Posted on 09/17/2014 5:15:54 AM PDT by cotton1706
Hat tip to our friend Mike Flynn of Breitbart for his column noting that top political odds maker Nate Silver has lowered his forecast for a GOP takeover of the Senate.
Two weeks ago, noted Flynn, Silver estimated the GOP had a 64% chance of winning a Senate majority. On Tuesday, Silver lowered his estimate to 55%. The landscape still favors the GOP, says Flynn, but the trend-lines are ominous.
As Mike Flynn and others, including CHQ Chairman Richard A. Viguerie, have noted “the GOP could take the majority by simply winning Senate races in states carried by Mitt Romney.” While such an outcome would be enough to take control of the Senate, it certainly wouldn't constitute a Republican wave. It would simply “revert the partisan make-up of Congress to the political mean,” as Mike Flynn put it. Republicans would have control, but it wouldn't have won any new political ground.
One of the trends that Silver emphasized in his analysis (and that Flynn picked-up on) is the enormous cash disparity enjoyed by Democratic candidates. In North Carolina, for example, incumbent Democrat Sen. Kay Hagen has over $8 million cash in the bank, against her GOP opponent's $1.5 million. The national campaign arms of the Democrats routinely raise more money than their Republican counter-parts.
Now here’s the key point in Flynn’s article: “Republicans have struggled, in particular, with small-dollar donors. These donations represent the activism of base voters, the life-blood of a party. For a year and a half, Republicans in Washington, abetted by their business allies, assailed conservatives privately and in the press.” Establishment GOP leaders regularly made it clear that they would assert themselves in primaries to ensure they had the “best candidates” to take on Democrats in the general election.
(Excerpt) Read more at conservativehq.com ...
The Democrats have cranked their ground game up to 11.
Almost everyone I know had some Democrat operative on their porch canvassing 3 or 4 times last month. They are pulling out all the stops. The unions are totally on board. They are going to get some kind of HUGE payoff if this works (back-door card check, methinks)
Meanwhile the GOPe remains in the Prevent Defense.
Case in point. Twice the GOP called me for money. Each time I said I’m not contributing because they are “not conservative enough”. When they tried to argue I said thank you for calling, and hung up.
And I always argue for voting for the Republican and against the Democrat. But I guess they do not get the message.
They attacked their base, they sound like democrats, they won’t stand for anything the base wants..
Kinda like the globe trotters and the nationals eh?
Just happy to be on the court with them.
More to the point—How will things change with GOP majorities in both chambers of Congress?
Answer: They won’t. The GOP will remain terrified of being called racists if they oppose anything advanced by Obama and the RATS.
The enemy (the mainstream media) is preparing the sheeple to accept the fraudulent election results being planned as we are diverted to looking at ‘polls’ generated to herd the sheeple.
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