My theory is that socialism will ALWAYS end in the same place but it may take two different roads to reach that end.
1. The government will devolve from supposed egalitarian into an oligarchy which will transform into a dictatorship by “The Party”. I call this the Russian model
2. The government will come near fiscal collapse but enough of the population will be vested in the pensions, welfare and other pay outs and still believe the lies ruling classes that no meaning reform can be conducted incrementally. When that happens change comes as a Right-Wing Coup which in order to maintain power against the now disaffected masses still demanding their unsustainable pensions and welfare transforms itself into a dictatorship. I call this the Chilean model.
There are no other examples of how it can end. The question is simply how long can a Socialist government avoid the two outcomes
I agree on your models, but the first model ends with sovereign bankruptcy and dissolution, absent a sugar daddy. Thus all of the former Warsaw Pact nations.
It puzzles me that people go down this road over and over again despite socialism’s abysmal record. It always fails, and yet human greed and covetousness can’t seem to resist its siren call.
I think it will be more along the lines of a civil war with racial overtones. Read ‘The Camp of the Saints’.