Posted on 09/09/2014 12:27:40 PM PDT by Covenantor
Ebola Kills 2,288, Nearly Half in Past 21 Days
Geneva - The Ebola epidemic in west Africa has claimed 2,288 lives, the World Health Organisation said on Tuesday, stressing that nearly half had died in less than a month.
As of 6 September 2,288 people had died in Guinea, Sierra Leone and Libera out of 4,269 cases, the UN's health agency said, pointing out that 47% of the deaths and 49% of the cases had come in the prior 21 days.
Another eight people have died in Nigeria out of 21 cases, while one case of Ebola has been confirmed in Senegal, WHO said.
New WHO Ebola count
Queue the ‘Don’t Fear the Reaper’ music?
A link to this thread has been posted on the Ebola Surveillance Thread
When is Obama going to start bringing the sick in Africa here.
We always have more room for more sick kids, right?
Even if it starts killing all of ours off with mysterious ailments.
When he starts bringing the US troops home that he said could be used to fight ebola in Africa.
And the CIC wants to send our military over there under the auspice of “support”
Still a drop in the bucket.
The number of cases doubles about every 30 days.
Of the people who get it,90% are dead within 21 days.
The math is not hard.
I’ve been reading that it has gone “exponential”.
Should we throw up our hands and panic today, or should we wait a couple of days until the 9/11 panic is over?
As I heard it, the mortality rate isn’t 90%, but somewhere around 60%.
Its likely higher. There’s plenty of new cases with people who aren’t dead yet.
Sounds like the BLS (Bureau of Lying Statistics) is assisting WHO in its reporting of Ebola statistics.
I'm working some ham bands and the rag crewing from amateur radio doesn't look good. Radio guys cannot make contact with many hams throughout the countries affected, especially, they are worried about those ham radio operators in the jungle.....not a peep from those callsigns in a while. Eerie. It may be a complete disaster out in the bush and down the trail where it will be a while before we hear about what happened.
That's really not clear. If you take the numbers as given (2,288 people dead, divided by 4,269 cases), the mortality is about 54%. HOWEVER, that underestimates the true mortality because the real mortality is calculated by dividing the number dead by the total of those who have either died or fully recovered. Some number of the 4,269 cases are still sick, and will die. So the mortality is clearly something above 54%.
If we assume that there are still 1,000 active cases, and estimate a minimum of 54% mortality (based on the numbers above), we would get (2288 + 540)/4269, which is 66%.
If we assume there are still 1,500 active cases, then the numbers are (2288 + 810)/4269, or 72%.
The way the WHO is talking, there seem to be way more than 1,500 active cases.
I would have to disobey that order.
Is it really getting worse, or are they counting better?
Radio guys cannot make contact with many hams throughout the countries affected, especially, they are worried about those ham radio operators in the jungle.....not a peep from those callsigns in a while. Eerie. It may be a complete disaster out in the bush and down the trail where it will be a while before we hear about what happened.
Thanks for sharing... scariest thing I'm heard about Ebola in a while... could this have jumped from 'fruit bat' to mosquito...?
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