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To: BeauBo
Let’s see if Debka is right, calling a near term ramp up of aggressiveness against Hamas after this cease fire.

While there is some tit for tat right now as the previous ceasefire expired, it looks to me like the gist of the DEBKA article was dead wrong. It appears that Israel is generally looking to agree to a new 5 day ceasefire. Situation is still fluid as I type this.

So far, I have been disappointed by the lack of a strategic victory against Hamas.

Perhaps you are assuming incorrectly that Israel actually wants to destroy Hamas. I would suggest that Israel is far more interested, at this time anyway, at just degrading them and leaving them to govern and provide services in Gaza. I think the outcome they'd like is to continue squeezing them along with Egypt and let Hamas flame out on their own and have the PA return triumphantly.

In my opinion, Debka will sometimes indulge in this, or be used for this purpose, perhaps by some political or intelligence organizations.

I think they just make stuff up. Over the years they have proven to be not only wrong, but spectacularly wrong over and over again. You and I know nothing is as it seems in the Middle East, and it seems to be that DEBKA often simply fabricates nonsense out of thin air - and when they sometimes get something right it is no more than the same educated guesses we could make.

We'll all watch and see how things develop.

8 posted on 08/13/2014 4:00:01 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: Longbow1969

ISIS flags have been seen in Gaza and even in Israeli towns where arabs live.

Destroy Hamas and ISIS could be running Gaza


9 posted on 08/13/2014 4:03:09 PM PDT by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: Longbow1969

Well to close the loop, it looks like Debka’s projection of an imminent Israeli ground incursion did not happen - strike against Debka credibility.

Projection is always vulnerable to changing conditions - maybe Obama administration actions, like cutting off critical ammo resupply, drove them to hold fire.

Or maybe the threat of a big blow was just psyops, to favorably influence the negotiations that were about to begin in Cairo.

Or maybe Debka was just blowing it out their butt...

Anyhow, just wanted to own up, after having said let’s wait and see. You were right.

Things will no doubt change again in the future, and they may yet crush Hamas, who badly needs crushing.


11 posted on 08/23/2014 5:37:17 PM PDT by BeauBo
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