. The poll finds that one name in particular – the state’s own governor – may actually put New Jersey electoral votes further out of reach for Trump. In a head-to-head...
  • Franklin Pierce-Herald poll shows tight NH race, trouble for Clinton [Trump 44% Clinton 44%]

    05/30/2016 7:56:11 PM PDT · by GonzoII · 21 replies
    bostonherald.com ^ | Monday, May 30, 2016 | Joe Battenfeld
    Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are deadlocked in the swing state of New Hampshire, but a stunning two-thirds of likely voters say they don’t like either of them, a new Franklin Pierce University-Boston Herald poll reveals.POLL REPORT: Link to results here...POLL TABLES: Dig into the data here...Clinton and Trump are both getting 44 percent of the vote in a general-election matchup yet just only a third of all voters have a favorable view of the two likely presidential nominees, according to the new poll.The poll should cause some concern among Democrats who have counted on New Hampshire’s four electoral votes...
  • NY Times hilariously spins awful Hillary polls: ‘There’s a lot of room for improvement!’

    05/24/2016 6:13:18 PM PDT · by Sean_Anthony · 7 replies
    Canada Free Press ^ | 05/24/16 | Dan Calabrese
    Whistling past the graveyard. I really don’t even know why the Democratic Party spends a dime on communication staff. Why not just hand out copies of the New York Times to everyone? It would accomplish the same purpose, and most of the time they’re all on social media posting links to the Times anyway. No matter what happens, the Times is there and ready to spin it to put the story in the best - or least bad - light for the Democrats. Those polls you’ve heard about in recent weeks that show Trump either pulling into the lead or...
  • New Virginia Poll Shows Huge Jump For Trump over Hillary (Trump 38%, Hillary 38%)

    05/23/2016 6:27:19 PM PDT · by BlackFemaleArmyCaptain · 26 replies
    New Roanoke College Poll has Donald Trump launching +11% to pull even with Hillary in Virginia.
  • Gallup to Businesses: Get On Board With Social Changes, Or Else

    05/20/2016 8:15:31 PM PDT · by Tolerance Sucks Rocks · 19 replies
    MRC TV ^ | May 19, 2016 | Brittany M. Hughes
    If you’ve been living under a rock and still question whether we’re seeing a breakdown of the traditional family, you won’t after this. A new Gallup poll released Thursday shows while fewer Americans are getting married – or are waiting much longer to get married – than in past decades, they feel little to no compulsion against having kids in the meantime. But rather than simply stating the numbers -- which are depressing enough -- Gallup felt compelled to throw in its two cents on how businesses – and society as a whole – should respond to the shift in...
  • Dead heat: Trump, Clinton tied in 3 swing-state polls

    05/10/2016 7:16:28 AM PDT · by Hojczyk · 42 replies
    Politico ^ | May 10,2016 | Nick Gass
    Buckle up for the next six months: Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are effectively tied in the swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to the results of a Quinnipiac University survey released Tuesday. Split along lines of gender, race and age, the presumptive Republican nominee and the likely Democratic nominee appear poised for tight battles in those states, though Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders performs better against Trump than Clinton does and is also seen more favorably by voters in all three states. No presidential candidate has won an election since 1960 without winning at least two of the...
  • Trump baits the hook with, “Women don’t like Hillary Clinton.” Will the media take it again?

    05/01/2016 8:39:58 AM PDT · by Oldpuppymax · 18 replies
    The Coach's Team ^ | 4/30/16 | Kevin "Coach" Collins
    Tuesday night, toward the end of his victory speech, Donald Trump threw out some bait in hopes of snagging the media and once again humiliating them for their lack of diligence. He said Hillary Clinton has nothing but the “Women’s card.” “If Hillary Clinton was a man she would be at 5%.” These remarks were calculated and carefully delivered to compel his lazy media enemies to listen to him. Sure that he had their attention Trump added, “And women don’t like her.” The “uproar” that followed came mostly from Clinton herself who tried in vain to turn this into another...
  • Poll: Trump holds double-digit lead in Oregon

    04/28/2016 2:09:49 PM PDT · by maggief · 41 replies
    The Hill ^ | April 28, 2016 | Rebecca Savransky
    Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump holds a double-digit lead over his competitors in Oregon, according to a new poll by Portland-based Hoffman Research Group. Trump has 43 percent support in the poll, followed by Ted Cruz with 26 percent and John Kasich with just 17 percent support. Cruz and Kasich announced last weekend a joint effort to deny Trump the nomination. As part of the strategy, Kasich would clear a path for Cruz in the Indiana primary and Cruz would back down in Oregon and New Mexico. But both candidates have walked away from the arrangement since their campaigns' announcement....
  • CBS polls: Trump leads by five in Indiana, by 23 in Pennsylvania

    04/24/2016 3:14:24 PM PDT · by MaxistheBest · 50 replies
    HotAir.com ^ | 04/24/2016 | ALLAHPUNDIT
    The Pennsylvania numbers — Trump 49, Cruz 26, Kasich 22 — are eye-popping, but you should know the delegate rules there well enough by now to know there’s a catch. Namely, 54 of the 71 delegates are unbound regardless of what Republican voters do in the primary. In theory, Cruz could lose the popular vote by 25 points and still walk away with a majority of the state’s delegation in his pocket thanks to his delegate-wrangling operation. ----------------------- In fact, per CBS/YouGov, 68 percent of Pennsylvania Republicans say delegates should back the statewide winner. That’s a big deal given how...
  • EXCLUSIVE WTHR/HPI Poll: Trump, Clinton ahead in Indiana, overall tight race (Trump +6)

    04/22/2016 9:41:49 AM PDT · by NYRepublican72 · 34 replies
    WTHR/HPI ^ | 4/22/2016 | WTHR Channel 13
    The results of the first statewide poll for Indiana’s upcoming primary show a small lead for party front runners Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, with a tight race on both sides of the aisle. The WTHR/HPI Indiana Poll has Trump with a 6-point lead over his closest challenger Ted Cruz. The poll indicates a record turnout will favor Trump over the other candidates. The results prove just how pivotal Indiana's primary race is going to be nationally. Republican Presidential Primary Donald Trump 37% Ted Cruz 31% John Kasich 22%
  • Final New York polling results [Trump 57, Kasich 22, Cruz 20]

    04/18/2016 11:47:43 AM PDT · by Trump20162020 · 124 replies
    Gravis ^ | April 18, 2016 | Gravis
    Trump: 57% Kasich: 22% Cruz: 20%