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The Voters Who Stayed Home (The Key to Understanding the Results of the 2012 Elections)
National Review ^ | 11/10/2012 | Andrew McCarthy

Posted on 11/10/2012 5:13:59 AM PST by SeekAndFind

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1 posted on 11/10/2012 5:14:08 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

From Eric Holmes of the American Thinker:

EXCERPT:

Looking closely at the county-by-county voting result map, however, reveals that Gov. Romney’s message and his target demographic could have worked. It was only in a handful of specific counties that the execution of promoting that message did not break through.

Nationwide, Gov. Romney appealed to middle-class Christian families who live in either rural or suburban areas. Geographically, he did well in the South and the Midwest and less well on the West Coast, in the Rust Belt, and in the Northeast. With this group of voters he could have won the election — if not for some specific areas where the demographics favored Gov. Romney, yet the voting was strangely inconsistent.

Obviously, Romney would have won had he carried Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and either Colorado or Iowa.

A lot is being said about the Obama surge in Miami. Gov. Romney could have carried this state with a more balanced voting result in Broward or Orange County. Both of these are dominated by sprawling suburban neighborhoods of tree-lined streets and parents playing with their kids in parks. There is nothing urban about these. Yet Gov. Romney lost by 200,000 votes in Broward County neighborhoods, which look identical to neighborhoods across the country from which he won millions of votes. Same is true for Orange County (Orlando), where he lost by 120,000.

In Ohio, Gov. Romney did nicely in Cincinnati and Toledo. He was creamed in Cleveland. He was also demolished in Columbus, a non-industrial city in the heartland of the state. By national standards, though, he should have won enough votes in Columbus to win the state.

In Virginia, his demographic was in the north — Prince William, Loudoun, Fairfax, and Arlington counties. Just a more realistic showing across these counties would have won Gov. Romney the state. He didn’t have to win — just turn the tide a bit.

MY COMMENT: How the heck did Romney even lose the CUBAN VOTE?


2 posted on 11/10/2012 5:17:08 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

One of the stay homes called Rush last week. He was an all or nothing type.

It was his last chance to win. Another chance will not becoming anytime soon, if ever.

4 more years of Obama will not make conservatism a winning thing.

The takers win, and there will be more of them in 4 years.


3 posted on 11/10/2012 5:19:01 AM PST by dforest
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To: SeekAndFind
Every time one of these guys does a piece and does not account for actuarial facts of life and death, he's just blowing smoke.

As the Boomers begin to age their death rate climbs. Absent a really vigorous voter registration program, the number of Republican voters should decline ~ and that's been the case ever since "W""s last election in 2004.

This time even the Democrats had a maor drop in voting strength.

This problem will continue for the next 20 years until the last Boomer is sitting around in an old folks home spitting chaw into a brass bucket!

4 posted on 11/10/2012 5:19:21 AM PST by muawiyah
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To: dforest

There are a lot of good, hardworking people out there who are absolutely disgusted with both parties. They believe, not without justification, that both parties are just different sides of the same coin. So they just stay home. They’re basically saying “a pox on both your houses” — even though it mostly affects our house.


5 posted on 11/10/2012 5:24:23 AM PST by rbg81
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To: SeekAndFind

There is no real understanding of it, frankly. Even in polls like PPP and Pew all the internals showed people unhappy with the economy and yet they send back the socialist to finish his job, as he put it during the campaign. Here’s a man who spent almost one trillion dollars in stimulous promising it would solve the issue, and things got worse. Yet he still blamed BUSH four years later. Reading comments under the stories of lay offs you see that our country has become a bunch of lazy asses who want the Federal government to help them from cradle to grave and punish anyone who has more ambition and drive to make something of themselves.

The takers won. And these same low life loser will keep blaming Wall Street and Bush.


6 posted on 11/10/2012 5:24:50 AM PST by snarkytart
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To: SeekAndFind
If the GOP wants my vote, it needs to run a conservative nominee.

All the berating me about not voting for Romney is like water to a duck. I don't hear you.

Proven track record of anti-abortion, pro-2A, reducing government, no socialized medicine...

It's not difficult.

/johnny

7 posted on 11/10/2012 5:28:36 AM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: SeekAndFind

BINGO!

Republicans talk about limited central government, but they do not believe in it — or, if they do, they lack confidence that they can explain its benefits compellingly.

TO MANY RINOS, oust them! THEY LOVE THE PIG TROUGH JUST LIKE THE DEMS! TERM LIMITS, TIE PAY TO SS AND MILITARY COLA RAISES! NO MORE LIFE TIME PLATINUM HEALTH INSURANCE EITHER!


8 posted on 11/10/2012 5:28:46 AM PST by GailA (IF U will not keep your promises to the Military, U won't keep them to the public)
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To: SeekAndFind

Romney lost the Cuban vote because he did not pick Rubio. Romney lost the election because he did not ice Rubio.

What the nation saw was two “white bread” politicians fitting the narrative of the Obama agenda. Romney selects Rubio and that all goes away. It gives Republicans diversity and it gives the perception if they won they would do something about amnesty. Romney picked Ryan to try to pick off Wisconsin as well as to give the conservatives red meat.

Red meat wasn’t the issue. Winning this election was the issue. And he lost. Badly.

Since I no longer believe what anyone in the media says, whether left or right wing, the only thing left to believe in is the Constitution.

It will only be when true conservatism gets to the forefront that we will take this country back. The Tea Party had it right. Unfortunately in the end, they did exactly what the Democrats expected of them. Fade into the background and let the establishment do its thing.

Sad.


9 posted on 11/10/2012 5:29:01 AM PST by EQAndyBuzz (Media goes nuts in 2004 because Bush went to the dentist 20 years ago. Benghazi? Nothing.)
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To: dforest
I heard that guy and I was enraged by his sanctimonious, shallow, pig-headed reasoning.

He believes there was no difference between Romney and Obama. He was so blind and stupid that he couldn't tell the difference between a good man and a poser. Between a man who loves his country and a man dedicated to destroy it.

The Rush caller wants the country to burn because he believes that Ronald Reagan will emerge from the ashes. How little he knows history. Reagans don't emerge from the ashes... Hitlers do.

If you stayed home, for any reason, you have earned my contempt and scorn.

10 posted on 11/10/2012 5:30:41 AM PST by carton253
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To: SeekAndFind

Those who stayed home will reap the consequences of the election as much as those who voted. Making no decision is a decision.

The residents nice suburban tree lined streets will experience job losses, higher taxes, higher energy and food prices, and more restrictions on freedom. Perhaps none of this matters as long as there is a roof overhead, food in the refrigerator, and a widescreen television with hundreds of channels in the house.

The only thing I can see on the horizon that may shake Americans out of their stupor is the medium term consequences of Obama’s war on fossil fuels. As we’ve seen this week he is prepared to bring the oil shale boom to a halt using environmental regulations to end development of resources. This means higher gasoline prices in the future. The war on coal will soon be over and with the permanent shutdown of America’s coal fired power plants we will begin experiencing frequent brownouts and blackouts in the heartland. No doubt the federal government will mandate the grid supply the cities. Gasoline prices of $7.00 to $10.00 per gallon will hurt the pocketbooks of rural and suburban dwellers hard. Loss of electric power for 3-4 hours a day will be a major irritant and inconvenience except for those who recently immigrated from 3rd world countries where unreliable power is the norm.

Perhaps when the suburban middle class worker is spending $10.00 per gallon for gasoline and can’t watch Dancing with the Stars due to frequent electric power blackouts, he will want to vote for “change”.


11 posted on 11/10/2012 5:32:29 AM PST by Soul of the South
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To: dforest

This is a basic, basic lesson. You do not vilify the most passionate, and dedicated supporters in order to fish for wishy washy moderates.

You will lose every time.

If the GOP wants to continue losing elections, they should keep on attacking their base like you are doing here.


12 posted on 11/10/2012 5:33:01 AM PST by JCBreckenridge (They may take our lives... but they'll never take our FREEDOM!)
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To: Soul of the South

Perhaps the moderates who left us with no choice in this election will learn their lesson. I doubt it though, because I’m sure we’ll continue to hear that the Republicans lost because they didn’t swallow enough socialism.


13 posted on 11/10/2012 5:34:07 AM PST by JCBreckenridge (They may take our lives... but they'll never take our FREEDOM!)
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To: carton253

You and I agree. I am really ticked at this crap. Every day we bash our own and spend very little time preparing for the nightmare we all have coming in a few minutes.

I am sick because we bash our own and when we do the dems and the media delight in piling on and watching us get destroyed.

Adds to the depression.


14 posted on 11/10/2012 5:34:17 AM PST by dforest
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To: SeekAndFind
Those 9 million Americans need a new choice. We all do.

We had a potential one...

BUT...

Next for GOP leaders: Stopping Sarah Palin

15 posted on 11/10/2012 5:34:40 AM PST by Timber Rattler (Just say NO! to RINOS and the GOP-E)
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To: SeekAndFind
For Americans who don’t see much daylight between the two parties — one led by the president who keeps spending money we don’t have and the other by congressional Republicans who keep writing the checks and extending the credit line — voting wasn’t worth the effort.

In other words, the GOPe, as of this election, has LOST the "hold-your-nose-and-vote" base. The threats of dire consequences are no longer sufficient to scare conservatives into voting. Do I think the GOPe will take this lesson to heart? Nope .... as the author says, they're playing the game, too .... don't want true conservatism. The RNC gave NO money to Bachmann, the Repubs redistricted Allen West out of a seat ... these are the folks who stand up for America and the very 'Tea Party' types that Boehner has now denied exists in the House.

16 posted on 11/10/2012 5:35:38 AM PST by MissMagnolia ("It is when a people forget God that tyrants forge their chains" - Patrick Henry)
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To: EQAndyBuzz

So we lost because we didn’t set the pander dial to 11?


17 posted on 11/10/2012 5:35:38 AM PST by JCBreckenridge (They may take our lives... but they'll never take our FREEDOM!)
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To: SeekAndFind
Nothing changes until after the war.

Elected politicians are NOT going to change the system. Once in office, they will all tend to see government as the solution, not the problem. Elected politicians will not fix this mess.

Nothing changes until after the war. I don't really expect that war to occur within my lifetime, but we'll see.

18 posted on 11/10/2012 5:36:10 AM PST by ClearCase_guy (Global Warming is a religion, and I don't want to be taxed to pay for a faith that is not mine.)
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To: rbg81

Well, those good hard workers just saddled us with Obamacare. I am sick and my doctor I liked just quit.

I want to tell thos good hard workers to get....


19 posted on 11/10/2012 5:36:47 AM PST by dforest
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To: MissMagnolia

“The threats of dire consequences are no longer sufficient to scare conservatives into voting”

A-men, ma’am. A-men.


20 posted on 11/10/2012 5:36:54 AM PST by JCBreckenridge (They may take our lives... but they'll never take our FREEDOM!)
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