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Eric Cantor’s Defeat: Winners and Losers
National Review ^ | 06/11/2014 | Joel Gehrke

Posted on 06/11/2014 7:25:13 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

In no particular order.

Winners:

1) Dave Brat, the college professor and political novice who pulled off the first primary upset of a House majority leader since 1899.

2) Tea-party activists nationwide, whose efforts to move Republican-party leaders to the right received a morale boost and a fundraising hook.

3) Conservative talk-radio host Laura Ingraham, who supported Brat when most political types assumed Cantor would roll to another victory.

5) Representative Jeb Hensarling (R., Texas), whose chances of succeeding House speaker John Boehner (R., Ohio) just got a whole lot better.

6) Representative Peter Roskam (R., Kan.), who has a solid chance of replacing Representative Kevin McCarthy (R., Calif.) as whip if McCarthy takes Cantor’s job.

Losers:

1) House majority leader Eric Cantor (R., Va.) who was on the wrong end of a historic defeat.

2) Any pundit who said the Tea Party is dead.

3) Comprehensive-immigration-reform proponents.

4) Representative Bob Goodlatte, the Virginia Republican tasked with managing immigration bills at the Judiciary Committee level.

5) Republican incumbents everywhere, who have just been reminded that every primary is a dangerous challenge.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: congress; davidbrat; ericcantor; virginia
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Here's a question to all in the know -- Virginia is an open primary state where even Democrats can vote in the Republican primary.

How big a factor is Democrat sabotage in causing Eric Cantor's defeat? Is this a Democrat version of Rush's "Operation Chaos"?

1 posted on 06/11/2014 7:25:13 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

RE: Losers — Comprehensive-immigration-reform proponents.

Then why did Lindsay Grahamnesty win in South Carolina?


2 posted on 06/11/2014 7:25:59 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
Biggest winner is Ted Cruz, Who has once again been vindicated.
3 posted on 06/11/2014 7:27:21 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: SeekAndFind
How big a factor is Democrat sabotage...

Somewhere between tiny and none. Turnout was low, it was a primary, broken-glass GOP-TP voters overwhelm the GOP-e.

4 posted on 06/11/2014 7:27:34 AM PDT by C210N (When people fear government there is tyranny; when government fears people there is liberty)
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To: SeekAndFind
Then why did Lindsay Grahamnesty win in South Carolina?

Probably because he had six opponents. If you're going to knock off a strong incumbent you need one strong challenger.

5 posted on 06/11/2014 7:27:40 AM PDT by jalisco555 ("My 80% friend is not my 20% enemy" - Ronald Reagan)
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To: SeekAndFind

Democrats aren’t really not that smart. Especially the rank and file gibsmedat voters.

The DCCC would have had to shell out massive payola in the form of ‘walking around money’ to get those leeches out to vote. I just don’t think that happened - some leech would have bragged about it.


6 posted on 06/11/2014 7:27:53 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: SeekAndFind

It is being reported that the more conservative counties went for Cantor. The more liberal counties went for Brat. Operation chaos.


7 posted on 06/11/2014 7:28:02 AM PDT by Chad_the_Impaler
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s gotta get through the House. The Senate is not consequential at this point on immigration because it already passed this term. This thing is DOA in the House now.


8 posted on 06/11/2014 7:28:33 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: C210N
Somewhere between tiny and none. Turnout was low

Turnout was high.
9 posted on 06/11/2014 7:29:23 AM PDT by Chad_the_Impaler
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To: SeekAndFind

Every pundit says that the Dem. participation was minimal and probably had no impact on the eventual result. I also think it would be a big mistake to move Mc Carthy into Cantor’s job. Mc Carthy is from California which is as Blue asd they get. I think they should try and undercut the Democrat cry of “War on Women’ and vote in a woman as Majority Leader.


10 posted on 06/11/2014 7:30:04 AM PDT by Old Retired Army Guy
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To: SeekAndFind

Several Republican leaders are already claiming this was just a Democrat cross-over vote sham. Stupidity.

Even if that WAS the case - I always hear that Republicans would like to get more of those Democrat voters.

Well, there you go, Eric. You got yo’ wish.


11 posted on 06/11/2014 7:34:00 AM PDT by Noamie
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To: SeekAndFind

Where is Karl Rove on this? He’s gonna have to buy extra felt pens for his stupid little white board to explain this.


12 posted on 06/11/2014 7:34:05 AM PDT by johnny reb (When in the course of human events.....)
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To: Old Retired Army Guy
There are two ways to explain how Cantor's internal polling showed he was up big (34%) only to lose by big (11%):
1. A lazy pollster just made up the numbers.
13 posted on 06/11/2014 7:35:05 AM PDT by Chad_the_Impaler
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To: Chad_the_Impaler

2. The pollster was way off in determining who was a likely voter in the primary.


14 posted on 06/11/2014 7:35:34 AM PDT by Chad_the_Impaler
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To: SeekAndFind

Watching Pat Robertson on 700 Club as I do...Was disappointed in his take on last night, he had on Luke Russert to give Democrat spin

Luke was already scheduled to discuss the re release of his fathers book for fathers day.

I did NOT appreciate the liberal slant this morning, Pat is getting older

Pat has been royally bashing Obama of late, so this was a disappointment

I was also unaware that Tim and Luke were Christian, I thought they were both pro abortion Democrats, but that`s for another thread


15 posted on 06/11/2014 7:36:00 AM PDT by Friendofgeorge (Sarah Palin 2016 OR BUST)
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To: SeekAndFind

“Then why did Lindsay Grahamnesty win in South Carolina?”

SC, like GA, is a rather predictable voting state: in general they keep their incumbents - regardless of who they are.

I know we do that in GA.

(Ahem, paging Sen. Kingston)


16 posted on 06/11/2014 7:36:18 AM PDT by Noamie
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To: SeekAndFind

17 posted on 06/11/2014 7:38:23 AM PDT by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: wolfman23601

Yup.


18 posted on 06/11/2014 7:39:38 AM PDT by Obadiah (None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free.)
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To: SeekAndFind

The only one courting Dems was Cantor so if they voted at all, he only has himself to blame for calling attention to a race they would have normally slept through.

Unless of course they voted for him in which case Brat’s margin of victory would be even bigger.


19 posted on 06/11/2014 7:43:49 AM PDT by Kenny
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To: Chad_the_Impaler

or 3. Polls aren’t an exact science. Somewhere along the line, pollsters caused results rather than just predicted them. If you have people who don’t let polls demoralize them, that would no longer work.


20 posted on 06/11/2014 7:50:52 AM PDT by Kenny
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